Are there ANY urban areas trending GOP? (user search)
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  Are there ANY urban areas trending GOP? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Are there ANY urban areas trending GOP?  (Read 3532 times)
Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920


« on: August 08, 2011, 01:14:18 AM »

Are there ANY urban areas trending Republican? At all???

There's rural areas trending Democratic - and not just in New England and Hawaii. But are there ANY urban areas trending Republican?

These days, the pioneers are in the cities.

Well, in the Atlas sense, quite a few urban areas "trended" Republican in 2008, but this was mostly due to "ceiling effects" where they couldn't get much more Democratic. See: San Fransisco, D.C.

I'm not sure that accounts for all of it, though. Obama did worse than Gore in Brooklyn, Queens and Staten Island, for instance. Maybe it was all Lieberman, but I wouldn't be surprised if those boroughs trended Republican in the future.
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Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920


« Reply #1 on: August 08, 2011, 05:32:24 AM »

Nope. Republicans have never done well in urban areas. Just look at the municipal governments of NYC, Chicago, SF, etc. They're usually made up of 75-95% Democrats.

Perfect example is the Chicago City Council. It's got 50 members and after the most recent election 100% of the councilors are Democrats.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chicago_City_Council#Chicago_aldermen

An urban area doesn't have to vote Republican to be trending Republican, only less Democratic than it was before.
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