UK local by-elections 2012

[minionofmidas]

The link the council gives to the by-election result...

http://www.eastdunbarton.gov.uk/pdf/Campsie%20and%20Kirkintilloch%20North%20By-Election%20Result.pdf

Yeah, doesn't work for me either.

[minionofmidas]

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That's gains of 301 for the SNP vs 295 for Labour over the course of the count, with 577 ballots exhausted.

[ObserverIE]

Lab	851	860	874	939	1146
SNP	743	762	767	845	1044
Lib Dem	693	702	740	788
Ind	274	284	318
Con	141	143
Green	65

[ObserverIE]

a Labour dead zone where the Party struggled to poll much better than 10% in good years before the advent of tactical voting in South Shropshire.

Lol.

"Craven Arms" is a town? Sounds like a pub to me.

Pub came first, town later.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

That's right. But for a long time it was technically a hamlet.

[joevsimp]

Very happy to see the Burnley result.  Bye bye BNP and *sn* NF

just because the vote is fragmenting doesn't mean the problem's gone

[ObserverIE]

This week's Holy Word

Canterbury, Blean Forest

Con 44.2 (-8.8 )
Lab 23.9 (+23.9)
Lib Dem 15.6 (-0.3)
Green 8.3 (-22.8 )
UKIP 4.9 (+4.9)
Ind 3.1 (+3.1)

Nottinghamshire, Rufford

Lab 58.0 (+27.8 )
Con 24.6 (-9.6)
Notts Ind 12.9 (-22.7)
UKIP 4.6 (+4.6)

Herefordshire, St Nicholas

It's Our County 53.3 (+10.1)
Lib Dem 19.6 (+0.5)
Con 18.0 (-3.2)
Lab 9.2 (-7.3)

Cornwall, St Keverne and Meneage

Con 55.3 (+21.0)
Lib Dem 26.4 (+19.8 )
UKIP 13.3 (+13.3)
Lab 4.9 (+3.2)

Scarborough, Esk Valley

Con 67.6 (+10.6)
Ind 16.8 (-5.7)
Lab 9.7 (-10.8 )
UKIP 3.9 (+3.9)
Eng Dem 2.0 (+2.0)

[Zanas]

I'm sorry but how come there so many by-elections each week ? O_o

In France we only have 2 or 3 cantonales or municipales by-elections per month. Is the UK more willing to cancel election results or do UK elected officials tend to die more ?

[minionofmidas]

I'm sorry but how come there so many by-elections each week ? O_o

In France we only have 2 or 3 cantonales or municipales by-elections per month. Is the UK more willing to cancel election results or do UK elected officials tend to die more ?

You have replacement candidates, no?

Anyways, I heart the surname McEvilly.

[minionofmidas]

This week's Holy Word

Canterbury, Blean Forest

Con 44.2 (-8.8 )
Lab 23.9 (+23.9)
Lib Dem 15.6 (-0.3)
Green 8.3 (-22.8 )
UKIP 4.9 (+4.9)
Ind 3.1 (+3.1)

Nottinghamshire, Rufford

Lab 58.0 (+27.8 )
Con 24.6 (-9.6)
Notts Ind 12.9 (-22.7)
UKIP 4.6 (+4.6)

Herefordshire, St Nicholas

It's Our County 53.3 (+10.1)
Lib Dem 19.6 (+0.5)
Con 18.0 (-3.2)
Lab 9.2 (-7.3)

Cornwall, St Keverne and Meneage

Con 55.3 (+21.0)
Lib Dem 26.4 (+19.8 )
UKIP 13.3 (+13.3)
Lab 4.9 (+3.2)

Scarborough, Esk Valley
Guy Coulson    Conservative    606    67.6%
Mike Ward    Independent    151    16.8%
Simon Bard Parkes    Labour    87    9.7%
Michael John James    UK Independence Party    35    3.9%    
Ed Scott    English Democrats    18    2.0%    

[doktorb]

I'm sorry but how come there so many by-elections each week ? O_o

In France we only have 2 or 3 cantonales or municipales by-elections per month. Is the UK more willing to cancel election results or do UK elected officials tend to die more ?

