WA: Survey USA: Obama leads all Republicans by double-digits

[RI]

New Poll: Washington President by Survey USA on 2012-02-16

Summary: D: 50%, R: 39%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[memphis]

Sounds about right. Hasn't been competitive in a very long time.

[bgwah]

Sub-samples seem a little off (WA doesn't have more Rs than Ds), but not close either way.

[Tender Branson]

This poll has far too many Independents.

The sample is 23% DEM, 23% GOP, and 54% IND.

In 2008 it was 36% DEM, 26% GOP, and 38% IND.

In 2004 it was 36% DEM, 32% GOP, and 32% IND.

...

If we use the Obama/Romney crosstabs and apply it to the 2008 sample, it is:

55-37 Obama

If we use the Obama/Romney crosstabs and apply it to the 2004 sample, it is:

53-40 Obama

And if we use an average of 2008 and 2004 (36% DEM, 29% GOP, 35% IND) it is:

54-39 Obama