Canadian Election Results Thread
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November 29, 2021, 03:11:51 PM

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Author Topic: Canadian Election Results Thread  (Read 124527 times)
MaxQue
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« Reply #1050 on: July 04, 2011, 09:50:45 PM »

Quebec is quite European, actually in their democracy. OK, they use FPTP, but... look at their election signs. Totally different than the rest of Canada. It's all about the leader. There was probably more outrage about Ruth Ellen Brosseau in the rest of Canada than in Quebec. In fact, she's quite popular in  her riding.

No insult to the people of my native region of Lanaudiere, but the people there are often quite shallow. They fall in love with shallow people so easily, especially if they're hot and cute.

Good news, Harper isn't cute.
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the506
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« Reply #1051 on: July 13, 2011, 07:58:48 PM »

The poll-by-poll results are now available here:

http://www.elections.ca/scripts/resval/ovr_41ge_pollbypoll.asp?lang=e

Time to get to work on some maps!
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trebor204
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« Reply #1052 on: July 13, 2011, 08:11:02 PM »

Dang, you just beat me!
There are not on the main page, you had to go to past elections.

Based on the time stamp they were posted last Friday.


They are not the "Offical Results", they will be posted in August.
The CSV results don't contain the party name just the name of candidate.
THE PDF results do contain the name of the party.
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Shilly
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« Reply #1053 on: July 14, 2011, 12:37:02 AM »

Here goes nothing.

EtobicokeŚLakeshore
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1054 on: July 14, 2011, 01:21:30 AM »

Wow, the riding is small. I would be surprised if there was more than 100 precincts.
And Ignatieff got badly defeated, according to the map.
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Shilly
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« Reply #1055 on: July 14, 2011, 02:00:26 AM »

BramaleaŚGoreŚMalton
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1056 on: July 14, 2011, 02:21:16 AM »

Polarised. Gore and Malton voted NDP, Bramalea voted Conservative.

The seat is way over populated, too, so I suppose than one of the three will be removed before next election.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #1057 on: July 14, 2011, 05:19:14 AM »

I think those should be posted in the dedied thread, research is hard in that big thread.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #1058 on: July 14, 2011, 07:15:00 AM »

One can easily create an NDP seat out of that. I wonder what the ethnic breakdown is between Malton/Gore and Bramalea. I guess Bramalea is older, and more white, but I thought Malton was too? I will have to do my research...
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adma
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« Reply #1059 on: July 14, 2011, 07:19:18 AM »

Malton's heavily Asian. Always the "Liberal" half of the riding.
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adma
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« Reply #1060 on: July 14, 2011, 08:51:14 PM »

Wow, the riding is small. I would be surprised if there was more than 100 precincts.

In 2008, it had 189 + 37 "400s" (apt polls and the like).  It only *seems* small.  It's urban, after all.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1061 on: July 21, 2011, 05:45:04 AM »

I'm curious what people think the results would have been if this
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=138428.0
had been used in the election.

A dozen more NDP seats?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1062 on: July 21, 2011, 06:02:58 AM »

A first in a series of posts...

I've taken poll by poll results and I'm using it to figure out what vote share each party got in areas of ridings. For example:

Yukon

Whitehorse
Lib-35.1%
Con-31.5%
Grn-20.2%
NDP-13.2%

Rural
Con-36.8%
Lib-30.1%
Grn-17.2%
NDP-15.9%

I'm going to tackle the Regina/Saskatoon seats next, and then perhaps a few others that have large towns in them, and I'm also open to requests.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1063 on: July 21, 2011, 06:45:27 AM »

Will be doing:
All Regina and Saskatoon seats (unless I fall alseep first) as well as:
Ajax Pickering
This will allow me to determine if there was any Lib/Con split.
Pickering-Scarborough East
This will allow me to combine with the above to find out the total for Pickering, and, allow me to thus remove that from the Toronto results, and hence, determine Toronto.
Thunder Bay-Rainy River
Thunder Bay-Superior North
This will allow me to solve for (Determine the total pop vote in) Thunder Bay
Lethbridge
Solve for the city/town of Lethbridge


Maybe:
Peterborough
Solve for the city of Peterborough (VS the rural area)
Thornhill
Split between Markham and Vaughan
Oak Ridges-Markham
Adding the above and the Markham riding, will allow me to solve for Markham
Mississauga-Brampton South
Bramlea-Gore-Malton
These two will allow me to split Mississauga from Brampton and solve for both.
Cariboo-Prince George
Prince Geroge-Peace River
Solve for Prince George
Western Arctic
Solve for Yellowknife
York South - Weston
Toronto Danforth
Beaches East York
Don Valley West
Davenport
Eglinton-Lawrence
St. Pauls
Solve for Toronto, North York, East York, and York
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1064 on: July 21, 2011, 01:25:07 PM »

SASKATOON

City:
Con - 47.1%
NDP - 43.2%
Lib - 7.0%
Grn - 2.7%


RIDINGS
Black - R
C - 66.9%
N - 26.5%
L - 4.2%
G - 2.5%

Black - U
C - 49.8%
N - 40.7%
L - 7.1%
G - 2.4%


Wanu - R
C - 69.7%
N - 22.1%
L - 4.8%
G - 3.3%

Wanu - U
C - 48.6%
N - 39.4%
L - 8.3%
G - 3.6%


Rose - R
C - 62.4%
N - 33.3%
G - 2.6%
L - 1.6%

Rose - U
N - 53.4%
C - 41.7%
L - 2.3%
G - 2.2%


Humb - R
C - 64.9%
N - 25.3%
L - 5.2%
G - 2.0%

Humb - U
C - 46.5%
N - 40.1%
L - 9.4%
G - 2.7%
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Smid
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« Reply #1065 on: July 21, 2011, 06:25:01 PM »

