Mason-Dixon: Romney up 3
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  Mason-Dixon: Romney up 3
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Author Topic: Mason-Dixon: Romney up 3  (Read 2817 times)
krazen1211
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« on: May 17, 2012, 03:12:42 PM »

http://ronsachs.com/docs/sachs_masondixon_poll.pdf

Romney: 47
Obama: 44


Poll after poll after poll is showing Romney in the lead!
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: May 17, 2012, 03:14:07 PM »

Good thing the Presidency isn't decided based off the popular vote.
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adrac
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« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2012, 03:17:18 PM »

Good thing the Presidency isn't decided based off the popular vote.
Beat me to it.
Only Rasmussen has Romney in a position to win state-by-state.
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #3 on: May 17, 2012, 03:26:56 PM »

Based on the poll, looks like Obama turnout will be significantly lower in 2012, and slightly higher turnout voting for Romney.
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krazen1211
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« Reply #4 on: May 17, 2012, 03:34:42 PM »

Good thing the Presidency isn't decided based off the popular vote.

No, but unless they use the Milesc56 rule and simply subtract 5 points from the Republican because Milesc56 says so, Romney is in solid shape in many of those recently polled states.
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The Professor
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« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2012, 07:21:24 PM »

Junk poll. Deduct 5 points from Mitt Romney because he sucks and you have a more accurate picture
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2012, 09:38:13 PM »

Junk poll. Deduct 5 points from Mitt Romney because he sucks and you have a more accurate picture

This is what I've been talking about.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2012, 11:59:12 PM »

Mason-Dixon is a pretty good pollster.

And they also use a believable sample of D+5.

Yet it seems that the movement is mostly among Indies. Sometimes Obama leads, sometimes Romney.
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Miles
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« Reply #8 on: May 18, 2012, 12:54:05 AM »

Good thing the Presidency isn't decided based off the popular vote.

No, but unless they use the Milesc56 rule and simply subtract 5 points from the Republican because Milesc56 says so, Romney is in solid shape in many of those recently polled states.

Hey! You should know by now that the "MilesC56 rule" only applies to Rasmussen polls!
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #9 on: May 18, 2012, 02:45:55 AM »

Good thing the Presidency isn't decided based off the popular vote.

Or, you know, in May.
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Umengus
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« Reply #10 on: May 18, 2012, 04:10:57 PM »

Mason-Dixon is a pretty good pollster.

And they also use a believable sample of D+5.

Yet it seems that the movement is mostly among Indies. Sometimes Obama leads, sometimes Romney.

not so good in fact: cfr sharon angle in 2010...
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #11 on: May 18, 2012, 04:58:00 PM »

Mason-Dixon is a pretty good pollster.

And they also use a believable sample of D+5.

Yet it seems that the movement is mostly among Indies. Sometimes Obama leads, sometimes Romney.

not so good in fact: cfr sharon angle in 2010...

There's really no way to poll effectively for the Nevada Union Effect.
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Lambsbread
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« Reply #12 on: May 19, 2012, 02:01:40 PM »

Wow.

Good thing the Presidency isn't decided based off the popular vote.

This, though.
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AmericanNation
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« Reply #13 on: May 19, 2012, 11:06:33 PM »

Mason-Dixon is a pretty good pollster.

And they also use a believable sample of D+5.

Yet it seems that the movement is mostly among Indies. Sometimes Obama leads, sometimes Romney.

Romney has been winning indies in almost every poll (that I've studied) lately.  In Likely voter models he is usually up overall, in RV's he's usually down overall. 

Winning indies by 7 is probably more important than [losing women by 7 and winning men by 7].    Right?
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bawlexus91
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« Reply #14 on: May 19, 2012, 11:51:06 PM »
« Edited: June 07, 2012, 02:07:40 AM by . »

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