2004: It takes a Clinton to clean up after a Bush
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  2004: It takes a Clinton to clean up after a Bush
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NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #25 on: July 29, 2011, 07:38:30 AM »

The start of 2006, brought the first major international crisis of the Clinton Administration. The President of Iran made a disturbing statement: "Israel shall cease to exist." While foreign policy experts attempted to diminish the threat, Clinton responded with a strong statement, "Iran will not be allowed to make such threat, and any continued ones, either rhetorical or real, will result with a strong statement from the international community."


Many saw this as more then rhetoric, but as a dire threat towards the state of Iran. A few days later Clinton reworded her previous statement, attempting to diminish the impact of it.

Clinton's Approval:

A: 55%
D: 42%
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NHI
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« Reply #26 on: July 31, 2011, 10:18:42 AM »

In late March of 2006, Pres. Clinton briefed the nation with an important announcement: She announced that Osama Bin Laden had been killed near the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan.


The news sent shockwaves around the world, as America had claimed its most wanted man. Many saw the death of the leader as a signaling to the end of the war in Afghanistan.

Pres. Clinton's Approval Ratings:
Approve: 70%
Disapprove: 29%

The death of OBL boosted Pres. Clinton's approval ratings and she announced that "the goals have been met, our objectives have been met, the time has come to bring our troops home."

While some disagreed with Clinton's choice of words, the killing of Bin Laden was seen as a bolster to her dealing with foreign affairs, and would certainly strengthen the Congressional Elections that November.

Summer2006:


Pres. Clinton saw her approval numbers remain extremely high throughout the spring and into the summer. She made an overseas trip to the UK, then headed to the G8 Summit in Russia.


Clinton owned the room, and took great pride in the death of OBL, and reaffirmed the status of the United States as the world's leader.

In late August, Pres. Clinton announced her plan to begin an end to the Afghanistan War. She stated that by the end of my first term in Office all troops will be out of the country. She also signaled that by the end of 2006 she would bring levels down to 50,000 troops.

November 2006:
The Midterm Elections Delivered a landslide election for the Democrats. Democrats doubled their size in the Senate and took control of the House.



House:
D: 233
R: 202

Senate:
D: 59
R: 41

The Victories in the House elevated Nancy Pelosi to become the First Female Speaker of the House. In a statement released a day later Pres. Clinton announced her agenda for the coming year.

2007:
The year before the Presidential Election saw plethora of legislation. One of the first piece of legislation to be passed by both Houses and signed by Pres. Clinton was a Universal Health Care Package, sponsored by Ted Kennedy.



In her State of the Union she announced her intentions for a Large scale Immigration Bill, signaling it is a matter of "National urgency and must be dealt with now, not ten years from now."

Pres. Clinton Approval Ratings:
Approve: 60%
Dissaprove: 38%

By March of 2007 the first signs that the Presidential Campaign were underway, when Pres. Clinton announced to a crowd in Ohio, alongside daughter Chelsea that she was running for reelection. "I want to keep making history, I want to keep America winning. I want four more years to serve as your President."



Also at this time rumblings began on the GOP side, with former Governor of Masshusetts Mitt Romney and former Governor of Arkansas Mike Huckabee looking to enter the race.

Polling:
Pres. Clinton vs. GOP candidate
Clinton: 55%
Republican: 40%

Clinton vs. Romney:
Clinton: 56%
Romney: 39%

Clinton vs. Huckabee:
Clinton: 59%
Huckabee: 36%

Clinton vs. McCain:
Clinton: 55%
Mccain:  40%

Clinton vs. Dole:
Clinton: 59%
Dole:     35%

In June 2007, Mike Huckabee formally entered the race, saying "It's time to end the Liberal clutch on Washington and put a Conservative back in the White House, who will manage and yes, shrink government, not let it grow."



The Republican Runnerup in 2000, John McCain who announced he would be stepping down from his post in December of 2007 was asked Meet The Press if he would entertain a run for President.


"I will not entertain a run, I have served Pres. Clinton for the last two years, it has been a great honor, but I'm done in the arena."



