New Census Estimates for the States (user search)
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Author Topic: New Census Estimates for the States  (Read 5766 times)
Gustaf
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Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« on: December 24, 2004, 10:53:01 AM »

Doesn't really matter, we all knew the general trends. States that are gaining EVs and are lean-GOP are trending Dem (CO, NV, FL). Lean-GOP states that are losing are trending GOP (OH, IA). Still, some losses for Democrats. Ohio wasn't the closest to national averaga this time...a Democrat winning Ohio would most likely be winning Iowa and New Mexico as well.
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Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,779


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70

« Reply #1 on: January 25, 2005, 07:55:51 AM »

Carl, Alcon, Smash...the fact of the matter is that Perot obviously hurt Bush disproportionately in the Southwest-West in 1992, in states like Nevada and Colorado. They are both obviously trending to the Democrats. Florida is more of a mixed bag, it WAS trending Dem but whether it is now is more unclear. It doesn't matter as much though since it was a lot more in play than the others. It's still a battleground.
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