New Jersey Turns Against Christie

[krazen1211]

That 38% that disapprove of Christie seems suspiciously close to the percent of New Jersey residents who are on welfare, food stamps, Section 8, are menbers of the teacher's union, or are state employees or in some way depend on the government for their livelihoods.

The Abbott districts that steal state funds from the suburbs consist of about 20% of the population.

New Jersey has roughly 3.9 million employed, and 625k employed in the public sector. There's the other 16%.

There's a tad of overlap, and some random haters, but the rest of the state loves the Big Dog.

Wow. Buono isn't even collecting the 36%

[Keystone Phil]

No. Don't ever change the title of this thread. Let them see what they did.

[traininthedistance]

Why do young people oppose him so much?

Leaving the RGGI and canceling the ARC tunnel = short-sighted decisions that screw future generations HARD.

[njwes]

Why do young people oppose him so much?

Leaving the RGGI and canceling the ARC tunnel = short-sighted decisions that screw future generations HARD.

How many young New Jerseyans do you think are actually aware of these decisions or their consequences?

[traininthedistance]

Why do young people oppose him so much?

Leaving the RGGI and canceling the ARC tunnel = short-sighted decisions that screw future generations HARD.

How many young New Jerseyans do you think are actually aware of these decisions or their consequences?

I'm well aware that my reasons and views are not necessarily typical.

FWIW I do consider vetoing the gay marriage bill the third-worst thing Christie has done, and of course your average young person knows and cares about that much more.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Christie is also brutally anti-teachers' union, and the youngest in New Jersey tend to be those with the closest ties to the teaching community. You know, on account of many of them still being students or otherwise being fresh out of school.

[Badger]

Why do young people oppose him so much?

Leaving the RGGI and canceling the ARC tunnel = short-sighted decisions that screw future generations HARD.

How many young New Jerseyans do you think are actually aware of these decisions or their consequences?

I'm well aware that my reasons and views are not necessarily typical.

FWIW I do consider vetoing the gay marriage bill the third-worst thing Christie has done, and of course your average young person knows and cares about that much more.

Just curious, what were the top 2? Those two issues you previously mentioned above? I admit I don't even know what those are about.

[pbrower2a]

Why do young people oppose him so much?

The pattern is heavily so nationwide -- in general the youngest voters rarely believe that the Republican Party has much to offer them while it demands much of them. 

[traininthedistance]

Why do young people oppose him so much?

Leaving the RGGI and canceling the ARC tunnel = short-sighted decisions that screw future generations HARD.

How many young New Jerseyans do you think are actually aware of these decisions or their consequences?

I'm well aware that my reasons and views are not necessarily typical.

FWIW I do consider vetoing the gay marriage bill the third-worst thing Christie has done, and of course your average young person knows and cares about that much more.

Just curious, what were the top 2? Those two issues you previously mentioned above? I admit I don't even know what those are about.

RGGI- Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, an interstate compact among a number of states in the Northeast to establish a pilot cap-and-trade system to cut emissions of CO2 and other planet-warming gases.

ARC- Access to the Region's Core, basically another set of rail tunnels under the Hudson, sorely needed since there's only one pair of tracks under there right now, built by the Pennsylvania Railroad about a century ago and currently at full capacity.  It's a huge transportation bottleneck.  The planning process was complete, and the federal gov't was going to foot the vast majority of the bill, and the state (and region) desperately needs further capacity... but no.

Yeah, those were the two biggest issues for me. 

[Keystone Phil]

NJ does more "back turning" to Christie - http://politicalwire.com/archives/2013/02/20/christie_soars_in_new_jersey.html


74% approval (56% among Dems) and a 37% lead against Buono.

[Keystone Phil]

Christie smashing Buono in latest poll, closing in on 60% to Buono's 22%. Christie's approval is down...to 73%. He has a 56% approval rating among non-whites.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

David Stahl, the mayor of East Brunswick (a suburban Democratic town of 46,000 in the suburban-and-urban Democratic county of Middlesex) has switched parties from Democrat to Republican. Stahl will seek election to the heavily Democratic 18th Senate district, currently held by gubernatorial candidate Barbara Buono.

