National Tracking Poll Thread

[opebo]

I don't think which Republican is the candidate is going to matter much.  It will be a referendum on Obama, and that looks like at best in the mid-to-upper fourties percent of the vote right now.

[opebo]

It's over.

What do you mean?  Obama's chances at the presidency?

[opebo]

It's over.

What do you mean?  Obama's chances at the presidency?

Yes.

Oh, I agree!  So, I'm not the only one. 

[opebo]

What you're all posting about polling technicalities is no doubt true.. I just think my thesis fits the electorate better.

[opebo]

I really wouldn't expect much of a bounce for Obama based on the jobs report but I seriously doubt Romney's debate bounce will last very long.

I'm not saying a bounce, I'm just saying that the Pro-Romney samples will start dropping out in the next day or two and some that have heard about the jobs report will replace them, which is good news for the President.

The jobs report was partly in this sample (about a third).

The jobs report won't make any difference with white swing voters now.

[opebo]

Fellow Obama supporters, I will accept further accolades at a time convenient to you.

About what?

[opebo]

RACE
White   
35%
56%
8%


3 polls now show Romney winning whites by 20 points.

Proving MY point - racism is what Romney's winning upon.

[opebo]

So basically.... nobody knows what the hell is going on. At least the polls are reflecting the community.

No one knows, but generally it is tied.  What we really don' t know is if Romney's bump has really stalled out and whether there will be a lesser counter bump for Obama.  I suspect this is the case.

[opebo]

Lol, they are finding an electorate like 08.  I've been telling you your terrible three are skewing demographics to get their skewed turnout models, but oh no.  You'll see.

The last time I checked this country is more, not less diverse today than it was in 2008.

Yes, just think of all the old white people who have died off in Florida and Ohio over the last four years, and all the black and hispanic citizens who have reached voting age during that time.  It is really heartwarming.

[opebo]

I agree with Torie, whoever wins is not going to have a very fun 4 years.  Nothing will get done. 

Doesn't matter if 'nothing gets done', the next four years will be cyclical boom, plummeting deficits and steadily declining unemployment.  Recipe for either 1) happy second term for Obama, or 2) fairly easy re-election for the Cuckoo.