I think GA should indeed be leans R, or even better, NCF. But certainly not leans D, just in general. I think it will mostly depend on the Dem nominee. I would think Sec. of State Cathy Cox would have a better chance than would Lt. Gov. Mark Taylor in defeating Sonny. After the Dem defections to the GOP in the state senate in 2002, the new GOP majority stripped Taylor of most of his power, making him basically a ceremonial figure, a fact that has been well-publicized. Also, Taylor has positioned himself as a vocal opponent of Sonny's, which at this point probably won't be a positive. Cox, on the other hand, was reelected in 2002 with the highest margin of any statewide candidate. She recently has had a series of consumer-protection commercials that have boosted her visibility and name recognition, and she's quite photogenic. I think with Taylor as the Dem candidate, this is a lean R, but with Cox, it would be lean D. My question is why they're having this battle between the GA Dems' top 2 candidates. It's unproductive.
And for CT, where I'm living at the moment, I think it should surely be leans R at this point. According to a recent poll, even against Sen. Chris Dodd, who is extremely popular here, Rell would still win by a few points.
I agree wi' that... I'm assuming that the better candidate (ie: Cox) will get picked.
Maybe not a safe assumption. Call it NCF for now.