Canadian Election Results Thread
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November 29, 2021, 03:03:58 PM

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Author Topic: Canadian Election Results Thread  (Read 124524 times)
mileslunn
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« Reply #925 on: May 31, 2011, 11:52:47 PM »
« edited: June 01, 2011, 12:01:06 AM by mileslunn »

Here is the party by percentages,  I coloured in all the ridings they got above a certain percentage as shown below.  First lets start with the Tories.  Please note these are rounded to the nearest tenth of a percent

Tories over 80%.  Only two ridings Wetaskiwin and Crowfoot



Conservatives over 75%.  Other than Portage-Lisgar, all of them are in Alberta.  Portage-Lisgar is the riding of Candace Hoeppner who promised to scrap the gun registry.  Also it was the Tories best showing outside Alberta in 2004 and 2006 so arguably the most Conservative riding outside Alberta



Conservatives over 70%

Mostly in Alberta, but three outside (Souris-Moose Mountain, Portage-Lisgar, and Provencher




Conservatives over 65%:  Mostly in the Prairies.  24 ridings nationally and everyone except Abbotsford which is the in the heart of the Fraser Valley bible belt was in the Prairies



Conservatives over 60%: 40 ridings nationally.  30 were in the Prairies, while 3 in BC, 6 in Ontario and one in New Brunswick.

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mileslunn
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« Reply #926 on: June 01, 2011, 12:44:11 AM »

Here is the Tories over 55%.  There were 70 such ridings (1 in NS, 3 in NB, 18 in ON, 7 in MB, 6 in SK, 24 in AB, 10 in BC)



Tories over 50%.  2 in NS, 1 in PEI, 4 in NB, 1 in QC (Maxime Bernier's riding), 40 in ON, 9 in MB, 10 in SK, 25 in AB, and 15 in BC a total of 107 seats



Conservatives over 45%.  134 nationally of which 131 were in English Canada so the majority there while only 3 in Quebec.  By province (3 NS, 1 PEI, 6 NB, 3 QC, 51 ON, 10 MB, 13 SK, 26 AB, 20 BC, and NU)



Cons over 40%.  161 seats so a majority.  The majority west of the Ottawa River + New Brunswick while minority elsewhere in Atlantic Canada and off course Quebec (1 NL, 4 NS, 1 PEI, 7 NB, 4 QC, 69 ON, 10 MB, 13 SK, 28 AB, 24 BC and NU)


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mileslunn
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« Reply #927 on: June 01, 2011, 01:17:53 AM »
« Edited: June 01, 2011, 11:41:58 PM by mileslunn »

Here is Tories over 35%.  187 seats nationally, 178 were in English Canada while only 9 in Quebec.  By province (2 NL, 6 NS, 3 PEI, 8 NB, 9 QC, 75 ON, 11 MB, 14 SK, 28 AB, 30 BC, and NU)



Conservatives over 30%.  Only 10 in Quebec, but only 30 in English Canada where they got under 30%.  Of that 7 in Atlantic Canada (4 being in Newfoundland & Labrador), 16 in Ontario (9 in Toronto, Hamilton Centre, 4 in Northern Ontario, and 2 in Ottawa) 3 in Manitoba, and 4 in British Columbia (3 in Vancouver + Victoria)



Conservatives over 25%.  Only 15 in Quebec, but above that in all but 16 in English Canada (2 St. John's Ridings, 2 Halifax area ridings, Acadie-Bathurst, 8 in Toronto, Ottawa Centre, Victoria, and Vancouver East)



Conservatives over 20%.  Only 20 in Quebec, but all but 7 in English Canada (Halifax, Acadie-Bathurst, Parkdale-High Park, Davenport, Trinity-Spadina, Toronto-Danforth, and Vancouver East)


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mileslunn
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« Reply #928 on: June 01, 2011, 01:22:20 AM »

Looking great, Miles! One correction, however - I noticed that in your final map, you've included Edmonton-Strathcona as a Conservative-held seat.

I'll edit the post to remove my mention of the correction later.
  I was going percentage of the popular vote, not who won.  In Edmonton-Strathcona the Tories got over 40%, but still lost as it was pretty much a two way race since the Liberals were pretty much non-existent.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #929 on: June 01, 2011, 01:25:21 AM »

I will do Tories over 15% and over 10% later.  I know the Tories got over 15% in only 31 in Quebec, but all but two in English Canada (Davenport and Toronto-Danforth were the two they missed and they got 14%) while they got below 10% in 24, all in Quebec.  I will also try to work on the NDP, Liberals, and BQ over the weekend.  Since the Greens were in single digits in most ridings, I won't bother with them.  I can say the Liberals only got above 50% in two ridings which were both in Newfoundland & Labrador and the BQ failed to crack the 40% mark in any riding.
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« Reply #930 on: June 01, 2011, 03:06:16 AM »

Churchill is missing from your >25% map.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #931 on: June 01, 2011, 11:06:11 PM »

Churchill is missing from your >25% map.
Fixed.  Let me know if I missed anything else and I will fix it.  I will do Tories over 15% and over 10% tonight.  ON the weekend I plan to do the NDP and maybe the Liberals and Bloc Quebecois depending on how much time I have.
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Foucaulf
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« Reply #932 on: June 01, 2011, 11:29:46 PM »

I took the liberty of mapping the results of the Liberals versus the NDP for the past two elections:





One can see from these maps that the NDP vote bloomed throughout the St. Lawrence Valley and New Brunswick (the latter caused by continued discontent with the Graham government)

I'll make a more detailed map if there are requests for it.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #933 on: June 01, 2011, 11:40:24 PM »

Here is the Conservatives over 15%.  Only two ridings in English Canada where they got under 15% which were Davenport and Toronto-Danforth.  By contrast only 31 in Quebec where they got above 15%.



