AL: Capital Survey Research Center: Romney up 15 in Alabama (user search)
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  AL: Capital Survey Research Center: Romney up 15 in Alabama (search mode)
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Author Topic: AL: Capital Survey Research Center: Romney up 15 in Alabama  (Read 3286 times)
Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« on: July 02, 2012, 10:34:18 PM »

Reversion to the mean? Southern white voters may be discovering that President Obama isn't as bad as they thought that he would be.

A 15% margin in Alabama would be closer to the 2000 defeat of Al Gore in Alabama instead of the 2004 defeat of John Kerry in Alabama.  



More likely those 13% undecideds are weighing up who they dislike more: Mormons or a dark-skinned Democrats.
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Smid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,151
Australia


« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2012, 02:49:28 AM »

Reversion to the mean? Southern white voters may be discovering that President Obama isn't as bad as they thought that he would be.

A 15% margin in Alabama would be closer to the 2000 defeat of Al Gore in Alabama instead of the 2004 defeat of John Kerry in Alabama.  



More likely those 13% undecideds are weighing up who they dislike more: Mormons or a dark-skinned Democrats.
Anyone wanna take a bet on which one just about all of that 13% will vote for?

My guess: it rhymes with foreman...

I'm inclined to agree. Even if they stay home, Romney wins the state, though.
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