NJ- Rasmussen: Obama Slightly Favored

[Ebowed]

I think MN is the best example for the GOP since the streak is longer and the victories have been relatively smaller in recent elections.  Fool's gold is a pointless concept, though, because any smart (and well-funded) campaign will target states that could be competitive regardless of how much "electoral trends" might work against them, and it can pay off (i.e. Obama in Indiana) or not (Bush in Hawaii, not that they tried particularly hard; more recently, McCain in Pennsylvania, Obama in Georgia, Montana, Alaska).  It might be gambling, but if a campaign has limited options to win the electoral college, taking these risks is a necessity.  I got the impression Obama went after all those states because he raised more money than he knew what to do with.