National Tracking Poll Thread

[krazen1211]

Reuters-Ipsos

Obama 45% (-2)
Romney 45% (unc)

Among LVs. October 5-9.

Among RVs, Obama leads 45-42.

Latest:


Romney 45 (unc)
Obama 44 (-1)

[J. J.]

Day 2:

Romney 49
Obama 44


Great news! Obama continues his collapse with whites.

R +2, O -1

This poll has a strong R lean, but the trending is what to watch.

[Ty440]

Look at this pollster's GOP bias all throughout 2008, then magically at the end a huge correction towards Obama.........I'm skeptical

[Eraserhead]

If this is a tracker, shouldn't this thread just be merged with the main tracking poll thread?

[Skill and Chance]

So Gallup had Obama polling better yesterday than last Tuesday before the debate?  And everyone else (pending RAND?) had a further Romney gain.  Last Tuesday must have been abnormally good for Romney on Gallup?

Also, I would expect tomorrow to be Romney's polling peak on the trackers.  Last Thursday-Friday, when he probably led by 6+ start falling off this weekend.

Obama got about 10-15 days out of "the 47%" so it will be interesting to see what things look like pre-debate next week.

[Mr. Morden]

If this is a tracker, shouldn't this thread just be merged with the main tracking poll thread?

^^^^

[Cliffy]

As I pointed out in another thread Gallups sample has non white voters increased by 5 points this week and it's 6% higher turnout model for non white voters than 2008.  Not believable at this point.

[Likely Voter]

Gallup job approval is (and always has been) a measure of all adults. By that measure it is still a little whiter than census data

[ill ind]

  Rassmussen

  Obama 48 (+1)
  Romney 47 (-1)

  Ill_Ind

[Lief 🗽]

Gallup

RV
Obama: 48% (-2)
Romney: 46% (+1)

LV
Romney: 48%
Obama: 47% (-1)

Today the last pre-debate day of the sample dropped off.

[krazen1211]

Latest:


Romney 45 (unc)
Obama 44 (-1)

Latest:

Romney 47 (+2)
Obama 44 (unc)

[Tender Branson]

IBD/TIPP (Day 3):

47% Romney (-2)
46% Obama (+2)

[Lief 🗽]

IBD/TIPP (Day 3):

47% Romney (-2)
46% Obama (+2)

lol...

[Umengus]

IBD/TIPP (Day 3):

47% Romney (-2)
46% Obama (+2)

lol...

the true lol: party id: D +8

[Umengus]

Rand poll: Obama 48,21 Romney: 46,37

[Eraserhead]

IBD/TIPP (Day 3):

47% Romney (-2)
46% Obama (+2)

lol...

They obviously must have had a bad pro-Romney sample in there.

[minionofmidas]

Rand poll: Obama 48,21 Romney: 46,37

Now I'm starting to get worried.

[krazen1211]

Gallup

RV
Obama: 48% (-2)
Romney: 46% (+1)

LV
Romney: 48%
Obama: 47% (-1)

Today the last pre-debate day of the sample dropped off.

Gallup

RV
Obama: 48% (unc)
Romney: 46% (unc)

LV
Romney: 49% (+1)
Obama: 47% (unc)

[Bandit3 the Worker]

I just read that Obama's lead grew to 2.02% on RAND.

[Yank2133]

I just read that Obama's lead grew to 2.02% on RAND.

Yup.

Obama-48.17
Romney-46.15

[Umengus]

IBD/TIPP:

Obama: 46,4
Romney: 45,7

Romney leads independents by 9

party id: D +8

[Bandit3 the Worker]

IBD/TIPP:

Obama: 46,4
Romney: 45,7

This is an improvement for Obama, actually.

[Brittain33]

Romney leads independents by 9

Conservatives reidentify as independents; pays a double bonus in opening a gap between Dems and Republicans AND lets Romney win independents easily.

[Lief 🗽]

Reuters/Ipsos

Romney 46% (-1)
Obama 45% (+1)

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/12/usa-campaign-idUSL1E8LCAY820121012

[Likely Voter]

Reuters/Ipsos

Romney 46% (-1)
Obama 45% (+1)

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/12/usa-campaign-idUSL1E8LCAY820121012

That poll actually contains some data from today, so if one were to read too much into this...then BIDEN BUMP!  Not that I believe that is the case