You know I thought this forum was filled with people that actually knew something about election analysis.
Ask any professional poster, this far out head to head match ups are near useless, but what is a little more telling is:
A's approval/disapproval vs. B's approval/disapproval...the polls always converge on that anyway.
Yet, it seems like everybody would rather just use the head to heads.
I think pbrower often overreacts to the current polls. I think he undervalues past election results and take his analysis with a grain of salt but that's just me. Still, while it may not be the best measure it shouldn't be discounted entirely.