At a farm in New Hampshire, in late July, Mitt Romney announced his campaign for President. Most polling put him near the top, due to his impressive fundraising.

GOP Nomination:
Other:     30%
Romney:  18%
Huckabee: 15%


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Del Tachi
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« Reply #27 on: August 02, 2011, 10:35:55 AM »

This needs to continue!
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NHI
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« Reply #28 on: August 02, 2011, 01:22:03 PM »

By September the Republican field had established itself, and three candidates led the pack.

Mitt Romney:    29%
Newt Gingrich:  24%
Mike Huckabee: 21%
Rick Perry: 10%
Elizabeth Dole: 5%
Ron Paul:          4%


With McCain bowing out of the race, the GOP operatives were surrounding Romney, with him being a governor from the state of Massachusetts, and prominent business career, he seemed to be the perfect candidate to challenge Pres. Clinton.

Polling:
Clinton vs. Romney:
Clinton: 50%
Romney: 40%

Clinton vs. Huckabee:
Clinton: 56%
Huckabee: 39%

Clinton vs. Gingrich:
Clinton: 57%
Gingrich: 40%



As the GOP Contest got underway, Pres. Clinton made headlines when Vice President Clark stood beside Clinton and announced he would not be running for another. Pres. Clinton promised to have a nominee by the time of the convention in Colorado.

Three Names Popped up to fill the VP spot:
Evan Bayh, Bill Richardson and Barack Obama.

The Media began circling the three prospects, but all three denied interested or discussions about the possibility, save for Sen. Barack Obama who stated, "I have not been asked, but I would be, as would anyone to serve with Pres. Clinton."

Sen. Barack Obama who came out of nowhere in 2004; delivering the keynote speech at the Democrat's Convention was not being discussed as a possible Vice-Presidential Nominee.


"We'll see,"

In news other than politics, Pres. Clinton continued her pre-primary strategy. She would remain grounded in Washington, giving a few speeches occasionally, but mostly focusing on the business of the nation.

Clinton reportedly sends a letter to the Pres. Ahmadinejad, wanting to invite him to join the six parties talks. A second letter was sent to Kim Jong-il

Clinton also signs an across the board tax cut. It is being called by Republicans as the Bush Tax Cuts 2.0. Many sees this as Clinton trying to win over Republicans.


During this time she appoints Leon Panetta to Sec. of Defense to replace McCain, and visits China to discuss a trade deal with China and for an Official State Visit. She then headed to South Korea.




The Republican Debate:

The first debate was held in New Hampshire, and gave Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee a chance to shine. Both were seen as the two winners, while Gingrich did his best. Though after a mediocre performance by Elizabeth Dole and subpar polling numbers she dropped out of the race.


"This is it, for me."

She also declared that she would not run for reelection.

IOWA:
It was becoming increasingly likely that Romney will win the nomination, as he lead in the fundraising and all polls, however Mike Huckabee bested the governor in the first Caucus state, shaking up the race.

IA:
Huckbaee: 37%
Romney:   33%
Perry:        20%
Gingrich:     4%
Paul:           3%
Other:         3%



Romney's once commanding lead in New Hampshire began to shrink, coming off the tails of Huckabee's upset.

NH: Dec. 2008
Romney: 39%
Gingrich:  25%
Huckabee: 19%

NH: Jan. 2008
Romney: 29%
Huckabee: 24%

However five days later on January 8th, Mitt Romney held onto his lead and managed to win the first in nation primary.


"We took the silver last time, but we're going home with the gold tonight, and I thank you New Hampshire!"

NH:
Romney: 39%
Huckabee: 36%
Perry:        15%

Despite Romney's win in NH and having the backing of many GOP establishment figures, the White House saw Huckabee as the dark horse that would win the nomination. For of all the candidates The White House seemed to fear Romney the most.

National Polling:
Romney: 31%
Huckabee: 31%
Gingrich:    20%
Perry:         10%

Following NH, Rick Perry ended his bid and announced his support for Mike Huckabee, which was seen as blow to the Romney momentum. The following contests in Michigan and Nevada produced mixed results.
Romney carried Michigan by a large margin, as well as Nevada, but the results were downplayed as Mike Huckabee received the support of Elizabeth and Bob Dole.

