Tender Branson's General Election Maps (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 06:44:21 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Tender Branson's General Election Maps (search mode)
Pages: 1 [2]
Author Topic: Tender Branson's General Election Maps  (Read 39924 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #25 on: August 01, 2012, 03:10:11 AM »
Update (I also changed NE-02, TN and SC to "strong GOP" because the polls are really old):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #26 on: August 01, 2012, 10:44:24 AM »
Quote from: True Federalist on August 01, 2012, 10:41:17 AM
The South Carolina poll might be old, but I'm expecting that Romney's margin of victory will be on either side of the 10% cutoff between Lean and Strong.

Also going all the way from Slight R to Strong R in NE-02 seems a bit of an over correction.

I simply want new polls and I can change it again if they show similar close results.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #27 on: August 06, 2012, 01:34:55 PM »
Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #28 on: August 07, 2012, 01:27:36 PM »
Update (no change in Colorado, which is Obama+3, because of an Obama+6 poll from PPP and a tie from Rasmussen, while North Carolina moves back to toss-up because of a Obama+3 poll from PPP and an earlier Romney+5 poll produces a Romney+1 average, which according to Atlas rules is a polling map tie):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #29 on: September 23, 2012, 01:33:09 AM »
Update:



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #30 on: October 15, 2012, 01:08:59 AM »
Update:

Don't know if I should colour AZ as "toss-up" or "slight Romney".



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #31 on: October 15, 2012, 01:18:35 PM »
Update (MI, PA, AZ):



As a reference, I use the Atlas scales here, which means 0-1% is considered "tossup", 2-4% is considered "slight", 5-9% is considered "lean" and 10+ is considered "strong".
Logged
Pages: 1 [2]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.031 seconds with 14 queries.