Tender Branson's General Election Maps (user search)
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Author Topic: Tender Branson's General Election Maps  (Read 39520 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: December 19, 2011, 02:08:51 AM »

I've decided to sticky it here.

Updated Obama vs. Romney map:



Note: Lighter shades indicate a state that was not polled so far, but that will most likely be won by these parties.

Nevada & North Carolina are pure tossups in the last poll, Indiana is grey because it is unpolled and not leaning in any direction.

Obama: 297 EV
Romney: 209 EV

Tossup: 21 EV
Unpolled & no lean: 11 EV


...


Updated Obama vs. Gingrich map:



Note: Lighter shades indicate a state that was not polled so far, but that will most likely be won by these parties.

Arizona is a pure tossup in the last poll, Indiana is grey because it is unpolled and not leaning in any direction.

Obama: 401 EV
Gingrich: 115 EV

Tossup: 11 EV
Unpolled & no lean: 11 EV
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: December 20, 2011, 04:07:53 AM »

Here is Obama vs. Paul:



A lot of unpolled states (in lighter shades), while MO and IN are also unpolled and not leaning in any direction. IA is a tossup.

Obama: 355 EV
Paul: 156 EV

...

@ Hillary:

I'm not a member of the Facebook sect, could you please post your maps here ? Thx.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: December 20, 2011, 07:18:17 AM »


Go here:

https://uselectionatlas.org/TOOLS/evcalc.php

and fill out every state like you want it.

Then you click at "show map link" at the bottom of the page.

You copy this link and then you post this link here.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: December 21, 2011, 01:18:13 AM »

How exactly did you manage to use the wrong colours with the link I have provided to you ?

Besides, your map isn't based on polling numbers - but more on what you personally think.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #4 on: January 12, 2012, 09:22:23 AM »

Obama vs. Romney (FL to Romney, older NV poll has Obama ahead):

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #5 on: January 18, 2012, 12:20:31 PM »

Update

Obama vs. Romney (SC to Romney, OH to Obama):

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #6 on: February 05, 2012, 01:26:49 PM »


Update

Obama vs. Romney (MI, NH to Obama; FL, MO tie):

(map)


Thx for updating, but Obama "leads" in VA as well (by 1 point), per Mason-Dixon.

Obama also leads in the latest FL poll, but Romney leads in NC.



This map looks eerily familiar to a map we have already seen before ... Tongue
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #7 on: February 23, 2012, 09:25:10 AM »

Here's the latest Obama vs. Romney map:



MO is a complete tie and IN was still not polled

Lighter shades indicate states that have not been polled recently, but which are certain to go for either candidate.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #8 on: March 04, 2012, 09:30:35 AM »

Why did you abandon the Atlas map ?

Just wanted to do something with the Paint ... Wink
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #9 on: March 27, 2012, 08:50:51 AM »

Update:

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #10 on: May 04, 2012, 01:05:39 AM »

Update:



Looks very 2008-ish.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #11 on: May 17, 2012, 11:57:58 PM »

We use Red for Democrats here and Blue for the GOP !!!

Otherwise I get eye-cancer !
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #12 on: May 20, 2012, 12:40:20 AM »

Update:

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #13 on: May 20, 2012, 10:47:11 AM »

Update (TN goes from Romney+1 among Adults to Romney+7 among Registered Voters):

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #14 on: May 23, 2012, 09:03:19 AM »

Update (NC goes from "slight Romney" to "tossup", FL goes from "tossup" to "lean Romney"):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #15 on: May 24, 2012, 12:32:16 AM »

Update (WI from "slight" to "lean" Obama - CA, MA and GA remain "strong"):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #16 on: May 24, 2012, 11:26:27 PM »

Out of curiosity, why is Florida "Lean Romney" and not "Slight Romney" or even "Tossup", considering that Mitt only leads by .5% on the RCP average?

Because I only use the latest poll, which is Quinnipiac (Romney+6),
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #17 on: May 30, 2012, 04:03:15 AM »

Update (CA, MD, MI & CO):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #18 on: May 30, 2012, 02:09:59 PM »

Update (WI back to "strong Obama", MO to tossup):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #19 on: May 31, 2012, 05:59:49 AM »

Update (NV to "slight Obama", CO & IA to tossup):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #20 on: June 06, 2012, 04:42:49 AM »

Update (OH, VA, FL, WI, PA):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #21 on: June 07, 2012, 06:14:58 AM »

Tender could you do a special request? I would like one map showing PPP polls and another showing non-PPP polls.

I see no reason for this, because PPP is a legitimate and usually accurate pollster.

...

Update (VA):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #22 on: June 25, 2012, 11:34:24 PM »

Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #23 on: June 26, 2012, 11:36:23 AM »

Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #24 on: July 19, 2012, 04:36:20 AM »

Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
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