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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  4.86% Swing in 2012
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Author Topic: 4.86% Swing in 2012  (Read 3188 times)
phk
phknrocket1k
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« Reply #25 on: November 01, 2011, 10:42:31 pm »

Here is a tie election, with each candidate getting 49.24% (indie/third party total remained the same):



272-266 Obama. Does the EC favor the Democrats now?

You could argue that it favored Kerry in 2004. Though that was probably more a function of Bush doing better in his solid states than Kerry did in his.
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #26 on: November 07, 2011, 01:16:51 pm »

This map is wrong. First off you need to take each state and apply their trend. A simple swing toward the Republican candidate will not happen because each state has a different trend.

JCL would violently disagree with you.
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #27 on: November 07, 2011, 10:49:19 pm »

Yeah, if anyone wants to state by state trend for the 4.86% one, by all means.  T'would be muy interesante.
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