Official NH Primary Results Thread

[tpfkaw]

Huntsman won Keene, his eight town.

No, he won 1 precinct out of 5 in Keene.

[Shilly]

I don't think Romney will break 40. At a glance, what's left seems like mostly a wash, maybe slightly unfavorable for him.

[RI]

Huntsman won Keene, his eight town.

No, he won 1 precinct out of 5 in Keene.

You're right. I didn't see that.

[Hatman 🍁]

I said Romney would get 40%, because I didn't change my prediction in time I wanted to change it to 30%+.

[RI]

Back down to 39% on CNN.

EDIT:Romney at 39.3% overall.

[J. J.]

Licthfield and Danville are still out, but Romney should be at 16 points ahead of Paul.

[Marston]

It annoys me that MSNBC still has Bachmann listed on TV in the results tab.

I imagine she's still on the ballot.

True, but so are a bunch of other candidates that aren't on the screen. Roemer will probably get more votes than her.

Doubtful; I'm betting she even ends up polling better than Perry. She's the only high-name recognition candidate anywhere near the top of the ballot (besides Cain I guess, but he's been out of the race for a lot longer).

Roemer - 876 votes
Bachmann - 325 votes

Just sayin'

[Bacon King]

It annoys me that MSNBC still has Bachmann listed on TV in the results tab.

I imagine she's still on the ballot.

True, but so are a bunch of other candidates that aren't on the screen. Roemer will probably get more votes than her.

Doubtful; I'm betting she even ends up polling better than Perry. She's the only high-name recognition candidate anywhere near the top of the ballot (besides Cain I guess, but he's been out of the race for a lot longer).

Roemer - 876 votes
Bachmann - 325 votes

Just sayin'

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

Looking at the results, the counties, and the demographics:

-The Paul "College Town Kids" didn't show up in large numbers in college towns, which instead were owned by the "Rich Old Men" also found in college towns and went to Huntsman and Romney instead.

-However, Paul made up for it with the mountain men (in the north), the hobos (lower class, mostly in the area surrounding Concord explaining the small pockets in otherwise safe Romney territory, and the Paul green cutting a swath through Romney yellow in the northwest), the anarchists/weed smokers (the southwest area near Keene, Roxbury and Winchester for example), and the political Free Staters (helping around Concord).

-Huntsman, as I brilliantly predicted before the results started coming in, underperformed majorly. This can be explained by two things; first, his ground level support (both from his main campaign and his "grassroots") was basically nonexistent. From what I've heard, a lot of undecided folks were watching CNN (which, were you watching it throughout the day, was basically engaging in HUNTSMAN FANCLUB DAY) and were going to vote Huntsman, but then saw that he had no overt supporters and went to Romney/Paul instead. Also, Santorum had about a week of "SANTORUM SURGING" while Huntsman had a day or so.

[homelycooking]

[tmthforu94]

I'm laughing at all the comments early on tonight saying tonight was a failure for Romney, saying that when he was at 34% and led Paul by 9-10. Now he's hovering around 40%, the spot they were criticizing him for not reach, and leads Paul by 17-18. Curious to see if they still think tonight was a failure for Romney.

BTW. Great maps Homely!

[RI]

Worst Obama town: Farmington (Strafford County)

Obama 54%
Write-ins 32%
Vermin Supreme 2%

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Tonight was completely unremarkable for Romney, just like most nights in his public life (not Iowa, though; that was a relative triumph).

[J. J.]

Goffston and one precinct in Portsmouth are still out as well.

Gilmanton as well.

[Lief 🗽]

Getting 39% of the vote after running for six straight years in what is basically your home state against a bunch of candidates who basically don't have any campaigns at all is pathetic. Sorry Mittbots.

[tmthforu94]

Tonight was completely unremarkable for Romney, just like most nights in his public life (not Iowa, though; that was a relative triumph).

Sure, Romney didn't blow anyone away, but it certainly wasn't a failure either. He'll be getting momentum from this, its just a matter of it will be enough to withstand Newt Gingrichs suicide mission to take him down.

Its hard to completely wipe everyone out in a state when the airwaves are filled with anti-Romney ads and there were many attacks in the final debate.

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Tonight was completely unremarkable for Romney, just like most nights in his public life (not Iowa, though; that was a relative triumph).

Sure, Romney didn't blow anyone away, but it certainly wasn't a failure either.

That's what I meant. Unremarkable.

[tpfkaw]

FWIW I saw a ton of Romney ads and about a third as many Huntsman ads (all from his PAC), and no ads from anyone else.

[J. J.]

Getting 39% of the vote after running for six straight years in what is basically your home state against a bunch of candidates who basically don't have any campaigns at all is pathetic. Sorry Mittbots.

Getting less than 85% against candidates including Vermin Supreme is your definition of good?

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Romney got 40% of the vote. How does that hurt him? And what argument do Newt and Rick Santorum have to defeat him after finishing 4th and 5th in NH? It isn't like those were startling finishing that would catapult him to victory.

This race is over. Newt and Rick will not beat Romney in SC barring a scandal breaking. It won't be a blowout, but he will win by 5-10%. Like I said, the upstate evangelicals no longer have the numbers to offset the low country and coastal vote like they once did.

[RI]

Other than one Portsmouth precinct, Romney's stronghold is tapped out.

[tmthforu94]

Also, to the political junkie, this may not have been a great win for Romney. But to the average GOP voter, they're going to wake up tomorrow, read their paper and see Romney easily carried NH, and think "Okay, he's going to be our nominee. I support him." An underwhelming performance could have put everything at risk. Instead, Mitt stayed solid, and did what needed to be done. Now, barring something crazy, he'll slip through SC, take Florida, and the nomination will be his.

[Lief 🗽]

Getting 39% of the vote after running for six straight years in what is basically your home state against a bunch of candidates who basically don't have any campaigns at all is pathetic. Sorry Mittbots.

Getting less than 85% against candidates including Vermin Supreme is your definition of good?

Better than Bush got in 2004.

[J. J.]

Litchfield just reported, Romney at 39.4, +16.6.  Gingrich ahead by 157, so the gap closed a bit.

[Хahar 🤔]

FWIW I saw a ton of Romney ads and about a third as many Huntsman ads (all from his PAC), and no ads from anyone else.

How much of New Hampshire is in the Boston market?