The week before the South Carolina primary Pres. Clinton hit the campaign trail and visited the states of New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida.


"The Republicans are having their fun right now, but I can't wait to take one of them on in November, because we've come too far, we've done too much."

SOUTH CAROLINA:

The South Carolina Primary produced a clear winner, and Mike Huckabee was the recipient. He trounced Romney in the state and assumed the status as the solid frontrunner. The Romney campaign went into crisis mode, with the Florida primary approaching, Romney debated his options, and then announced just before the primary that he was ending his campaign and supporting Mike Huckabee.



Romney's departure came as a shock to many, but some pundits saw Romney’s end to the campaign as a sign of times. With high approval ratings, Pres. Clinton seemed unbeatable.  He clearly realizes that she would be reelected and he didn’t want to be the guy that looses to her

Clinton vs. Unnamed GOP Candidate:
Clinton: 55%
Candidate: 40%

Huckabee continued his winning crusade, by picking up Florida and then sweeping through much of Super Tuesday, and by the night's end he was able to claim victory for the nomination.


"I am grateful for this opportunity, and now it is onward to the convention and to the White House, for it's time to take America back my friends."

With the Republicans having found their candidate, Pres. Clinton made her announcement regarding her VP choice. To a crowd of nearly 20,000 people, she announced his pick of Sen. Barack Obama.



The pick received universal praise from the Democrats and even from some Republicans. The first female President running for reelection and first black Vice-Presidential Candidate.










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NHI
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« Reply #29 on: August 02, 2011, 05:41:36 PM »

Clinton vs. Huckabee

D: 54%
R: 42%



Clinton: 276
Huckabee: 157
Tossup:     105

Light Blue: Lean Huckabee
Dark Blue: Strong Huckabee
Light Red:  Lean Clinton
Dark Red:  Strong Clinton
Green:       Tossup

The Conventions:

With Pres. Clinton announcing her Vice-President pick in June of 2008, the spotlight was on Huckabee, who waited until the week of the convention to announce his pick. The media speculated that the list included:
Tim Pawlenty
Mitt Romney
Charlie Crist
Rick Perry
Jeb Bush

However, Huckabee shocked everyone when he selected Governor Jon Huntsman of Utah as his running mate. The pick was seen as a chance to appeal to the moderates and independents.



August Polling:
Clinton vs. Huckabee:

Clinton: 52%
Huckabee: 43%

Colorado:

Sen. Barack Obama accepted the nomination for Vice President and called it the honor of his life to run with and eventually serve with Pres. Hillary Clinton. "She's the agent of change, she's the hope we need. America now is not the time to turn back, now is the time to go forward. Go forward in unison, Yes, we can America. Yes, we can."


Obama's speech was universally praised and the moment spotlighted what a brave and wise pick he was for Pres. Clinton.


In her address Pres. Clinton delivered a harsh attack of Gov. Huckabee, while promoting her record and plans for the next four years. "No way, no how, No Huckabee. Now he maybe a nice guy from a place called Hope, but he is certainly not bringing it. His proposals would hurt our economy, weaken our progress and return us back to the era of George Bush, and I don't believe America wants to head back down that path."

September: Clinton vs. Huckabee:

Clinton: 55%
Huckabee: 41%

Revised Map:



Pres. Clinton Approval Ratings:
Approve: 55%
Disapprove: 43%

Clinton and Obama on the trail.



Huckabee makes his case at a town hall in New Hampshire.




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NHI
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« Reply #30 on: August 03, 2011, 09:46:58 AM »

The Debates:
The first debate took place at the University of Mississippi. The debate focused entirely foreign policy and the economy.


Huckabee criticized Pres. Clinton for withdrawing troops to quickly from Iraq and Afghanistan, stating that while Osama Bin Laden is dead, the threat of terrorism is not.


