National Tracking Poll Thread

[Joe Biden 2020]

PPP gives the President a 49-48 lead.  The poll was conducted Oct 22-24, so 2/3 after the debate.

[J. J.]

PPP gives the President a 49-48 lead.  The poll was conducted Oct 22-24, so 2/3 after the debate.

Isn't that the same as yesterday?

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

And to dispel doubts about their bias among Republicans, the WasPost/ABC Tracking Poll puts Romney up 3.
Obama- 47%(-1)
Romney-50%(+1)

[krazen1211]

These advantages with independents undergird a sizable, 19 percentage-point Romney lead over Obama on the horse race. Should that advantage stick, it would be the sharpest tilt among independents in a  presidential election since Ronald Reagan’s 1984 landslide win.




Dominating!

[Bandit3 the Worker]

And to dispel doubts about their bias among Republicans, the WasPost/ABC Tracking Poll puts Romney up 3.
Obama- 47%(-1)
Romney-50%(+1)

When it's a tie in NC and FL? Hahaha, I don't think so.

[krazen1211]

And to dispel doubts about their bias among Republicans, the WasPost/ABC Tracking Poll puts Romney up 3.
Obama- 47%(-1)
Romney-50%(+1)

When it's a tie in NC and FL? Hahaha, I don't think so.

It's actually a 3 point lead in Virginia. Lines up great with this poll.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

It's actually a 3 point lead in Virginia. Lines up great with this poll.

Only Rasmussen has Romney ahead in VA.

[DrScholl]

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.

[J. J.]

And to dispel doubts about their bias among Republicans, the WasPost/ABC Tracking Poll puts Romney up 3.
Obama- 47%(-1)
Romney-50%(+1)

When it's a tie in NC and FL? Hahaha, I don't think so.

Because, it isn't.  

[Cliffy]

Obama is below 47 in the RCP (without Zogy 46.66) with less than two weeks out.  This election is over.

[krazen1211]

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.

Not if you decide to ignore a bunch of them, no.

[Devils30]

Romney might be winning in places like KY, AR, WV, TN with 61-64%. That's one of the things that could somewhat explain this huge state/national gap.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.

Not if you decide to ignore a bunch of them, no.

Of the state polls on the front page here, the only ones that are good news for Romney are one Uni poll, one no-name poll, three Rassies, and one from the spectacularly brilliant firm Foster McCollum White Baydoun.

[J. J.]

It comes down to OHIO. 

[Joe Republic]

It comes down to OHIO. 

That's truly some eye-opening analysis there.  You should contact the network news post haste!

[Likely Voter]

Thursday Summary

Rand:      Obama +4  (-)  
TIPP:      Obama +2  (R+1)
UPI:       Obama +2  [no new poll]
PPP:       Obama +1  (O+1)
Reuters:   Romney +1 (-)
ABC:       Romney +3 (R+2)
Gallup:    Romney +3 (-)
Rasmussen: Romney +3 (O+1)
  
Average: Romney +0.1 (R+0.1)

[DrScholl]

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.

Not if you decide to ignore a bunch of them, no.

What polls are you talking about? All Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada polls have shown Obama with an edge.

[Landslide Lyndon]

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.

Not if you decide to ignore a bunch of them, no.

What polls are you talking about? All Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada polls have shown Obama with an edge.

The same polls Dick Morris saw.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

It comes down to OHIO. 

Oh, good.

[J. J.]

It comes down to OHIO. 

That's truly some eye-opening analysis there.  You should contact the network news post haste!

On this site, you need to state the obvious. 

[Landslide Lyndon]

It comes down to OHIO. 

That's truly some eye-opening analysis there.  You should contact the network news post haste!

On this site, you need to state the obvious. 

Not that it matters anyway with people like you.

[krazen1211]

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.

Not if you decide to ignore a bunch of them, no.

Of the state polls on the front page here, the only ones that are good news for Romney are one Uni poll, one no-name poll, three Rassies, and one from the spectacularly brilliant firm Foster McCollum White Baydoun.

So you just ignored 6 polls. Kudos.

[krazen1211]

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.

Not if you decide to ignore a bunch of them, no.

What polls are you talking about? All Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada polls have shown Obama with an edge.

No, Romney has been tied in 3 Ohio polls. I welcome you to ignore them.

[Badger]

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.

Not if you decide to ignore a bunch of them, no.

Of the state polls on the front page here, the only ones that are good news for Romney are one Uni poll, one no-name poll, three Rassies, and one from the spectacularly brilliant firm Foster McCollum White Baydoun.

So you just ignored 6 polls. Kudos.

Considering their source, can you offer any specific reason not to ignore them (or at least take them with a rock of salt)?

[J. J.]

Problem is, the state polls are showing no movement toward Romney. At this point, the national polls are more or less useless, because Romney is likely over performing in places where he doesn't need to over perform, therefore producing a national lead.

Not if you decide to ignore a bunch of them, no.

Of the state polls on the front page here, the only ones that are good news for Romney are one Uni poll, one no-name poll, three Rassies, and one from the spectacularly brilliant firm Foster McCollum White Baydoun.

So you just ignored 6 polls. Kudos.

Considering their source, can you offer any specific reason not to ignore them (or at least take them with a rock of salt)?

Several of them are from good pollsters and the MOE's overlap.