Deaths are the most common. There are resignations and what not but it's the whole growing old (or indeed not so old) which does it

It averages out - I think we get about 5 by-elections a week, every week, but sometimes it's a Hell more and sometimes much less. Rarely, if ever, is there a blank week.

[doktorb]

By way of a guide  - forthcoming local government by-elections

27 September - 8
* Blaby DC: Pastures (C resigned)
* Camden LB: Hampstead Town (C resigned)
* Dartford BC: Castle (C deceased)
* King's Lynn and West Norfolk BC: Spellowfields (C deceased)
* Middlesbrough UA: North Ormesby and Brambles Farm (Lab resigned)
* Norfolk CC: Clenchwarton and King's Lynn South (C deceased)
* Runnymede BC: Chertsey Meads (C deceased)
* Runnymede BC: New Haw (C deceased)

11 October - 2
* East Lindsey DC: Sutton on Sea North (Sutton on Sea First resigned)
* Lewisham LB: Whitefoot (L Dem resigned)

18 October - 1
* Brighton and Hove UA: East Brighton (Lab resigned)

25 October - 4
* Caerphilly CBC: New Tredegar (Lab deceased)
* Fenland DC: St Marys (C deceased)
* Hartlepool UA: Seaton (Ind resigned)
* RB Windsor and Maidenhead: Pinkneys Green (C deceased)

Pending not yet called - 23 (some are provisionally scheduled for 15 November)

* Boston BC: Frampton and Holme (Ind resigned 31 August)
* Central Bedfordshire UA: Biggleswade South (C deceased 22 August)
* Comhairle nan Eilean Siar SUA: Sgir' Uige agus Ceann a Tuath Nan Loch (SNP deceased 15 September)
* Conwy CBC: Deganwy (Ind to resign 30 September)
* Cornwall UA: Gwinear-Gwithian and St Erth (C deceased 8 September)
* Daventry DC: Brixworth (C deceased 30 August)
* Dumfries and Galloway SUA: Annandale North (Lab deceased 4 September)
* Forest of Dean DC: Berry Hill (Lab deceased 10 September)
* Havant BC: Battins (L Dem resigned c. 27 July)
* Kent CC: Maidstone Central (L Dem deceased 10 August) reported to be 18 October
* Liverpool City MB: Knotty Ash (Lab impending resignation)
* Maidstone BC: Allington (L Dem deceased 10 August) reported to be 18 October
* Merthyr Tydfil CBC: Cyfarthfa (Ind resigned 10 July)
* Neath Port Talbot CBC: Neath South (Lab deceased 13 August)
* North Hertfordshire DC: Hitchwood, Offa and Hoo (C deceased 9 September)
* North Hertfordshire DC: Letchworth South East (C resigned 6 September)
* Oldham MB: Failsworth West (Lab deceased 16 August)
* Poole UA: Branksome East (C resigned 5 September)
* Ryedale DC: Norton West (C deceased 23 August)
* Scottish Borders SUA: Leaderdale and Melrose (Borders Party impending resignation)
* Stockton-on-Tees UA: Village (Ind deceased 10 August)
* Wealden DC: Heathfield North and Central (C deceased 20 August)
* Wolverhampton MB: Park (Lab deceased c. 30 June)

[YL]

This week's Holy Word

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Dok, can you get those into constituency names?

[Leftbehind]

I'm sorry but how come there so many by-elections each week ? O_o

In France we only have 2 or 3 cantonales or municipales by-elections per month. Is the UK more willing to cancel election results or do UK elected officials tend to die more ?

There's over 20,000 councillors here if I'm not mistaken. What are the numbers for France?

Anyway I forgot to thank Sibbs for the info on the Shropshire seat last week. It seems like a repeat of last week: two good (Canterbury, Notts) / two bad (Scarborough, Herefordshire) for Labour.

[ObserverIE]

Latest Holy Word on offer here.

[Leftbehind]

Can anyone get in the count? Just wondering if I could pop down to the Town Hall for the Ormesby/Brambles Farm result?