In 2009, Christie carried Middlesex county in something of an upset, though arguably, given trends elsewhere in the state, you could say a statewide Republican now needs blue collar Middlesex to win. Republican candidates did surprisingly well here in 2009: Assemblyman Diegnan (D) won by a relatively narrow 26,317 to 24,091 margin against nobody Joe Sinagra (R). It's the most Republican of the Middlesex Senate districts (read: most suburban), and is theoretically winnable in a Christie-dominated GOP wave election.

It wasn't close in 2007 or 2011, but it is worth noting that Republicans picked up this seat in the 1991 anti-Florio superwave, with the incumbent winning upset re-election campaigns in 1993 and 1997.

[krazen1211]

David Stahl, the mayor of East Brunswick (a suburban Democratic town of 46,000 in the suburban-and-urban Democratic county of Middlesex) has switched parties from Democrat to Republican. Stahl will seek election to the heavily Democratic 18th Senate district, currently held by gubernatorial candidate Barbara Buono.

In 2009, Christie carried Middlesex county in something of an upset, though arguably, given trends elsewhere in the state, you could say a statewide Republican now needs blue collar Middlesex to win. Republican candidates did surprisingly well here in 2009: Assemblyman Diegnan (D) won by a relatively narrow 26,317 to 24,091 margin against nobody Joe Sinagra (R). It's the most Republican of the Middlesex Senate districts (read: most suburban), and is theoretically winnable in a Christie-dominated GOP wave election.

It wasn't close in 2007 or 2011, but it is worth noting that Republicans picked up this seat in the 1991 anti-Florio superwave, with the incumbent winning upset re-election campaigns in 1993 and 1997.

1991 was the last time prior to 2009 that a Republican won Middlesex County. As it stands Christie won the 18th district by a reasonable margin; outside of 1 and 3 it was one of this best Dem held districts.

[Brittain33]

David Stahl, the mayor of East Brunswick (a suburban Democratic town of 46,000 in the suburban-and-urban Democratic county of Middlesex) has switched parties from Democrat to Republican. Stahl will seek election to the heavily Democratic 18th Senate district, currently held by gubernatorial candidate Barbara Buono.

In 2009, Christie carried Middlesex county in something of an upset, though arguably, given trends elsewhere in the state, you could say a statewide Republican now needs blue collar Middlesex to win. Republican candidates did surprisingly well here in 2009: Assemblyman Diegnan (D) won by a relatively narrow 26,317 to 24,091 margin against nobody Joe Sinagra (R). It's the most Republican of the Middlesex Senate districts (read: most suburban), and is theoretically winnable in a Christie-dominated GOP wave election.

It wasn't close in 2007 or 2011, but it is worth noting that Republicans picked up this seat in the 1991 anti-Florio superwave, with the incumbent winning upset re-election campaigns in 1993 and 1997.

I don't know who Joe Sinagra was, but it couldn't have hurt to have the same last name as the last R senator from this district, who was never defeated and was appointed to head the Port Authority, and who was mayor of East Brunswick before that.

[Mr.Phips]

David Stahl, the mayor of East Brunswick (a suburban Democratic town of 46,000 in the suburban-and-urban Democratic county of Middlesex) has switched parties from Democrat to Republican. Stahl will seek election to the heavily Democratic 18th Senate district, currently held by gubernatorial candidate Barbara Buono.

In 2009, Christie carried Middlesex county in something of an upset, though arguably, given trends elsewhere in the state, you could say a statewide Republican now needs blue collar Middlesex to win. Republican candidates did surprisingly well here in 2009: Assemblyman Diegnan (D) won by a relatively narrow 26,317 to 24,091 margin against nobody Joe Sinagra (R). It's the most Republican of the Middlesex Senate districts (read: most suburban), and is theoretically winnable in a Christie-dominated GOP wave election.

It wasn't close in 2007 or 2011, but it is worth noting that Republicans picked up this seat in the 1991 anti-Florio superwave, with the incumbent winning upset re-election campaigns in 1993 and 1997.

If Christie does win huge, it won't be because voters like him as a Republican, it will be because he goes out of his way to not be like other Republicans.  This would mean that he would have pretty limited coat tails.