National Tracking Poll Thread

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What the hell? Scott gave up on pushing the "Perry is a stronger candidate in the general" meme already? Fascinating.

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Obama 49% Perry 35%

I kind of doubt Obama is that far ahead of him.

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Cain 43% Obama 41%

Seriously.

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Cain 43% Obama 41%

Seriously.

Looks like Häagen-Dazs' Black Walnut is beating out Baskin Robins OREO Treat

Or Scott is up to his usual trolling games a year out from an election.

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Obama 43% Romney 42%

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Cain now trails by 6.

44-38

NOOOOOOOOO

Seriously though, he must just be making this crap up at this point.

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So predictable.

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Obama 42%
Romney 42%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/2012_presidential_matchups

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Santorum 45%, Obama 44%
Obama 45%, Paul 42%
Obama 47%, Romney 43%
Obama 49%, Gingrich 41%

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Santorum's first ever lead over Obama in a national poll! LOL!

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Santorum 45%, Obama 44%
Obama 45%, Paul 42%
Obama 47%, Romney 43%
Obama 49%, Gingrich 41%

http://m.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

Santorum's first ever lead over Obama in a national poll! LOL!

This might actually be correct.   Santorum is the only one whose name isn't being thrown into the mud right now (ironic, i know).

Doesn't fit with any of the other national or state polling that has included him though.

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One thing we can say with absolute certainty is that this race is a dead heat at this point,

No, it really isn't.

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At least thus far, it does not appear as if the Todd Akin dust-up has harmed Romney in Rasmussen's tracking. He expands his lead today from 1 to 2 points.

Wednesday:

Rasmussen: Romney +2  
Obama    44  
Romney    46 (+1)

Gallup: Romney +2
Obama     45
Romney     47

This marks the 9th straight day in a row that Gallup has been stuck at 47% Romney, 45% Obama.

pretty remarkable, considering gallup... The permanent ryan effect: not big but solid.

Permanent? lol. Hasn't it been less than two weeks since he picked him? And we're already calling things "permanent"?

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I see Scott's doing some prep work for Romney's big convention bounce!

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What a surprise, Rasmussen is already hard at work on a Romney bounce but Gallup isn't showing anything. lol.

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He seems to think only Romney's speech itself can produce a bounce, not the rest of the convention.

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Gallup is still showing nothing. Too funny.

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Obama regains the lead! We can only hope that John Ker... err Mitt Romney keeps bouncing like this!

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/01/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE87U1CJ20120901

Obama 44%
Romney 43%

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The 'bots seem to be capturing something; Romney's up by 4.

I doubt it will last.

By "'bots" do you mean "only Rasmussen"?

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Too bad Reuters shifted two points away from Romney yesterday.

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I really don't know why everyone is attacking the polls.  There normally is a post convention bounce; we've all been expecting one.  It isn't gigantic. 

Now it's starting to show up.  If it's like the rest, it won't be around for long.

J. J.'s First Rule of Elections:

If a candidate that say something like “I don't look at the polls,” or “The only polls that matter are the ones on Election Day,” that candidate will lose.

That could apply in this case.

LOL where were you when people were discounting polls earlier this summer that showed Obama up big? You're such a lovable hack.

What polls showed Obama up big?

Right now, I think it is too early to use the polls to make a prediction about November, but that doesn't mean that I think the polls are bad, especially the main ones.

Plenty.

Which ones, other than those that exist only in you own mind?

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/08/09/fox-news-poll-obama-lead-grows-as-romney-support-slips/

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/08/09/rel7b3.pdf

http://www.tipponline.com/presidency/news/presidency/obama-widens-lead-over-romney

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=11840

http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-2-12-Topline-for-release.pdf

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/12768_July_Poll.pdf

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I really don't know why everyone is attacking the polls.  There normally is a post convention bounce; we've all been expecting one.  It isn't gigantic. 

Now it's starting to show up.  If it's like the rest, it won't be around for long.

J. J.'s First Rule of Elections:

If a candidate that say something like “I don't look at the polls,” or “The only polls that matter are the ones on Election Day,” that candidate will lose.

That could apply in this case.

LOL where were you when people were discounting polls earlier this summer that showed Obama up big? You're such a lovable hack.

What polls showed Obama up big?

Right now, I think it is too early to use the polls to make a prediction about November, but that doesn't mean that I think the polls are bad, especially the main ones.

Plenty.

Which ones, other than those that exist only in you own mind?

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/08/09/fox-news-poll-obama-lead-grows-as-romney-support-slips/

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/08/09/rel7b3.pdf

http://www.tipponline.com/presidency/news/presidency/obama-widens-lead-over-romney

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=11840

http://www.people-press.org/files/2012/08/8-2-12-Topline-for-release.pdf

http://msnbcmedia.msn.com/i/MSNBC/Sections/A_Politics/_Today_Stories_Teases/12768_July_Poll.pdf

The worse was using registered voters and showed 9 points, which might have been an outlier. 

Even that one had Obama below 50% (barely).  Those were not "big," as was suggested.

It's been showing an election that looks close.  It still does.

You're laughable. How about you just admit that you were wrong for once?

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Come on, Reuters, what the hell?

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Reuters is here. The bounce continues:

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/09/08/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE88619X20120908?

Obama 47% (+1)
Romney 43% (-1)

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If we get a non-tracker national poll in the next couple of days, it could be truly scary looking for Romney.

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I kind of hope it stays close. I want an interesting election night.