Canadian Election Results Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: Canadian Election Results Thread  (Read 123602 times)
Filuwaúrdjan
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« on: May 02, 2011, 10:49:28 PM »

Feeling slightly better, logged on. Harper majority is not great, but NDP managing second is. Some remarkable results in Quebec and Toronto. Shame about the Prairies; a paradoxical side-effect of NDP success their at a provincial level.

I suppose the obvious question is 'what now', isn't it?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #1 on: May 02, 2011, 11:24:46 PM »

Ah, I see that the NDP gained (the successor to) David Lewis's old seat. Smiley
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #2 on: May 02, 2011, 11:35:58 PM »

Scarborough-Rouge River everyone. Scarborough-Rouge River.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #3 on: May 02, 2011, 11:48:22 PM »

What's the margin for re-counts?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #4 on: May 02, 2011, 11:53:24 PM »

Wow. I said it before, and I'll say it again. I now hate Saskatchewan.

I think you'd be better off hating the boundaries Tongue

Three heartbreakers instead of one. Is that better or worse? But a majority government (as distasteful as that is given its composition) does mean that the boundaries will change before the next election. And given the disparity between votes and seats there this time, the case for a radical redesign in Saskatchewan is pretty overwhelming.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #5 on: May 03, 2011, 12:21:36 AM »

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Strange_Death_of_Liberal_England
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #6 on: May 03, 2011, 12:25:24 AM »

Harper should be praising Layton.  It's because of Layton and the NDP that the Tories won tonight.

How so?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #7 on: May 03, 2011, 12:28:23 AM »

The Parkdale-High Park rematch wasn't even close. Neither was Davenport.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #8 on: May 03, 2011, 12:30:03 AM »

RE: the NDP not moving to the centre... um... that's exactly what they've done under Layton so far. Despite his background. It's worked as well.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #9 on: May 03, 2011, 12:40:49 AM »

City of Toronto (counting Pickering-Scarborough East as .5): NDP 8, Con 7.5, Lib 7. Wow.

^^^

Almost as eye-catching as Quebec.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #10 on: May 03, 2011, 12:44:20 AM »

Amusing: Westmount-Ville-Marie may yet hold for the Liberals. This was the NDP's second best seat in Montreal last time, but this isn't maybe so surprising, given that they mostly surged with pure laine voters and Westmount itself is very... you know. Not that.

Are elections for the Toronto City Council partisan and if so what is the current composition?

Nonpartisan, but everyone knows the general leaning of the candidates.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #11 on: May 03, 2011, 12:58:31 AM »

Quebec seats with over 50% for the NDP as of... whenever I type each one out.

Gatineau - 61.9
Hull-Aylmer - 59.2
Outremont - 56.4
Riviere-du-Nord - 55.1
Trois-Rivieres - 53.6
Montcalm - 52.9
Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot - 52.2
Chateauguay-Saint-Constant - 52.0
Longueuil-Pierre-Boucher - 51.9
Repentigny - 51.9
Drummond - 51.7
Abitibi-Temiscamingue - 51.3
Shefford - 51.1
Rosemont-La-Petite-Patrie - 50.8

Don't think I've missed any. Near-misses include Manicouagan (remember that one?), some in Quebec City, the North Shore burbs and the East Island.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #12 on: May 03, 2011, 01:09:07 AM »

Westmount—Ville-Marie will hold, it appears. Hilarious.

Anglo-snobs for Iggy!
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #13 on: May 03, 2011, 01:11:23 AM »

The Liberals star recruit in Hamilton Mountain (a former MPP for the area) polled a miserable 16.2%.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #14 on: May 03, 2011, 01:33:21 AM »

I checked, and this was actually the best NDP result in Saskatchewan since 1988. Despite winning no seats.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #15 on: May 03, 2011, 01:44:49 AM »

I checked, and this was actually the best NDP result in Saskatchewan since 1988. Despite winning no seats.

I do not understand why the boundary commission would draw those seats like  that.

I don't know the original reason, but the boundaries were kept last time round because Dick Proctor didn't like the look of the proposed Moose Jaw seat and promptly shot himself (and his party) in the head. The argument for change wasn't so overwhelming at the time because NDP candidates had managed (over divided non-socialist votes) to win in 1997 and 2000.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #16 on: May 03, 2011, 12:34:47 PM »

Ah, I see that you're a fan of the Member for Berthier-Maskinongé.

---

Just looking through the Toronto results (doing the usual percentage winners map - slightly dodgy at this stage as a couple of seats might change hands, but whatever) and... er... York Centre. Knew that Dryden lost (knew that he was going to lose) but the margin? Wow. That was once one of the safest of the safe Liberal seats.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 63,894
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« Reply #17 on: May 03, 2011, 01:05:42 PM »



Minor errors certain.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 63,894
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« Reply #18 on: May 04, 2011, 11:21:21 AM »

Currently working on party vote maps by riding.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #19 on: May 04, 2011, 12:23:59 PM »

Good Lord: the Liberals polled just 14.8% in Lester Pearson's old fief.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #20 on: May 04, 2011, 02:15:40 PM »

Perhaps in Winnipeg too - I had not expected to see someone lik Jim Maloway out of a job, especially in a seat like Elmwood.

He didn't win by much in 2008 and the provincial government has become unpopular since then - remember that in 1988 the NDP lost a lot of ground (and seats) in Manitoba, despite their national surge and for related reasons. Obviously a top NDP target next time round, no matter what happens when the boundaries are redrawn.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 63,894
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« Reply #21 on: May 04, 2011, 04:29:43 PM »

Map time! As always use the magic of 'right click' to get a bigger version... comments will appear later, but perhaps you could add your own (like milk in tea).

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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 63,894
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« Reply #22 on: May 04, 2011, 04:30:12 PM »

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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 63,894
United Kingdom


« Reply #23 on: May 04, 2011, 04:31:07 PM »
« Edited: May 04, 2011, 05:35:36 PM by Comrade Sibboleth »

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Filuwaúrdjan
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Posts: 63,894
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« Reply #24 on: May 04, 2011, 04:32:04 PM »
« Edited: May 04, 2011, 05:36:30 PM by Comrade Sibboleth »

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