New Hampshire Prediction Thread
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Author Topic: New Hampshire Prediction Thread  (Read 13424 times)
Simfan34
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« Reply #25 on: January 08, 2012, 05:16:00 PM »
Quote from: 满洲候选人洪博培 on January 08, 2012, 04:56:11 PM
Quote from: Oops on January 08, 2012, 04:48:04 PM
I'll jump on a limb here and say Huntsman surges and Romney falls after this morning's debate.  I'll probably be wrong, but whatever.

Romney: 31%
Huntsman: 28%
Paul: 21%
Gingrich: 9%
Santorum: 8%
Everyone Else: 3%

BTW Unironic Huntsman Supporter, your percentages add up to 103%.
Quote from: Unironic Huntsman Supporter on January 08, 2012, 04:35:20 PM
Romney 30%
Huntsman 28%
Paul 21%
Santorum 10%
Gingrich 8%
Perry 1%
Roemer 1%

I hope you guys are right.

It's the only way to advance Comrade Hong!
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big bad fab
filliatre
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« Reply #26 on: January 08, 2012, 05:17:56 PM »
Romney 40
Paul 20
Santorum 15
Huntsman 14
Gingrich 9
Perry et alii 2
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #27 on: January 08, 2012, 05:40:46 PM »
Romney - 42%
Paul - 22%
Huntsman - 14%
Santorum - 12%
Gingrich - 8%
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Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #28 on: January 08, 2012, 05:51:54 PM »


Romney 35
Huntsman 21
Paul 21
Gingrich 11
Santorum 9
Perry 2
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #29 on: January 08, 2012, 05:53:14 PM »
Romney - 44%
Paul - 21%
Huntsman - 15%
Gingrich - 12%
Santorum - 8%
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California8429
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« Reply #30 on: January 08, 2012, 06:09:46 PM »
Quote from: A-Bob on January 08, 2012, 01:26:31 PM
Mitt Romney 45%
Ron Paul 20%
Jon Huntsman 13%
Newt Gingrich 12%
Rick Santorum 9%
Rick Perry 1%

Mitt Romney 41%
Ron Paul 19%
Jon Huntsman 17%
Newt Gingrich 12%
Rick Santorum 10%
Rick Perry 1%
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Averroës Nix
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« Reply #31 on: January 08, 2012, 06:17:34 PM »
Why are so many of you bullish about Huntsman?
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Simfan34
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« Reply #32 on: January 08, 2012, 06:24:51 PM »
Quote from: Averroës Nix on January 08, 2012, 06:17:34 PM
Why are so many of you bullish about Huntsman?

Because of Huntsmentum.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/post/jon-huntsman-riding-wave-of-popularity-from-nh-debate-performance/2012/01/08/gIQAvWlejP_blog.html

http://www.boston.com/Boston/politicalintelligence/2012/01/jon-huntsman-attracting-bigger-crowds-waning-moments-the-campaign/34nc7Pmg97i5RKWjbS1h5I/index.html

http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/01/hunts-mentum-jon-huntsman-draws-big-crowds-in-new-hampshire/
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California8429
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« Reply #33 on: January 08, 2012, 10:53:08 PM »
Quote from: A-Bob on January 08, 2012, 06:09:46 PM
Quote from: A-Bob on January 08, 2012, 01:26:31 PM
Mitt Romney 45%
Ron Paul 20%
Jon Huntsman 13%
Newt Gingrich 12%
Rick Santorum 9%
Rick Perry 1%

Mitt Romney 41%
Ron Paul 19%
Jon Huntsman 17%
Newt Gingrich 12%
Rick Santorum 10%
Rick Perry 1%

Mitt Romney 39%
Ron Paul 20%
Jon Huntsman 17%
Newt Gingrich 13%
Rick Santorum 10%
Rick Perry 1%
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J. J.
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« Reply #34 on: January 08, 2012, 11:13:11 PM »
Quote from: JulioMadrid on January 08, 2012, 02:28:33 PM
Romney 34%
Paul 19%
Huntsman 19%
Gingrich 15%
Santorum 10%
Roemer <2%
Perry <1%


Close to this:

Romney 35%
Paul 18%
Huntsman 17%
Santorum 15%
Gingrich 15%
Perry 8%
Other 10%
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BRTD
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« Reply #35 on: January 08, 2012, 11:15:42 PM »

