New Census Estimates for the States (user search)
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Author Topic: New Census Estimates for the States  (Read 5762 times)
Smash255
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Posts: 15,451


« on: January 16, 2005, 01:01:44 AM »

Please tell Boss Tweed about how all the Perot voters would have voted for Bush or Dole.

Note, I posted the percentages which can be easily seen at Dave's Election Results sites.

Facts are stubborn things.

Some posters (hmm) seem unable to deal with facts.

When you see how a state is trending you take that state & compare it to the national average


I used the following forumla  (National Dem - National Rep)   -  (State Dem- State Rep)

1992 for colorado

(43.01-37.45) - (40.13-35.87)
(5.56) - (4.26)  = In 1992 Colorado was 1.30 more Republican than Nationally

1996 for Colorado
(49.23-40.72) -(44.43-45.80)
(8.51)-(-1.37) = in 1996 Colorado was 9.88 more Republican than Nationally

2000 for Colorado
(48.38-47.87)-(42.39-50.75)
 (.51) -(-8.36) = in 2000 Colorado was 8.87 more Republican than nationally

2004 for Colorado
(48.27-50.73) (47.04-51.71)
(-2.46)-(-4.67) = in 2004 Colorado was 2.01 more Republican than the Narional Average

1992 for Florida
(43.01-37.45) (39.00-40.89)
(5.56)- (-1.89) = in 1992 Florida was 7.45 more Republican than the National averae

1996 for Florida
(49.23-40.72) -(48.02-42.32)
(8.51)- (5.7) = in 1996 Florida was 2.81 more Repubican than National Average

2000 Florida
(48.38- 47.87)
(.51) - (48.84-48.85) = in 2000 Florida was .52 more Republican than National Average

2004 Florida

(48.27-50.73) - (47.09-52.10)
(-2.46)- (-5.01) = in 2004 Florida was 2.55 more Republican than natioanl Average

1992 Nevada
(43.01-37.45) -(37.36-34.73)
(5.56)- (2.63) = in 1992 Nevada was 2.93 more Republican than National average

1996 Nevada
(49.23-40.72)-(43.93- 42.91)
(8.56)-(1.02)
In 1996 Nevada was 7.54 more Republican than National Average

2000 Nevada
(48.38-47.87)- (45.98)-(49.52)
(.51)- (-3.54)  = in 2000 Nevada was 3.03 more republican than Natinally

2004 Nevada
(48.27-50.73)-(47.88-50.47)
(-2.46) (-2.59) in 2004 Nevada was 0.13 more Republican than nationally

So if you compare the states to their Nationl average from 92 to 04 its the following

Colorado & Nevada are trneding Dem compared to Nationally, Florida was trending Dem compared to Nationally and despite trending a little more to the Republican side in 04, it is has still overall trended Dem compared to nationally
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