This appears to be an outlier. I bet Ras polls this sometime within the next 2-3 weeks.
Obama isn't not winning MO, not even gonna come close
Republicans refuse to admit that Romney has a midwest problem, perhaps because the midwest is supposedly part of a brave new electoral map that the GOP is trying to create. Yet Romney is doing much more poorly in Ohio, Michigan, Minnesota, and MIssouri than people expected. The assumption that the GOP could veer off of the '00 or '04 maps was very misguided. Romney really needs to win the south, take Colorado, and then push up turnout in SW Ohio to win the election. It looks more and more like he'll need to duplicate the '04 map, minus NM, NV, and maybe IA, to win in November.