4.86% Swing in 2012 (user search)
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  4.86% Swing in 2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: 4.86% Swing in 2012  (Read 3536 times)
5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« on: October 30, 2011, 10:00:50 PM »

I have a 99.9% guess that's what the map will look like come end of election night in November.
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5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: October 31, 2011, 07:11:27 PM »

A half swing equals an Obama win, which doesn't add up to his approval rating of 45%.  No president in the history of US presidential elections has ever won with a disapproval rating almost 10 points above approval.

The first map makes sense.
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5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

« Reply #2 on: November 01, 2011, 12:49:29 AM »

Here is a 1 and 1/2 swing (7.29%).



Obama 212
Republican 326
This would require 2010 wave again. Not going to happen.
It could if Obama doesn't get his act together and do something besides pushing his jobs bill around, which I believe is really campaigning.
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