4.86% Swing in 2012 (user search)
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  4.86% Swing in 2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 4.86% Swing in 2012  (Read 3487 times)
LastVoter
seatown
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« on: October 30, 2011, 10:56:11 PM »
virginia = 6.3, so no(4.86*2>6.3). Iowa and NH on other hand would be a really close states. Based on regional trends I would say that CO and IA would stay democratic though. But I really doubt the swing would be this big, because of the demographic change, it would be somewhere between 3-4%.
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LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2011, 05:40:01 PM »
Quote from: all the truth in the world adds up to one big lie on October 31, 2011, 04:32:40 PM
In other words, you drew a map where the Republican won by the same margin as in 2004, only the vote distribution was kinda (but not really, uniform swing being what it is) like in 2008.
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LastVoter
seatown
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« Reply #2 on: October 31, 2011, 09:52:32 PM »
Quote from: Cainmentum on October 31, 2011, 07:38:04 PM
Here is a 1 and 1/2 swing (7.29%).



Obama 212
Republican 326
This would require 2010 wave again. Not going to happen.
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