The FL Election Day & Results Thread
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yourelection
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« Reply #50 on: January 31, 2012, 07:07:21 PM »

It looks like CNN has vote coming in
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #51 on: January 31, 2012, 07:07:32 PM »

1% in - Romney 52-28
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #52 on: January 31, 2012, 07:08:44 PM »

The only question tonight will be if Romney breaks 50% and screw up my 2 points ...
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Oakvale
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« Reply #53 on: January 31, 2012, 07:09:00 PM »

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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #54 on: January 31, 2012, 07:09:16 PM »

5% in, Romney 52-24...
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #55 on: January 31, 2012, 07:10:07 PM »

Looks like Romney won the early vote by as big a margin as everyone said.
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #56 on: January 31, 2012, 07:11:08 PM »

This could be a fast counting night.  We're at 8% in and Romney is 52-25 ahead.
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yourelection
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« Reply #57 on: January 31, 2012, 07:11:40 PM »

I don't know if he will keep it but more than 50% for Romney will be hard for Gingrich to overcome.

(I'm stuck here... IRC not working for me.)
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #58 on: January 31, 2012, 07:12:07 PM »

Exit poll tidbits mentioned on TV:

http://gop12.thehill.com/2012/01/cnn-fox-exit-polls.html

CNN:

a. 30% of FL GOP voters call themselves moderate or liberal, 37% somewhat conservative, 34% very conservative.

b. 66% of FL GOP voters support tea party.

c. 15% of GOP voting electorate today is Latino.

FOX News:

a. Romney is winning 58% of those who say beating Obama is their biggest concern.

b. Romney is dead last among those who say electing a "true conservative" is most important.

c. Romney is winning seniors by 15% over Newt.

d. Gingrich only leading Romney among evangelicals by 4%.

e. Romney winning Hispanics by 27%.
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Negusa Nagast 🚀
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« Reply #59 on: January 31, 2012, 07:13:10 PM »

Romney has never given a great speech.

His last victory speech was great.



Oh politico, your hack glasses always make for a good laugh.

I'll eventually be laughing for eight years straight.

Were you laughing when Gore swept the field because he was the "only electable" candidate in 2008? Were you laughing when the eventually McCain/Romney nominee would trounce any Democrat in November? Were you laughing when Obama magically carries all of the Clinton states and 56%< of the vote?

Oh wait, none of that happened because you have no grasp on reality and see any candidate you support (or loathe) through hack and melodramatic glasses.  Please change your name, it's very misleading.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #60 on: January 31, 2012, 07:14:22 PM »

The updated Drudge reported Exit Poll has now been altered to:

49% Romney
33% Gingrich
11% Santorum
  6% Paul

Should have sticked with my next-to-last prediction ... Tongue
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Politico
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« Reply #61 on: January 31, 2012, 07:14:51 PM »

I don't know if he will keep it but more than 50% for Romney will be hard for Gingrich to overcome.

(I'm stuck here... IRC not working for me.)

Yeah, kind of kills his argument that Santorum should drop out.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #62 on: January 31, 2012, 07:17:26 PM »

Is the stuff that's coming in right now early votes only ?
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Politico
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« Reply #63 on: January 31, 2012, 07:17:57 PM »
« Edited: January 31, 2012, 07:22:20 PM by Politico »

Romney has never given a great speech.

His last victory speech was great.



Oh politico, your hack glasses always make for a good laugh.

I'll eventually be laughing for eight years straight.

Were you laughing when Gore swept the field because he was the "only electable" candidate in 2008? Were you laughing when the eventually McCain/Romney nominee would trounce any Democrat in November? Were you laughing when Obama magically carries all of the Clinton states and 56%< of the vote?

Oh wait, none of that happened because you have no grasp on reality and see any candidate you support (or loathe) through hack and melodramatic glasses.  Please change your name, it's very misleading.

I've overstated the magnitude of my predictions in the past, and I do have fun on here. I play it quite loose on here. I like to entertain and be entertained. With that said, I have never predicted the wrong victor in any race before on Election Day, or even days before Election Day. The only exception is John Kerry against George Bush, which was before I joined this forum. And I suppose Santorum over Romney, which is obviously undetermined as to who really won.

Obviously much can change between now and November, but my money is on Mitt.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #64 on: January 31, 2012, 07:18:32 PM »

If Romney hits 49% or 50%, I doubt Gingrich can recover. As of now, he can keep beating the "the anti-Romneys beat Mitt's vote total," but if Mitt can get a majority, well, its great for Mitt.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #65 on: January 31, 2012, 07:18:59 PM »

These are just early votes, folks.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #66 on: January 31, 2012, 07:19:07 PM »

If it's just early/absentee ballots at the moment, then ARG's 51-29 breakdown among early voters was pretty good ...
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #67 on: January 31, 2012, 07:20:38 PM »

Romeny now below 50%.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #68 on: January 31, 2012, 07:21:43 PM »

If it's just early/absentee ballots at the moment, then ARG's 51-29 breakdown among early voters was pretty good ...

If ARG has suddenly become the most accurate pollster, then maybe 2012 is the end of the world.
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yourelection
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« Reply #69 on: January 31, 2012, 07:22:59 PM »

How can NYtimes have Romney at 49% with 7% vote in and CNN have Romney at 52% with the same amount of votes in?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #70 on: January 31, 2012, 07:26:17 PM »

If it's just early/absentee ballots at the moment, then ARG's 51-29 breakdown among early voters was pretty good ...

If ARG has suddenly become the most accurate pollster, then maybe 2012 is the end of the world.

Smiley
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #71 on: January 31, 2012, 07:26:59 PM »

Bill McCollum, Newt's FL co-chair, says they'll probably challenge the delegate apportionment out of Florida.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #72 on: January 31, 2012, 07:29:48 PM »

Huh, Gingrich is actually leading in Nassau with 75% in, one of the counties Mitt won last time.
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yourelection
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« Reply #73 on: January 31, 2012, 07:31:47 PM »

I guess the question of the night is, will Romney get over 50%?
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Oakvale
oakvale
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« Reply #74 on: January 31, 2012, 07:31:52 PM »

Get in the IRC, people. We need some conversation to liven up his boring night.

#atlasforum
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