2006 Governor's races (user search)
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  2006 Governor's races (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2006 Governor's races  (Read 10552 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,726
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« on: December 05, 2004, 02:21:51 PM »

AL - Depends on the candidates (please, please, please not Roy Moore...) for now: NCF
AK - Should be safely GOP but an upset is possible
AZ - Not seen any approval ratings, don't know AZ politics very well.
AR - Depends on the candidate. AR is a Dfundamentally a Democratic state so a slight D lean (for now at least)
CA - Safe SdK (Schwarzeneggerpartie die Kulifoorneeyar
CO - NCF
CT - New Gov is popular. NCF
FL - Depends on candidates. NCF for now
GA - Perdue is a dead man walking. Leans D.
HI - Leans R
ID - Safe R
IL - Leans D
IA - Leans-to-Safe D (if Vilsack runs again)
KS - NCF
ME - Safe-to-Lean D
MD - NCF
MA - Leans D if the Democrats get a half decent candidate
MI - Safe D
MN - NCF
NE - Safe R
NV - NCF
NH - Who Knows?
NM - Safe D
NY - Leans D
OH - NCF
OK - Safe D
OR - Leans D
PA - probably better not to go here, discuss this in the million other threads on it
RI - same as MA, Leans D with a half decent candidate
SC - Safe R
SD - Safe R
TN - Bredesen is very popular. Safe D unless he cocks up.
TX - Depends if Perry runs again and if he can survive the primary
VT - Safe R unless Dean decides to make a comeback
WI - NCF
WY - Safe D
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,726
United Kingdom


« Reply #1 on: December 05, 2004, 02:42:23 PM »

OK is Safe D? Is Henry that popular?

His approval rating is consistantly 65% and over
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
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Posts: 67,726
United Kingdom


« Reply #2 on: December 05, 2004, 02:56:47 PM »

So is Bob Ehrlich in MD (approval rating @ 67% last time they polled).
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
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Posts: 67,726
United Kingdom


« Reply #3 on: December 07, 2004, 04:58:19 AM »

I think GA should indeed be leans R, or even better, NCF.  But certainly not leans D, just in general.  I think it will mostly depend on the Dem nominee.  I would think Sec. of State Cathy Cox would have a better chance than would Lt. Gov. Mark Taylor in defeating Sonny.  After the Dem defections to the GOP in the state senate in 2002, the new GOP majority stripped Taylor of most of his power, making him basically a ceremonial figure, a fact that has been well-publicized.  Also, Taylor has positioned himself as a vocal opponent of Sonny's, which at this point probably won't be a positive.  Cox, on the other hand, was reelected in 2002 with the highest margin of any statewide candidate.  She recently has had a series of consumer-protection commercials that have boosted her visibility and name recognition, and she's quite photogenic.  I think with Taylor as the Dem candidate, this is a lean R, but with Cox, it would be lean D.  My question is why they're having this battle between the GA Dems' top 2 candidates.  It's unproductive.

And for CT, where I'm living at the moment, I think it should surely be leans R at this point.  According to a recent poll, even against Sen. Chris Dodd, who is extremely popular here, Rell would still win by a few points.

I agree wi' that... I'm assuming that the better candidate (ie: Cox) will get picked.
Maybe not a safe assumption. Call it NCF for now.
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Filuwaúrdjan
Realpolitik
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 67,726
United Kingdom


« Reply #4 on: February 22, 2005, 04:46:22 PM »

Baxley looks like a very strong candidate and it looks as though the mud has finally stuck to Siegelman.

Interesting thing about the last few cycles of Gubernatorial elections in the Deep South is that most seem to end up flipping.
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