Obama trails in IN by 4%

[Ben Romney]

President Barack Obama's approval in Indiana stood at 42 percent, and disapproval at 55 percent; wicked numbers for any incumbent.

Obama trailed probable (er, possible) Republican nominee Mitt Romney by just 4 percent

http://www.courierpress.com/news/2012/feb/12/obama-office-signals-optimism-as-recession/

[Tender Branson]

These are actually 2 different polls.

The approval rating comes from POS, a Republican pollster.

The poll showing Obama 4% behind Romney is from an internal of Democrat Connelly.

But yeah, I've always thought IN might be as competetive as MO.

[King]

This is the first poll of IN we've had all cycle and its not even a good quality one. Isn't there a competitive Senate race there? What gives?

[MaxQue]

Polling in IN must be done by a real person, not by a robot like PPP does, because of the law forbiding robot polling.

[Reds4]

Obama losing by 4 in an internal Democratic poll probably means he is losing by than that in reality. Indiana should swing back to the GOP this time barring a massive landslide nationally.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Obama likely won Indiana when the Repub-a-dubs pushed through their idiotic "right-to-work" bill.

[pbrower2a]

Obama losing by 4 in an internal Democratic poll probably means he is losing by than that in reality. Indiana should swing back to the GOP this time barring a massive landslide nationally.

Indiana is not a sure thing for Republicans. Take a good look at the December approval rating (42-55) from an internal Republican pollster... that is before a recent surge in national approval ratings for the President. It's probably in the 46-48% area of approval which means that the state is in range of a D hold for President.

Indiana remains significantly more R than the US at large, so its 11 electoral votes will account for something between the 350th and 390th electoral votes for the President if he gets that many. 2008 is not a one-time fluke for President Obama; the state is drifting D.

I'm not sure what you mean by a "massive landslide nationally". Is it like Obama 2008 or FDR 1944?  Or is it like Eisenhower 1956? The ceiling for a Democratic win of Indiana is very low. Indiana was in play throughout 2008 even when the nationwide election looked close; Obama won it by a small margin.