MSNBC/Marist has Obama & Romney basically tied in CO, NV & IA

[AmericanNation]

Always love the intersection of Harry Potter and politics.

But Hagrid is right..Harry did sort of die.

And 2010 was, kind of, relatively speaking, a Republican "tsunami."

Edited to say that despite the above, I tend to bet the opposite of Dick Morris.

He was one of the first people (on TV) to point out how week/misleading Obama's numbers were.  I've always thought he was weird. 

[Devils30]

The GOP shouldnt be terribly optimistic about winning CO and NV. The Dems tend to overperform polling by several points in both states and since 1992 both have a clear Democratic trend along with  a growing Latino population. I'd give Romney a better shot to win Pennsylvania.

[pbrower2a]

Samples are:

IA: 35 R, 34 D, 31 I
CO: 35 R, 31 D, 34 I
NV: 40 D, 38 R, 22 I

That R+1 Iowa sample looks fair, given that '08 turnout was D+1. Same for Colorado sample, which is R+4 in this poll, but was R+1 in '08. Nevada was D+8 in '08, and is only D+2 in this poll. But to be fair, 2004 turnout in Nevada was R+4.

These polls have to be good news for Mitt Romney considering that Obama won all three of these states by no less than 9 points in '08.

Surprised to see Iowa and Nevada so competitive.

R+1 Iowa? Iowa has been more D than the US as a whole in 1988, 2000, 2004 (Kerry lost it, but he was a political turkey), and 2008... and I am not counting the three-way Clinton wins.