NH Poll- WMUR
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Author Topic: NH Poll- WMUR  (Read 3568 times)
Ben Romney
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« on: February 03, 2012, 06:38:24 PM »

The WMUR Granite State Poll shows that 38 percent of New Hampshire adults think the country is headed in the right direction, while 50 percent say it's on the wrong track.Obama has seen his job approval rating nearly flip from the last Granite State Poll in October, with 51 percent now saying they like the job the president is doing, compared to 43 percent who don't. Just 41 percent said they approved in October.Obama's improved fortunes are also reflected in head-to-head matchups against the Republican field in New Hampshire. In hypothetical matchups, Obama leads Mitt Romney by 10 points, Ron Paul by eight points, and trounces Newt Gingrich and Rick Santorum by 25 and 21 points respectively.

Read more: http://www.wmur.com/politics/30373435/detail.html#ixzz1lMgfcJyC
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1 on: February 03, 2012, 06:44:26 PM »

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Looks like NH is back in Obama's column.
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Ben Romney
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« Reply #2 on: February 03, 2012, 06:57:26 PM »

OBAMA NOW BIG UP IN NH!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Obama/Romney: 50/40
Obama/Gingrich: 60/35
Obama/ Paul: 50/42
Obama/Santorum: 56/35

http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.unh.edu%2Fsurvey-center%2Fnews%2Fpdf%2Fgsp2012_winter_presapp020312.pdf&h=yAQHR1oVdAQFAR9uPkZPPmFHj5-zAtzcnuixfuCf_DR9v3A
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #3 on: February 03, 2012, 07:01:42 PM »

I need a second poll to confirm this but now if this is true the map for the GOP becomes almost impossible.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: February 03, 2012, 07:21:40 PM »



That's already 272 for Obama.
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King
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« Reply #5 on: February 03, 2012, 07:21:52 PM »

This fuzzy math is absurd.  Romney will carry this state from Barack "no hope" Obama by double digits!
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #6 on: February 03, 2012, 07:25:32 PM »

Heh.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #7 on: February 03, 2012, 07:26:12 PM »

Basically the polling out right now is currently showing this, against Romney:



Obama 272
Romney 170
Toss-up 96

And this is with 8.5% unemployment and Obama's approvals hovering around 46%.
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Yank2133
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« Reply #8 on: February 03, 2012, 07:27:52 PM »

Basically the polling out right now is currently showing this, against Romney:



Obama 272
Romney 170
Toss-up 96

And this is with 8.5% unemployment and Obama's approvals hovering around 46%.

8.3%

Can you cut the man some slack lol.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #9 on: February 03, 2012, 07:29:48 PM »

But all the polls we have are from prior to today's 8.3% announcement. Tongue
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HST1948
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« Reply #10 on: February 03, 2012, 07:59:00 PM »

I think we should wait for more polls so we can see a trend.  I have a question though, most of the polls of NH thus far were taken when Romney was constantly in the state and running adds for the primary, which he won handily.  Could Obama's lead in the state (in the first post primary NH poll) be attributed to the fact that Romney is no longer in the state on a daily or weekly basis and running adds?
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #11 on: February 03, 2012, 08:01:27 PM »

Need a second poll to confirm if we have a trend or an outlier here.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #12 on: February 03, 2012, 08:19:20 PM »


Plus, I think the GOP's chances in Ohio are gone.
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Devils30
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« Reply #13 on: February 03, 2012, 08:20:27 PM »

Romney's huge lead there over Obama was too good to be true. It's a swing state that will be close in the fall.
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NHI
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« Reply #14 on: February 03, 2012, 09:48:50 PM »

Romney will carry this by 5-10 points.
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Minnesota Mike
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« Reply #15 on: February 03, 2012, 09:49:16 PM »

While I have to believe a 10 point Obama lead is an outlier I do believe the trend is in Obama's direction.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #16 on: February 04, 2012, 12:26:00 AM »

I think we should wait for more polls so we can see a trend.  I have a question though, most of the polls of NH thus far were taken when Romney was constantly in the state and running adds for the primary, which he won handily.  Could Obama's lead in the state (in the first post primary NH poll) be attributed to the fact that Romney is no longer in the state on a daily or weekly basis and running adds?

Possible. But it could be that New Hampshire is back to where it was on Election Day 2008. But it also could reflect that

1. Mitt Romney has lost the equivalent of Favorite Son status in New Hampshire by moving away

2. Cheap shots at the President from afar won't be enough.

3. The Republicans need a strong and effective organization to win New Hampshire -- which they no longer have.

In view of the President taking a 7% lead against Romney in Ohio, it could be that real movement has occurred in nationwide polling.

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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #17 on: February 04, 2012, 12:30:02 AM »

In view of the President taking a 7% lead against Romney in Ohio, it could be that real movement has occurred in nationwide polling.

I think the Occupy movement might be the final nail in the GOP's coffin.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #18 on: February 04, 2012, 12:33:35 AM »

Romney will carry this by 5-10 points.

Sure he will...
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redcommander
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« Reply #19 on: February 04, 2012, 01:17:06 AM »
« Edited: February 04, 2012, 01:23:06 AM by redcommander »

A joke poll. Obama isn't winning New Hampshire against Romney in November.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #20 on: February 04, 2012, 03:23:04 AM »

This is quite a turnaround since their last poll: From Romney+3 to Obama+10

I've always wondered why NH with its good economy and low unemployment would support the flip-flopping locust-capitalist and tax evader Mittey in the general election ...
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Napoleon
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« Reply #21 on: February 04, 2012, 05:19:25 AM »

Not for reals.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #22 on: February 04, 2012, 10:10:22 AM »
« Edited: February 04, 2012, 10:12:24 AM by OC »

With this poll Obama should carry NV, CO, OH and NH against any of the GOP nominees. It is should help our chances in NH-2.
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Napoleon
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« Reply #23 on: February 04, 2012, 10:13:03 AM »

With this poll Obama should carry NV, CO, OH and NH.

Claim: Obama should win NV, CO, OH and NH
Evidence: Obama +10 in outlier NH poll

Um. Can we get a second opinion?
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argentarius
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« Reply #24 on: February 04, 2012, 10:15:34 AM »

Clearly Ron Paul is the most electable GOP candidate.
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