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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #36 on: January 08, 2012, 11:29:33 PM »
Romney: 41%
Huntsman: 19%
Paul: 16%
Gingrich: 11%
Santorum: 9%
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Frodo
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« Reply #37 on: January 08, 2012, 11:30:21 PM »
Mitt Romney, Jon Huntsman Jr, and Ron Paul -in that order. 
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Harry Hayfield
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« Reply #38 on: January 09, 2012, 05:16:51 AM »
Romney 38%, Paul 22%, Gingrich 18%, Santorum 10%, Perry 7%, Huntsman 4%, Others 1%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #39 on: January 09, 2012, 06:02:36 AM »
Final Predictions

GOP:

Romney 39%
Paul 19%
Huntsman 15%
Santorum 12%
Gingrich 9%
Perry 1%
Roemer 1%
Others 4% (Insane amount of candidates on the ballot)

Dems:

Obama 94%
Richardson 3%
Supreme 0.6%
Terry 0.4%
Others 2%
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exopolitician
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« Reply #40 on: January 09, 2012, 06:14:23 AM »
Romney
Huntsman
Paul
Santorum
Gingrich
Perry

Huntsman cracks 20% and Romney is below 35%.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #41 on: January 09, 2012, 06:17:22 AM »
Romney - 37%
Huntsman - 22%
Paul - 17%
Gingrich - 11%
Santorum - 11%
Perry - 2%
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Penelope
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« Reply #42 on: January 09, 2012, 06:35:00 AM »
Given the current trends I think we'll be somewhere near here on Tuesday:

New Hampshire Primary
Romney: 33%
Huntsman: 26%
Paul: 18%
Santorum: 11%
Gingrich: 9%
Other: 2%
Perry: 1%
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Franzl
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« Reply #43 on: January 09, 2012, 06:36:29 AM »
Quote from: Odysseus on January 09, 2012, 06:35:00 AM
Given the current trends I think we'll be somewhere near here on Tuesday:

New Hampshire Primary
Romney: 33%
Huntsman: 26%
Paul: 18%
Santorum: 11%
Gingrich: 9%
Other: 2%
Perry: 1%



That would really be a lovely result.
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Insula Dei
belgiansocialist
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« Reply #44 on: January 09, 2012, 06:52:03 AM »
« Edited: January 09, 2012, 08:49:46 AM by belgiansocialist »
An 'optimistic' prediction:

Romney:  31%
Huntsman: 24%
Paul: 16%
Santorum: 14%
Gingrich: 7%
Roemer: 2%
Perry: 1%
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J. J.
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« Reply #45 on: January 09, 2012, 07:11:36 AM »

Not really for Perry, just conservatives who can't stomach Gingrich or Santorum.
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RodPresident
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« Reply #46 on: January 09, 2012, 07:13:37 AM »
Quote from: belgiansocialist on January 09, 2012, 06:52:03 AM
An 'optimistic' prediction:

Romney:  33%
Huntsman: 28%
Santorum: 18%
Gingrich: 8%
Roemer: 2%
Perry: 1%
Where's Dr. Paul?
My prediction:
Romney: 32%
Huntsman: 24%
Dr. Paul: 17%
Santorum: 12%
Newt: 10%
Roemer: 3%
Rick Perry: 1.5%
Others (including Cain): 0.5%
Huntsman, knowing that he'll get more money and free-media will fight more time until Florida to become front-runner and gains enough momentum to put SC into a 3-way draw between Mitt, Santorum and Gingrich.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #47 on: January 09, 2012, 09:24:54 AM »
Romney: 32%
Huntsman: 24%
Paul: 23%
Santorum: 14%
Gingrich: 7%
others: 2%

Also, Perry will poll behind Bachmann.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #48 on: January 09, 2012, 09:36:30 AM »
33% Romney
21% Paul
20% Huntsman
11% Gingrich
10% Santorum
 1% Perry
 4% Others

ca. 334.000 turnout

89% Obama
11% Others

ca. 100.000 turnout
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shua
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« Reply #49 on: January 09, 2012, 09:57:09 AM »
Romney      34
Huntsman   21
Paul           20
Santorum   12
Gingrich      9
others         4
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