Are there ANY urban areas trending GOP? (user search)
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  Are there ANY urban areas trending GOP? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Are there ANY urban areas trending GOP?  (Read 3539 times)
BigSkyBob
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« on: September 01, 2011, 06:49:41 PM »

Nope. Republicans have never done well in urban areas.

There are numerous megacities in the South and Southwest in which the GOP does perfect well.

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The most Democratic council is not a "perfect" example, it is an extreme example.

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BigSkyBob
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« Reply #1 on: September 01, 2011, 06:56:03 PM »

By trend, what I really mean is swing - not the atlas definition of trend.

What I really mean here is that almost all urban areas are swinging Democratic, but some are swinging faster than others.

It all depends on what you mean by "urban." If "urban" is a county with a city of at least population 50,000, there are places that were formerly Democratic rural areas that are now heavily Republican "urban" areas.
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BigSkyBob
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Posts: 2,531


« Reply #2 on: September 01, 2011, 06:59:01 PM »

By trend, what I really mean is swing - not the atlas definition of trend.

What I really mean here is that almost all urban areas are swinging Democratic, but some are swinging faster than others.

I guess what you want to know is if there are any cities which are turning Republican in a substantial way.  I doubt it.  If there are it would be very few.  If you look at who inhabits cities you'll see that a majority of the people fit the Democrat demographic.  Minorities and young educated people.  Suburbs are a different story.  And as has been mentioned rust belt cities are also a potential exception.  They are undergoing a significant brain drain.

I'll put it to you this way.  Houston is the largest city in Texas and in the south.  Bush lost in Houston.  Also Houston's mayor is an openly lesbian woman.  You simply cannot have a city of that size and have it be Republican.

Republican candidates for mayor in Phoenix won 62% of the vote in the open primary.
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