ian
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,461
Political Matrix
E: -0.52, S: -1.39
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« on: December 26, 2004, 03:46:14 PM » |
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Ohio-D
Pennsylvania-R
Minnesota- barely D
Wisconsin- barely R
Michigan- slight R
Nevada-D
Arizona-R
New Mexico- slight R
Colorado-D
Florida- R
Iowa- slight R
New Hampshire- D
Missouri- R
Virginia- D
West Virginia- R
This is my expected result, but this really isn't a matter of opinion; it's a matter of mathematics.
For instance, Colorado, when it is mathematically calculated, moves to the left presidentially from 2000 to 2004 by 2.95%. (By shifting US election results of 2000 and 2004 to be as if the election turned out to be 50-50% both times, adding in the Nader factor to both candidates as if he weren't there, applying that to the statewide results [of CO, in this instance], finding the difference between Bush from 2000 to 2004, finding the difference between Kerry and Gore, subtracting the lower number from the higher number in both instances, then averaging the two numbers you just found, you can find the presidential voting trend in each state.)
Sorry if that math was too confuzing; don't feel dumb; I am taking a college course which requires me to do this kind of math. If I get to it, I will give you the results of each swing state using my technique to find the presidential voting trend.
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