Clinton vs. McCain → additional blue states
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  Clinton vs. McCain → additional blue states
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Poll
Question: Which states would have gone Democratic if Hillary had run in 2008?
#1
Alabama
#2
Alaska
#3
Arizona
#4
Arkansas
#5
Georgia
#6
Idaho
#7
Kansas
#8
Kentucky
#9
Louisiana
#10
Mississippi
#11
Missouri
#12
Montana
#13
Nebraska
#14
North Dakota
#15
Oklahoma
#16
South Carolina
#17
South Dakota
#18
Tennessee
#19
Texas
#20
Utah
#21
West Virginia
#22
Wyoming
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Partisan results


Author Topic: Clinton vs. McCain → additional blue states  (Read 7806 times)
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #25 on: October 30, 2011, 03:50:07 PM »

360 - 178
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Duke David
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« Reply #26 on: October 30, 2011, 04:03:19 PM »


Hillary would definitely have won Indiana. Remember she had emerged victorious in the open IN primary, and nevertheless Obama got the electoral votes from there.
Thus, Obama's result means Hillary would have been all the more successful in the Hoosier state.
And btw, Oklahoma would have gone much more Democratic than under Obama.
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Miles
MilesC56
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« Reply #27 on: October 30, 2011, 04:24:25 PM »


Hillary would definitely have won Indiana. Remember she had emerged victorious in the open IN primary, and nevertheless Obama got the electoral votes from there.
Thus, Obama's result means Hillary would have been all the more successful in the Hoosier state.
And btw, Oklahoma would have gone much more Democratic than under Obama.

Hillary wouldn't have been able to match Obama's black turnout in Indiana.

I could see Hillary holding McCain under 60% in Oklahoma; still, probably something like 58-42 McCain.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #28 on: October 30, 2011, 09:34:58 PM »


Hillary would definitely have won Indiana. Remember she had emerged victorious in the open IN primary, and nevertheless Obama got the electoral votes from there.
Thus, Obama's result means Hillary would have been all the more successful in the Hoosier state.
And btw, Oklahoma would have gone much more Democratic than under Obama.

I'm sorry, but an open primary allowed GOPers to vote... and others who didn't like Obama, especially since the GOP nomination was settled.

The dynamics are different and they're not a facsimile of GE.
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Duke David
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« Reply #29 on: November 06, 2011, 07:03:26 AM »


Hillary would definitely have won Indiana. Remember she had emerged victorious in the open IN primary, and nevertheless Obama got the electoral votes from there.
Thus, Obama's result means Hillary would have been all the more successful in the Hoosier state.
And btw, Oklahoma would have gone much more Democratic than under Obama.
Hillary wouldn't have been able to match Obama's black turnout in Indiana.

What if Hillary had chosen H. Obama as her running mate?
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hcallega
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« Reply #30 on: November 06, 2011, 12:13:08 PM »

Let's say the POD is John Edwards wins in Iowa, with Hillary in second and Obama in third. Hillary cruises to a win in New Hampshire and goes on to convincingly win the nomination. She selects Ohio Governor Ted Strickland as her running-mate. The Republicans still nominate John McCain, who chooses Tim Pawlenty as his running-mate. Here is a likely map:


Clinton/Strickland (D): 333 EVs
McCain/Pawlenty (R): 205 EVs
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #31 on: November 06, 2011, 12:26:50 PM »

If the economy still collapses, Hillary would probably also win NV, CO, and VA.
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hcallega
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« Reply #32 on: November 06, 2011, 12:58:21 PM »

If the economy still collapses, Hillary would probably also win NV, CO, and VA.

I agree. I gave a somewhat conservative estimate.
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sentinel
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« Reply #33 on: November 17, 2011, 12:09:04 AM »

57 state shutout by Hillary
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TNF
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« Reply #34 on: December 13, 2011, 01:28:57 PM »

West Virginia would be lean Dem. Clinton probably carries it on election night while losing Virginia.

Kentucky is a tossup, but I'd say advantage Clinton. If she wins, expect McConnell to be retired from the Senate, too.

Indiana is going to be close, but I still put it in Clinton's column.

Clinton probably wins Missouri.

Tennessee goes for McCain, but by a squeaker.

Arkansas goes for Clinton.

Clinton probably outperforms Obama in Montana, and might win the state. On the other hand, she probably loses Colorado, Virginia, and North Carolina.
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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #35 on: December 17, 2011, 12:02:46 AM »
« Edited: December 17, 2011, 12:12:10 AM by Liberalrocks »



Clinton-Strickland  379   53%
McCain-Pawlenty   159   45%
Others:                             2%
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