Clinton: The majority of the American people want the wars to end. I've been on the ground, as has Sec. of Defense John McCain, a Republican and we have all reached the conclusion that the violence has reached a lull and it it is time to end it. Now you're suggesting I am proposing a large scale, immediate with drawl, and that is simply not the case.

The Debate was seen as a draw, though when independents were polled most felt Clinton was the strongest. Huckabee did what he needed to do, which was make no gaffes.

Clinton vs. Huckabee: Debate
D: 46%
R: 46%

Polling:
Clinton vs. Huckabee
Clinton: 52%
Huckabee: 44%

The Vice-Presidential Debate

Jon Huntsman didn't fare as well against Sen. Obama. The one term senator managed to dispatch his opponent, by criticizing running mate, and Huntsman failed to counter the attacks.



Huntsman vs. Obama: Debate
D: 79%
R: 17%

The Second Debate:



In a Town Hall setting in Nashville Pres. Clinton seemed to solidify her status as the frontrunner and dispatched Huckabee as Republican retread of George Bush.

Clinton vs. Huckabee: Debate
D: 59%
R: 37%

The Final debate dealt with matters of domestic policy and some foreign policy. Pres. Clinton was seen as the winner and her numbers continued to expand nationally.

Aside from politics The Democratic Congress pushed through and passed an Immigration Reform Bill, though on a much smaller scale than what Pres. Clinton wanted she signed it. Huckabee criticized the bill, saying "It is merely pandering to a democratic voting bloc"

Clinton vs. Huckabee:
Clinton: 56%
Huckabee: 42%

By conservative estimates, most pundits predicted would capture at least 55% of the vote and around 330 electoral votes. As the campaign wounded down Mike Huckabee continued to make his case for the Presidency, but it seemed to be falling on deaf ears. He would draw smaller crowds, whereas events held by Pres. Clinton and Sen. Obama drew upwards to 20,000 people.

At the last campaign stop in Arkansas, Pres. Clinton made her finally push, saying that while the polls looked positive, everyone needed to vote.




Election Night:

Good Evening America, Election Night 2008 begins now. Pres. Clinton is by no question the favorite tonight, but will Mike Huckabee be able to pull an upset over the President?



We are able to project some states at this hour. We are calling Vermont for Pres. Clinton, and the state of South Carolina for Mike Huckabee.



Huckabee: 8
Clinton: 3

It is a small lead for Gov. Huckabee at this hour, but the we have many states still outstanding, thoughts?

Georgia will probably go for Huckabee, but Indiana and Kentucky are the shockers, both are outstanding and have Pres. Clinton leading.

IN:
Clinton: 48.4%
Huckabee:47.8%

KY:
Clinton: 48.8%
Huckabee: 48.0%

VA:
Clinton: 50.0%
Huckabee: 47.5%

With Huckabee being from the South, the consensus was that he would sweep the states, but Clinton appears to be doing well, thus far.

Well, one has to the look at three factors: 1. Osama Bin Laden is dead, and the importance of that cannot be downplayed. 2. The economy is in much better shape than it was when Pres. Clinton took office. 3. Her approvals are stellar. Many people saw her as a polarizing figure in the early 2000s and many felt she wouldn't be a great President, but she has been a moderate on many issues. It may not please the liberal base all the time, but she has prove to be a great negotiator, and in many ways much more conservative than her husband.

8:00

We are able to project a winner in the states of: Connecticut, Massachusetts, Delaware, Maryland, Maine, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Illinois and Washington, DC.

For Gov. Huckabee we project, Oklahoma, Mississippi and Alabama. We are unable to project winners in Tennessee, Pennsylvania, Florida and Missouri.



Clinton: 82
Huckabee: 30

Looking at all these states that have yet to be called I have to believe the Huckabee campaign is getting nervous.

Well, we can now project the state of Pennsylvania for Pres. Clinton. Huckabee didn't think he could carry it, he spent some time in the state, but it stays Democratic again.



Clinton: 103
Huckabee: 30

Thoughts on the Keystone State?

Well, we will see. Certainly the Clinton campaign must be very happy, with the state going this early, and --

Hold on, we are now projecting the state of West Virginia for Pres. Clinton. This was a state Huckabee was leading in up until a few days ago, but it goes to Pres. Clinton as it did in 2004.

WV:
Clinton: 51.9%
Huckabee: 47.0%

We can also project a winner in the NH senate race, Jeanne Shaheen has defeated incumbent John Sununu.

8:40

Looking at the state of Arkansas now, Pres. Clinton seems to be expanding her lead over Gov. Huckabee.

AR:
Clinton: 50.2%
Huckabee: 48.6%

OH:
Clinton: 50.9%
Huckabee: 48.1%

Huckabee was the governor of that state, until his defeat in 2006, and Pres. Clinton has been long removed from the state, but again she is treading well and better than expected, as many thought this would be a close race.







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NHI
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« Reply #31 on: August 03, 2011, 09:47:56 AM »

Certainly, not. Now as we--- hold on we have another projection to make for Pres. Clinton, we are now calling based on our data that Pres. Clinton will carry the state of Virginia.

Wow, Virginia going this early for Pres. Clinton is saying something and I do believe it is the start of a much large trend for the remainder of the night.



Clinton: 121
Huckabee: 40

Other states to watch:

NC:
Clinton: 49.4%
Huckabee: 49.0%

TN:
Clinton: 49.6%
Huckabee: 49.1%

KY:
Clinton: 49.0%
Huckabee: 48.7%

FL:
Clinton: 50.0%
Huckabee: 49.1%

MO:
Clinton: 50.0%
Huckabee: 49.2%

One side we have not looked at tonight is the Vice-President candidates. Huntsman and Obama. Huntsman was a pick to appeal to the more moderate and independent Republicans, Obama was a pick to rally up the Democratic base and reach out to younger voters, which is something that is clearly paying off tonight as the results come in.

9:00

It is nine o'clock on the east coast and we can project some more winners. For Pres. Clinton we can now project her the winner in the states of:
New York, Rhode Island, New Mexico, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and Michigan.

For Gov Huckabee we project him the winner in:
Kansas, Nebraska, South Dakota and Wyoming.

We do not have winners in Texas, Colorado and Louisiana to project yet.

I'm confident that Texas will go for Mike Huckabee, but Colorado and Louisiana are up for grabs.

Just looking at the results we've received from Texas, which aren't many, but it is Pres. Clinton with the narrowest of leads which is surprising.

TX:
Clinton: 48.87%
Huckabee: 48.80%

Texas was one of those states that Pres. Clinton did not campaign in heavily. I believe she visited it once, and Sen. Obama once as well. I mean if she is able to take that state out of the Republicans for the first time since Jimmy Carter than we are looking at a landslide worthy of Ronald Reagan in 1984.

Well, as of right now we can project Pres. Clinton the winner in Arkansas. This has got to be a blow to the Huckabee campaign.



Clinton: 204
Huckabee: 62

Well if you thought that was good news, here is more for the Clinton campaign. The AP is calling Ohio for Clinton, and based on our projection we are calling the state for Pres. Clinton.



Clinton: 224
Huckabee: 62

We cannot downplay the significance of this victory. She was leading in all polls conducted in the state, but to carry it relatively early is a strong sign.

If this trend continues then it shows how off we were with our predictions of a sizable, but moderate win for the President. If things stay this way, than we could be looking at what you indicated, a Ronald Reagan-esque victory.

Gov. Huckabee has carried nine states thus far, and he probably will carry some more, but compared to her states he's in trouble.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #32 on: August 03, 2011, 11:52:32 AM »

I like Clinton ITTL!

I hope that she sweeps all the tossup states, a Democratic win in TX would be very symbolic.
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NHI
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« Reply #33 on: August 03, 2011, 03:51:08 PM »

Looking at the results in Texas right now, since this is the state that all eyes in the Huckabee campaign is looking at. The President's lead is expanding.

TX:
Clinton: 49.33%
Huckabee: 48.75%

We're also looking at the results in Indiana and Florida, which both are too close to call.

IN:
Clinton: 49.46%
Huckabee: 48.91%

FL:
Clinton: 50.72%
Huckabee: 48.00%

We have a projection to make for the President in Missouri. With 67% of the results in we can call Missouri for President Clinton.



Clinton: 235
Huckabee: 62

Another blow to the Huckabee campaign, this is another state from the south to go for the President and it looks like North Carolina is heading in her direction as well.

Looking at the results there is a large turnout among African Americans and Youth voters, and both groups are breaking for Pres. Clinton.

NC:
Clinton: 49.9%
Huckabee: 48.6%

We can now make a projection for Pres. Clinton in the state of Florida. Repeat, Pres. Clinton will carry the state of Florida.

FL:
Clinton: 51.0%
Huckabee: 48.3%



Clinton: 262
Huckabee: 62

Pres. Clinton is now eight delegates shy of the Presidency for another four years. It is only a matter of time, but we will not project a winner for the Presidency until a candidate reaches the number of 270.

9:50

Pres. Clinton seems to be expanding her lead in some of the states in question right now. The one that everyone is still watching is Texas. If she can put it in her column tonight then we are looking at quite a realignment for the Democratic Party.

Wait, hold on. We have a major projection to make. We are now calling the state of Texas for Pres. Clinton. We can now project that Pres. Clinton has been reelected!


It's Clinton!


Clinton: 296
Huckabee: 62

This is a major projection, given that Texas has not voted Democratic since Jimmy Carter in 1976. It seems that she hit all the right buttons tonight, because this is turning into a landslide for the Democratic Party.

10:00

We can now report that Pres. Hillary Clinton has been reelected for another four years, and to add clarity to that projection we now add the states of Nevada and Iowa to her column. Now she has been reelected, but the question remains how big a margin and mandate will she receive?



Clinton: 308
Huckabee: 67



We've just learned that Pres. Clinton will speak from her headquarters just after the eleven o'clock callings. We've learned that Gov. Huckabee has called Pres. Clinton and conceded the election, and will speak shortly from Arkansas.

10:25


Mike Huckabee concedes to Pres. Clinton. "...I wish her well. Now like all good Americans we'll go forward united, strong and ready for tomorrow."

With Pres. Clinton's reelection it appears that the Democratic hold on the country is strong. Not only has she secured the White House, the Democrats have expanded their numbers in the Senate and House. So it is a three-way sweep.

Coming up: Clinton's speech and final results of election 2008.
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HST1948
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« Reply #34 on: August 03, 2011, 05:03:18 PM »

That's my Hillary! If only this is the way the history had actually unfolded! Great job NHI!
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NHI
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« Reply #35 on: August 03, 2011, 10:26:49 PM »
« Edited: August 07, 2011, 05:42:54 PM by NHI »



Pres. Clinton addressed her supporters and claimed victory. "...We've made history again tonight, my friends. America will continue to go forward, making progress, and building hope for future generations. We will see that future generations are able to achieve their God-given potential. Our economy is strong, we are secure, America is back and I honored by the victory you have give me tonight. Thank you and God Speed."

Final Results:



Clinton: 458
Huckabee: 80

Hillary Clinton/Barack Obama: 72,421,567  (57.54%)
Mike Huckabee/Jon Huntsman: 51,421,111  (40.86%)

Pres. Hillary Clinton received more vote than any candidate in history, and received one of the biggest landslides since Ronald Reagan's 1984 reelection. The 2008 election was the best victory for the Democratic Party, since 1964.

Closest States:
TN:
Clinton: 49.59%
Huckabee: 48.66%

KY:
Clinton: 50.01%
Huckabee: 48.79%

NC:
Clinton: 49.65%
Huckabee: 49.22%

MT:
Huckabee: 49.40%
Clinton:     49.29%

IN:
Clinton: 49.91%
Huckabee: 47.59%

Exit Polling:

Votes by Men/Women:
Clinton: 52%, 69%
Huckabee: 48%, 31%

Votes by Race: White/African-American/Latino/Asian/Other
Clinton: 55%, 94%, 69%, 56%, 54%
Huckabee: 43%, 4%, 31%, 44%, 40%

Pres. Hillary Clinton and former Pres. Bill Clinton on January 20th, 2009.






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