National Tracking Poll Thread
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Author Topic: National Tracking Poll Thread  (Read 309201 times)
Likely Voter
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« Reply #1100 on: October 14, 2012, 06:43:54 PM »
So now Obama is leading in 3 trackers and trailing in 2. This is quite the close one
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #1101 on: October 14, 2012, 06:47:19 PM »
Quote from: Malarkey Voter on October 14, 2012, 06:43:54 PM
So now Obama is leading in 3 trackers and trailing in 2. This is quite the close one

It's really not even that close considering the Republican leanings of the 2 he's losing.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1102 on: October 14, 2012, 06:52:18 PM »
It's really high time that pollsters like NBC/WSJ, ABC/WaPo, CNN, YouGov, etc. weigh in again on the national numbers. Basically all we've gotten since the debate are trackers and that Pew poll.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1103 on: October 14, 2012, 09:19:29 PM »
Quote from: Lief on October 14, 2012, 06:52:18 PM
It's really high time that pollsters like NBC/WSJ, ABC/WaPo, CNN, YouGov, etc. weigh in again on the national numbers. Basically all we've gotten since the debate are trackers and that Pew poll.

Agreed.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #1104 on: October 14, 2012, 09:37:05 PM »
I think they're probably waiting now until after the debate...
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Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
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« Reply #1105 on: October 14, 2012, 11:17:57 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 14, 2012, 09:19:29 PM
Quote from: Lief on October 14, 2012, 06:52:18 PM
It's really high time that pollsters like NBC/WSJ, ABC/WaPo, CNN, YouGov, etc. weigh in again on the national numbers. Basically all we've gotten since the debate are trackers and that Pew poll.

Agreed.
Well one of them have, and we're up 49-47 in the ABC/WaPo poll.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1106 on: October 15, 2012, 12:38:40 AM »
Quote from: Clinton1996 "Sec. of Explaining Stuff" on October 14, 2012, 11:17:57 PM
Quote from: Eraserhead on October 14, 2012, 09:19:29 PM
Quote from: Lief on October 14, 2012, 06:52:18 PM
It's really high time that pollsters like NBC/WSJ, ABC/WaPo, CNN, YouGov, etc. weigh in again on the national numbers. Basically all we've gotten since the debate are trackers and that Pew poll.

Agreed.
Well one of them have, and we're up 49-47 in the ABC/WaPo poll.

49-46 actually.
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afleitch
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« Reply #1107 on: October 15, 2012, 04:24:54 AM »
Little Obama 'surge' on RAND continues

Obama 49.56 (+0.46)
Romney 44.94 (-0.40)
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #1108 on: October 15, 2012, 06:39:58 AM »
Quote from: afleitch on October 15, 2012, 04:24:54 AM
Little Obama 'surge' on RAND continues

Obama 49.56 (+0.46)
Romney 44.94 (-0.40)

Just returning to pre-debate status. The ABC poll showed the same thing after all.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1109 on: October 15, 2012, 08:44:27 AM »
UPI shows Romney 49, Obama 46, if we're talking newspaper polls in general.  That was unchanged. 
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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #1110 on: October 15, 2012, 08:59:03 AM »
The RCP average has, pending Gallup, reverted to a tie.
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J. J.
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« Reply #1111 on: October 15, 2012, 09:03:04 AM »
Rasmussen:

Romney:  49, u

Obama:  48, +1
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afleitch
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« Reply #1112 on: October 15, 2012, 09:09:45 AM »
Quote from: Nathan on October 15, 2012, 08:59:03 AM
The RCP average has, pending Gallup, reverted to a tie.

Curiously they didn't include last weeks O+3 YouGov poll dewspite YouGov having been polling since 2004 yet new outfits get included. If they did, then Obama would probably have squeezed ahead.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1113 on: October 15, 2012, 09:13:31 AM »
Quote from: afleitch on October 15, 2012, 09:09:45 AM
Quote from: Nathan on October 15, 2012, 08:59:03 AM
The RCP average has, pending Gallup, reverted to a tie.

Curiously they didn't include last weeks O+3 YouGov poll dewspite YouGov having been polling since 2004 yet new outfits get included. If they did, then Obama would probably have squeezed ahead.

They tend to cherry pick in order to help their guy.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1114 on: October 15, 2012, 09:14:35 AM »
I think they just flat-out reject internet polls.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1115 on: October 15, 2012, 11:38:05 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on October 15, 2012, 08:44:27 AM
UPI shows Romney 49, Obama 46, if we're talking newspaper polls in general.  That was unchanged. 

From Wiki:

Quote
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http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/UPI

It isn't what it used to be -- that's for sure:

Quote
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Same source.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1116 on: October 15, 2012, 12:14:31 PM »
Gallup shows no changes at all today on anything. (LV: R+2, RV: O+2, Obama Approval: +1)
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Umengus
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« Reply #1117 on: October 15, 2012, 01:24:07 PM »
Tipp
(10/09-10/14)

Obama: 46,9
Romney: 46,6

party id: D +7
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1118 on: October 15, 2012, 01:37:58 PM »
There you go. Smiley

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=161683.0
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1119 on: October 15, 2012, 01:56:44 PM »
The RCP average somehow found .1% for Romney so he could grab the "lead" back. lol.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1120 on: October 15, 2012, 02:26:17 PM »
The Romney debate bounce continues to fade in Reuters/Ipsos:

Obama 47% (+1)
Romney 45% (nc)

Of course RCP doesn't include this poll in its average, otherwise Obama would pull back into the lead today.
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ajb
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« Reply #1121 on: October 15, 2012, 02:33:07 PM »
Quote from: Lief on October 15, 2012, 02:26:17 PM
The Romney debate bounce continues to fade in Reuters/Ipsos:

Obama 47% (+1)
Romney 45% (nc)

Of course RCP doesn't include this poll in its average, otherwise Obama would pull back into the lead today.
RCP would seriously add to its credibility if it had a "methodology" page for its averages.
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #1122 on: October 15, 2012, 02:50:21 PM »
I think RCP just excludes internet polls
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Umengus
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« Reply #1123 on: October 15, 2012, 03:00:25 PM »
Quote from: Lief on October 15, 2012, 02:26:17 PM
The Romney debate bounce continues to fade in Reuters/Ipsos:

Obama 47% (+1)
Romney 45% (nc)

Of course RCP doesn't include this poll in its average, otherwise Obama would pull back into the lead today.

when Romney was leading, you said nothing...  Ipsos is not a very ggod pollster and has samples favorising democrats by big margin.
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Umengus
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« Reply #1124 on: October 15, 2012, 03:04:03 PM »

lol no I prefer party id sorry. My great experience on this forum you know...
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