Teddy, would you mind doing Northern Ontario soon? Not necessarily municipal boundaries or anything, but instead the provincial electorates, so we can compare the provincial results with the federal ones?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1066 on: July 21, 2011, 08:25:02 PM »

That'd take a loooot of work actually. I can do it, but likely in a month.
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Smid
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« Reply #1067 on: July 21, 2011, 08:38:37 PM »

That'd take a loooot of work actually. I can do it, but likely in a month.

I understand. Whenever works, works.
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Hatman 🍁
EarlAW
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« Reply #1068 on: July 21, 2011, 10:41:23 PM »

Mileslunn was doing something like that last election. He'll probably do it again.

Shouldn't the math be easy, since the results are in an excel file?
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1069 on: July 21, 2011, 11:09:33 PM »

it's figuring out what goes where
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1070 on: July 22, 2011, 10:56:16 PM »

Regina City only (Note that the NDP lost Moose Jaw 50.4% to 43.7%)


Lums
C - 47.6%
N - 41.6%
L - 8.2%
G - 2.7%

Pall
N - 52.9%
C - 36.4%
L - 7.7%
G - 3.0%

Qu'A
N - 49.0%
C - 43.0%
L - 4.8%
G - 2.7%

Wasc
L - 41.8%
C - 35.7%
N - 20.0%
G - 2.5%


Wasc...
Presuming...
25% of Liberal voters, Remain with the Liberal Party.
Of those who leave, 3 of every 4 go to the NDP
N - 43.5%
C - 43.5%
L - 10.4%
G - 2.5%
Which I think is a realistic presumption for what may happen if Goodale retires.
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1071 on: July 22, 2011, 11:10:54 PM »
« Edited: July 22, 2011, 11:21:04 PM by Teddy (SoFE) »

Tories won in Ajax, 44-37

In Pickering:
C - 5,078
L - 4,599
N - 1,619


In the Pick-Scar riding...
Pickering:
C - 11,439
L - 9,250
N - 4,586

Scar:
L - 8,466
C - 7,590
N - 4,290


SCARBOROUGH TOTAL:
L - 77,240
C - 74,820
N - 66,054
G - 5,727
O - 617
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1072 on: July 24, 2011, 06:52:07 AM »

Montreal (Municipality)
N - 40.6%
L - 25.6%
B - 20.6%
C - 10.3%
O - 2.9%

Montreal Est
N - 51.1%
B - 33.3%
C - 7.0%
L - 6.5%
O - 2.1%

Mont Royal
L - 50.3%
N - 22.1%
C - 18.3%
O - 9.3%

Hampstead
C - 50.2%
L - 38.1%
N - 9.0%
O - 2.6%

Cote St Luc
C - 52.9%
L - 35.0%
N - 10.4%
O - 1.8%

Montreal Ouest
L - 41.4%
N - 29.3%
C - 21.5%
O - 7.8%

Westmount
L - 44.4%
C - 26.3%
N - 23.3%
O - 6.0%

Dollard
C - 34.9%
L - 31.0%
N - 28.9%
O - 5.2%

Dorval
N - 39.6%
L - 31.0%
C - 19.0%
O - 10.4%

Baie D'Urfe
L - 40.8%
C - 30.5%
N - 22.4%
O - 6.3%

Beaconsfield
L - 36.4%
C - 31.0%
N - 26.6%
O - 5.9%

Kirkland
L - 36.2%
C - 31.2%
N - 27.4%
O - 5.2%

Pointe Claire
L - 34.4%
N - 30.3%
C - 27.5%
O - 7.8%

Sainte Anne
N - 39.3%
L - 26.0%
C - 22.9%
O - 11.9%

Senneville
L - 34.3%
C - 28.5%
N - 25.9%
O - 11.3%



Connected Western Municipalities
L - 33.5%
N - 29.9%
C - 29.7%
O - 6.8%
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Teddy (IDS Legislator)
nickjbor
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« Reply #1073 on: July 24, 2011, 07:09:49 AM »
« Edited: July 24, 2011, 07:12:38 AM by Teddy (SoFE) »

I've decided to not do what's on my list actually.

Thunder Bay is lame. Same as the larger ridings. Lethbridge, I'm just not that interested in. Peterborough? meh. Maybe later. Prince George, Mississauga, Brampton. Why, we already know who won.

What I will be doing however are the ridings on these maps:




As there is enough variety of vote to keep me interested.

Note that I use this
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_by_riding_of_the_Canadian_federal_election,_2011#Southern_Durham_and_York
and this
http://www.elections.ca/scripts/resval/ovr_41ge_pollbypoll.asp?ddlEDRes_prov=35&lang=e
in order to figure everything out if anyone else wants to try some.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #1074 on: July 24, 2011, 12:10:48 PM »

Now that I am back from My European trip, I can also help out on any requests.
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