Virginia puts Bush over top... (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 24, 2024, 11:03:22 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Virginia puts Bush over top... (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Virginia puts Bush over top...  (Read 13558 times)
One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,044


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

« on: December 01, 2019, 02:18:22 PM »

Well would ya know it, Virginia’s still not “in play”

Safe R —> Safe D
Logged
One Term Floridian
swamiG
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,044


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: 3.13

« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2019, 03:49:15 PM »

Virginia was drifting D with respect to the USA as a whole -- and still is.

Virginia went from going to Republicans in blowouts (1928, 1952, 1956) to being much more R than America as a whole (it was the only former Confederate State to not vote for Jimmy Carter in 1976, Carter winning every state surrounding it, and it never voted for Bill Clinton) -- to being on the fringe of contention in 2000 and 2004 in close races. In 2008 and 2012 it was still more R than the US as a whole...

Virginia began to take characteristics of a Northern state as it urbanized, and from the 1940's to the 1980's, that meant going Republican. From 2006 becoming more Northern made it increasingly Democratic. It might have been possible to see the 2008 and 2012 elections as having Barack Obama as the ideal Democrat to win the state... but it was more D than the USA as a whole in 2016.

Virginia seems to be one of the most anti-populist states in the Union, which may explain much.   

Agreed with you on all the above but VA was actually very slightly more D than the country in 2012, about 0.02% more. A first since 1948!
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 13 queries.