[ObserverIE]

Can anyone get in the count? Just wondering if I could pop down to the Town Hall for the Ormesby/Brambles Farm result?

You would be late....

Dartford, Castle

Con 43.1 (-13.3)
Lab 25.1 (+4.7)
UKIP 13.5 (+13.5)
Residents 11.3 (-2.6)
Eng Dem 7.0 (-2.4)

Middlesbrough, North Ormesby and Brambles Farm

Lab 67.8 (-12.9)
Lib Dem 15.7 (+15.7)
Ind Riley 10.2 (+10.2)
Con 5.5 (-13.8 )
Ind Bashir 0.9 (+0.9)

Blaby, Pastures

Con 61.1 (-9.6)
Lab 38.9 (+9.6)

Camden, Hampstead Town

Con 42.4 (+1.9)
Lib Dem 28.3 (-7.4)
Lab 20.9 (+4.5)
Green 8.4 (+1.0)

Runnymede, Chertsey Meads

Con 40.3 (-10.0)
UKIP 27.9 (+5.2)
Lab 27.9 (+8.6)
Lib Dem 3.0 (-4.7)
OMRLP 0.9 (+0.9)

(Labour and UKIP got exactly the same vote here.)

Runnymede, New Haw

Con 51.5 (-1.4)
Lab 22.0 (+2.0)
UKIP 18.5 (+2.4)
Lib Dem 8.0 (-3.0)

West Norfolk and King's Lynn, Spellowfields

Con 45.7 (+7.3)
Lab 31.9 (+4.7)
UKIP 11.5 (+11.5)
Green 8.0 (+8.0)
Lib Dem 2.9 (+2.9)

Norfolk, Clenchwarton and King's Lynn South

Lab 45.8 (+34.2)
Con 23.5 (-15.7)
Lib Dem 15.7 (-13.0)
UKIP 15.0 (+15.0)

[Leftbehind]

Never really in question, anyway. Always satisfying to see derisible Tory results though.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

The King's Lynn result is strikingly good.

[ObserverIE]

The King's Lynn result is strikingly good.

Having a Conservative candidate who's an advocate of an incinerator opposed by 92% of the locals will do things like that. What's interesting is that the boost went to Labour (previously in fourth) rather than to the Lib Dems who were a good second last time and had previously held the seat. A pretty dire set of results for the Lib Dems overall (apart from the dead cat bounce in Middlesbrough).

[YL]

From the Holy Word I see that there was a large Independent vote in Spellowfields last year, which explains the weird looking vote share changes and makes it difficult to judge who this is actually a good result for.

Camden: Tory vote still holding up quite well in London (or at least its posh bits) relative to the rest of the country?

@Leftbehind: do you know that Middlesbrough ward well?

[Leftbehind]

I've lived less than a mile away of the east of the ward all my life, know that area better (learnt to drive around the industrial estate). Only know the west through passing through it to get into town, didn't have much reason to go there as only had one mate (IIRC the mate in question was actually a 'refugee' from one of the schools there that closed down) from around there - in the terraces on the far West edges - but he wasn't the outdoor type, so didn't really venture out into it.

Pretty uniformly good results there for Labour, and not bad for the Greens either.

[Bacon King]

Middlesbrough, North Ormesby and Brambles Farm

Lab 67.8 (-12.9)
Lib Dem 15.7 (+15.7)

I see excellent future potential here for campaign leaflet bar graphs.

[ObserverIE]

Light workload tonight.

Lewisham, Whitefoot

Lab 41.9 (+4.5)
Lib Dem 29.3 (-8.6)
Con 11.7 (-5.8 )
PBP 10.9 (+7.1)
UKIP 4.5 (+4.5)
Green 1.6 (-1.9)

East Lindsey, Sutton-on-Sea North

Sutton First 54.9 (-13.2)
Con 19.6 (-1.8 )
Lab 15.0 (+4.5)
Ind 10.5 (+10.5)

[Leftbehind]

That's a good result for PBP, and a good Labour result as well.