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  Canada General Discussion
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Author Topic: Canada General Discussion  (Read 225278 times)
MaxQue
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« Reply #1575 on: June 28, 2013, 12:23:15 am »

Trudeaumania already dying down, especially in QC.

I wouldn't say it yet, but that's looking like it. Surprised, expected Trudeaumanis to not show its first failing signs before October-November.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1576 on: June 28, 2013, 06:22:32 am »

All the non-Forum polls showed the Liberals in the mid-high 30s to begin with. Anyhoo, Del Mastro's donor records are being seized. RCMP also obtained warrants to search Duffy's PEI "residence" and Senate office per CTV.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1577 on: June 28, 2013, 07:31:30 am »

New Nanos poll.

Liberals 34, Conservatives 29, NDP 25, Green 6, Bloc 4.

Atlantic: Liberal 40, NDP 35, Conservatives 22, Green 4 (caution, small sample)
Québec: Liberal 35, NDP 30, Bloc 15, Conservatives 13, Green 8
Ontario: Liberal 41, Conservative 29, NDP 22, Green 7
Prairies: Conservatives 54, Liberal 25, NDP 17, Green 3
BC: Conservatives 31, NDP 30, Liberals 28, Green 11

BC & Quebec are doing to be brutal dogfights.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1578 on: June 28, 2013, 01:50:45 pm »

Interim Laval mayor Alexandre Duplessis has resigned due to a prostitution scandal which involved extortion and cross-dressing. More to come. Well beyond The Onion's wildest dreams. Come on Toronto, try and keep up. Tongue
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #1579 on: June 28, 2013, 06:57:50 pm »


Wow lol.

BTW, have you read the Beaverton? It's just as good as the Onion.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1580 on: June 29, 2013, 09:37:26 am »

Marois will recall the National Assembly tomorrow to pass BTW legislation for the construction workers.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1581 on: June 30, 2013, 03:03:00 am »


News reports seems to be than Martine Beaugrand is the favorite to succeed him. She is one of the two municipal councillors which didn't took part into the illegal financing schemes at Laval (on 21 councillors), according to a witness at the Charbonneau inquiry. Previously working in some health habits social entreprise which organise well-known events about exercise, alimentation and somking.
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Miliband: The Art of the Comeback
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« Reply #1582 on: June 30, 2013, 03:16:47 am »

I hate to ask but...is Alexandre Duplessis any relation?
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1583 on: June 30, 2013, 03:23:42 am »

I hate to ask but...is Alexandre Duplessis any relation?

Would doubt it. Maurice had no kids and was from Trois-Rivičres area. Alexandre Duplessis family are important powerbrokers in Laval since decades. Given than mobility was quite low before Quiet Revolution and than Duplessis is a common last name, I would lean towards no.

I would also suppose than news would have reported it, if they were related.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1584 on: July 01, 2013, 07:30:53 am »

TC2 has the Nanos projection: 132 Grits, 98 Tories, 77 Dippers. The seat breakdowns are very interesting, to say the least.

Hill Times doesn't give us anything new on the shuffle.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1585 on: July 01, 2013, 08:32:18 am »


Why aren't they doing projections with the new seats?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1586 on: July 02, 2013, 10:06:04 am »

Ted Menzies is retiring in 2015. So if Flaherty leaves then Clement isn't just the best option- he's the only option for Finance.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1587 on: July 02, 2013, 10:13:31 am »
« Edited: July 02, 2013, 10:18:59 am by RogueBeaver »

Looks like our oppo research team gave Sun this tape of Trudeau saying he never took a dime of speaking fees. I'm more interested in a tape where he discusses foreign policy or the monarchy myself.
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Poirot
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« Reply #1588 on: July 02, 2013, 04:37:38 pm »


He is probably waiting for the process of redistribution to be completed in all provinces. (and he could also be waiting for the transposed results on new map by Elections Canada)

I think his model is mostly change in numbers from last election. Outremont (but not with new map) is shown to be 44% LPC to 38% NDP.
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bryanbreguet
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« Reply #1589 on: July 03, 2013, 05:28:52 am »

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Exactly. I (I'm the owner of too close to call) need to wait for the process to be completed. And hopefully Election Canada will indeed publish a transposition of the votes to the new map. If they don't, I'll have a lot more work to do.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #1590 on: July 03, 2013, 08:54:20 am »

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Exactly. I (I'm the owner of too close to call) need to wait for the process to be completed. And hopefully Election Canada will indeed publish a transposition of the votes to the new map. If they don't, I'll have a lot more work to do.

Hey, it's Earl here from the Canadian Election Atlas. Welcome to the Forum! Smiley
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1591 on: July 03, 2013, 11:16:03 am »

Trudeaumania still alive and well in the Atlantic provinces.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1592 on: July 03, 2013, 01:02:41 pm »


With those numbers even MacKay is vulnerable.
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Peter the Lefty
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« Reply #1593 on: July 03, 2013, 03:31:32 pm »

New Abacus poll:
Liberals–29%
Conservatives–27%
NDP–26%
Greens–10%
Bloc–6%
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #1594 on: July 03, 2013, 03:35:03 pm »

New Abacus poll:
Liberals–29%
Conservatives–27%
NDP–26%
Greens–10%
Bloc–6%


Uhh... what?
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1595 on: July 03, 2013, 03:58:12 pm »

Abacus is junk.
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DC Al Fine
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« Reply #1596 on: July 03, 2013, 04:05:08 pm »


And they don't like releasing their regional numbers Angry
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You kip if you want to...
change08
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« Reply #1597 on: July 03, 2013, 04:09:42 pm »


Seems pretty inane not to for a country with a region like Quebec.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1598 on: July 03, 2013, 04:52:10 pm »

Only a few pollsters do that though. The best have regionals (esp. Quebec-only polls) and demographic breakdowns too.
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change08
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« Reply #1599 on: July 03, 2013, 04:56:53 pm »

Probably a silly question, but should Christie Clark end up being deeply unpopular at the time of the next federal election, will Justin Trudeau be trying to run away from the BC Liberals or can voters actively separate the two, rather different, entities?
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