Israeli election and demographic maps

[danny]

it's a shame we don't have maps who show swings. I think it was the most polarizing election since the 90's

swings are problematic with the way Israeli politics work, but I was thinking of doing a map of coalition versus opposition, I wonder if I should include Yachad with the coalition though (because they would mostly be in the coalition, and if they didn't exist their voters would overwhelmingly voted for coalition parties).

A bit problematic due to centre party issues. I think a swing map for ZU and Likud is preferable or at most with Meretz\JH+Liberman

Centre party issues are a problem if you try to make a right versus left map, but that isn't a problem with coalition versus opposition and allows you to include (almost) all of the parties. Obviously you have to keep in mind that coalition and opposition parties can be very different from one another (particularly opposition).

[danny]

Centre district 2015:

[danny]

Yahad getting 76,8% in Kfar Habad is still one of the most remarkable/funny results

The most right wing party always performs like this over there. It's all because of their Rebbe, who was against giving up any land.

[danny]

Haifa district 2015:

[danny]

Judea and Samaria (Israeli settlements) 2015:

[danny]

I looked really hard at that map to find green spots : light green would have infuriated me, dark green would have made me literally lough out loud. With the way Israeli politics tend to be hilarious, I really expected to find at least one of both, but didn't.

There is nothing even close to Meretz winning, the biggest percent they got was in Niran (one of the Red ones in the east), where they got 9.1%. There only 55 votes in total: ZU-47 Meretz-5 YA-3, with zero votes for everyone else.

[danny]

Northern district 2015:

[danny]

The last area left, South district 2015:

Part 1:



Part 2:

[danny]

Centre 2015 grouped into Right-coalition and Left-opposition:

[danny]

Nice! Great job danny!

Thanks

Same map as before for Jerusalem district:

[danny]

Haifa:



The City of Haifa itself was incredibly close, with the left-opposition winning by 0.11%

[danny]

I'm a bit late, but is it not a little surprising that the towns on the edge of the Gaza strip went for the Zionist Union?

I would have thought they would be strongly Likud given the rocket attacks and, I believe, a demographic that is largely Sephardi Jews, who tend to be reliably conservative.

All those Zionist Union places near Gaza are mostly Ashkenazi Kibbutzim or Moshvim and not towns, all the urban places in the area went heavily for the right. Being next to Gaza has little effect, demographics are far more important.

[danny]

Not exactly Ashkenazi, the Meretz Kibbutzim there are mostly Argentinians and other south americans  

Most South American Jews are Ashkenazi.

[danny]

Judea and Samaria (settlements):

[danny]

And now the south:
part 1:

                          
part 2:

[danny]

The urban south was such a massacre for the opposition, here is a list of all the localities with 10K+ votes:

Ashdod (113,203): 81.36-17.15
Beer Sheva (97,153): 76.6-21.77
Ashkelon (64,324): 81.13-17.13
Kiryat Gat (26,483): 84.83-13.98
Eilat (22,829): 65.34-30.8
Dimona (16,111): 81.15-17.25
Rahat (15,245): 2.26-95.08 (Bedouin city)
Netivot (14,603): 95.64-3.53
Ofakim (12,453): 89.87-8.86
Arad (12,297): 66.06-31.16
Sderot: (10,767): 86.63-12.09
Kiryat Malakhi (10,742): 89.78-9

[danny]

The urban south was such a massacre for the opposition, here is a list of all the localities with 10K+ votes:

Ashdod (113,203): 81.36-17.15
Beer Sheva (97,153): 76.6-21.77
Ashkelon (64,324): 81.13-17.13
Kiryat Gat (26,483): 84.83-13.98
Eilat (22,829): 65.34-30.8
Dimona (16,111): 81.15-17.25
Rahat (15,245): 2.26-95.08 (Bedouin city)
Netivot (14,603): 95.64-3.53
Ofakim (12,453): 89.87-8.86
Arad (12,297): 66.06-31.16
Sderot: (10,767): 86.63-12.09
Kiryat Malakhi (10,742): 89.78-9

Where׳s the shock there? I expected YA to get more in Ashdod and Zara's to be tighter but most of those cities (bar for 2 they aren't even real cities) are both Sephardi and in a fast process of "religiousizing"

I didn't say it was shocking, but I did think it was interesting enough to merit a post. What was interesting to me wasn't who won but just how lopsided the margins were compared to left strongholds (outside the Arab cities. The left pretty easily won some wealthy cities in the centre, but even at the most extreme, Ramat Hasharon at 68-31, it still isn't the 80%+ you see in Ashdod or Askelon.

[danny]

Final map in this series, the North: