ABC/Washington Post: Romney the only one to beat Obama

[Tender Branson]

Obama Approval Rating:

47% Approve
49% Disapprove

ADULTS:

47-47 Obama vs. Romney
50-40 Obama vs. Huntsman
52-42 Obama vs. Gingrich
51-40 Obama vs. Pawlenty
52-39 Obama vs. Bachmann
56-39 Obama vs. Palin

REGISTERED VOTERS:

46-49 Obama vs. Romney
50-40 Obama vs. Huntsman
50-44 Obama vs. Gingrich
50-41 Obama vs. Pawlenty
51-40 Obama vs. Bachmann
55-40 Obama vs. Palin

METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone June 2-5, 2011, among a random national sample of 1,002 adults, including landline and cell-phoneonly respondents. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3.5 points. The survey was produced for ABC News by Langer Research Associates of New York, N.Y, with sampling, data collection and tabulation by TNS of Horsham, Pa.

http://langerresearch.com/uploads/1124a2_2012_Politics.pdf

[Bandit3 the Worker]

This poll is such an outlier it's not even funny. According to the PDF, 46% of those polled are Tea Party supporters. Is the real number even close?

[Tender Branson]

This poll is such an outlier it's not even funny. According to the PDF, 46% of those polled are Tea Party supporters. Is the real number even close?

The 2010 Exit Poll showed:

41% Support Tea Party
31% Oppose Tea Party
24% Neutral

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls/#val=USH00p2

[Bandit3 the Worker]

This poll is such an outlier it's not even funny. According to the PDF, 46% of those polled are Tea Party supporters. Is the real number even close?

The 2010 Exit Poll showed:

41% Support Tea Party
31% Oppose Tea Party
24% Neutral

http://edition.cnn.com/ELECTION/2010/results/polls/#val=USH00p2

That was when the Tea Party hooligans were pretty much at their absolute peak, and it was a low-turnout election anyhow. No way the 2012 election will have even close to 46% Tea Party support.

[Eraserhead]

Gingrich comes within 6% of Obama and performs better than all of the other non-Romney Republicans? How can that be? Republicans themselves don't even like him anymore.

[Oakvale]

Gingrich comes within 6% of Obama and performs better than all of the other non-Romney Republicans? How can that be? Republicans themselves don't even like him anymore.

Yeah, this poll seems fishy. Everyone hates that guy by this point.

[krazen1211]

Mittens has gotten a lot of good polling as of late.

[Fmr. Pres. Duke]

Obama is beatable if the GOP doesn't nominate a nutter. It's not like he can point to a huge list of accomplishments during his first term - at least ones that turned out well.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Obama is beatable if the GOP doesn't nominate a nutter.

Does the GOP nominate anything but nutters?

[Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.]

Romney is a stupid name lol

[TheGlobalizer]

It just means that the soft leaners are at approximately 50-40 pro-Obama at this point against a generic Republican.  Uptick for Obama against dislikes (Palin) and downtick for familiar faces (Romney).  Lots of mileage to cover before this stuff becomes relevant.

It's one poll, but this one looks really bad for Obama, IMO.  Romney isn't exactly Mr. Awesome.

[Tender Branson]

Apparently, Bill Clinton was in a very similar situation in June 1995:

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[NHI]

One thing:
1. Barack Obama is not Bill Clinton