Here is the Conservatives over 10%.  Every riding in English Canada, they got over 10%, while there were 24 ridings in Quebec where they failed to crack the 10% mark.  There were also some where they even failed to crack the 5% mark.  3% was their worst result in this was in Laurier-Sainte Marie, otherwise Gilles Duceppe's former riding.

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mileslunn
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« Reply #934 on: June 02, 2011, 08:20:44 PM »

Here are the NDP results,

NDP over 70% - only St. John's East (interestingly enough, both the Liberals and NDP had their best riding in Newfoundland & Labrador)



NDP over 65%. Only 2 seats, St. John's East and Acadie-Bathurst



NDP over 60%.  Only 5 seats in addition to the 2 above there is also Gatineau, Toronto-Danforth, and Vancouver East

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mileslunn
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« Reply #935 on: June 02, 2011, 09:15:03 PM »

Here is the NDP over 55%.  Only 11 such ridings and kind of random.



NDP over 50%.  36 seats  (1 in NL, 2 in NS, 1 in NB, 14 in QC, 10 in ON, 2 in MB, 1 AB, 5 in BC)

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mileslunn
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« Reply #936 on: June 03, 2011, 12:57:00 AM »

Here is the NDP over 45% 63 seats, 2 which they didn't win (Elmwood-Transcona and Saskatoon-Rosetown-Biggar)  (AB 1, BC 8, 3 MB, 1 NB, 2 NL, NT, 2 NS, 16 ON, 28 QC, 1 SK)



NDP over 40%, 92 seats (AB 1, BC 11, MB 3, NB 1, NL 2, NT, NS 2, ON 21, QC 47, SK 3) Over half are in Quebec

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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #937 on: June 03, 2011, 03:08:33 PM »

Because I love post election polls,

Cons: 37%
NDP: 34%
Libs: 15%
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #938 on: June 03, 2011, 03:23:00 PM »

Nanos is showing different numbers:

Tories: 40
NDP: 30
Libs: 22
Greens: 5
BQ: 3
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Hash
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« Reply #939 on: June 03, 2011, 03:28:43 PM »

QC's Nanos results:
NDP 39%
Purgs 22%
Libs 20%
Bloc 11%
Greenies 4%
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mileslunn
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« Reply #940 on: June 03, 2011, 11:22:10 PM »
« Edited: June 04, 2011, 12:39:57 PM by mileslunn »

Here is the NDP over 35% 122 seats (2 AB, 15 BC, 4 MB, 1 NB, 2 NL, NT, 4 NS, 26 ON, 60 QC, 7 SK)



NDP over 30% 143 seats (2 AB, 20 BC, 5 MB, 2 NB, 2 NL, NT, 4 NS, 29 ON, 69 QC, 9 SK)

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MaxQue
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« Reply #941 on: June 03, 2011, 11:26:12 PM »

Funny facts about MPs names:

There is 4 "Morin" (all NDPers, from Quebec)
3 "Moore" (one NDP, two Conservatives)
3 "Brown" (all Conservatives)
3 "Harris" (one NDP, two Conservatives)
3 "Duncan" (one NDP, one Conservative, one Liberal)

There is 2 "Davies", both NDPers from Vancouver (East and Kingsway).
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mileslunn
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« Reply #942 on: June 04, 2011, 11:36:43 AM »

Funny facts about MPs names:

There is 4 "Morin" (all NDPers, from Quebec)
3 "Moore" (one NDP, two Conservatives)
3 "Brown" (all Conservatives)
3 "Harris" (one NDP, two Conservatives)
3 "Duncan" (one NDP, one Conservative, one Liberal)

There is 2 "Davies", both NDPers from Vancouver (East and Kingsway).


Aren't there two Harris for the NDP and one for Conservatives?  Also there is a McKay in the Liberals and MacKay in Conservatives.  I think McKay is the Irish spelling and while MacKay is the Scottish if I am not mistaken.  Also two with the surname Weston both from the Conservatives. 
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mileslunn
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« Reply #943 on: June 04, 2011, 01:26:40 PM »

Here is the NDP over 25% 170 seats (4 in AB, 24 in BC, 8 in MB, 4 in NB, 5 in NS, 41 in ON, 1 in PEI, 73 in QC, 10 in SK)



Here is the NDP over 20% 217 seats (6 in AB, 31 in BC, 10 in MB, 8 in NB, 2 in NL, 8 in NS, 65 in ON, 1 in PEI, 74 in QC, 12 in SK)

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MaxQue
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« Reply #944 on: June 04, 2011, 01:50:41 PM »

Funny facts about MPs names:

There is 4 "Morin" (all NDPers, from Quebec)
3 "Moore" (one NDP, two Conservatives)
3 "Brown" (all Conservatives)
3 "Harris" (one NDP, two Conservatives)
3 "Duncan" (one NDP, one Conservative, one Liberal)

There is 2 "Davies", both NDPers from Vancouver (East and Kingsway).


Aren't there two Harris for the NDP and one for Conservatives?  Also there is a McKay in the Liberals and MacKay in Conservatives.  I think McKay is the Irish spelling and while MacKay is the Scottish if I am not mistaken.  Also two with the surname Weston both from the Conservatives. 

True for "Harris". I didn't listed all times two names are the same, it happens quite often.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #945 on: June 04, 2011, 03:19:44 PM »

Funny facts about MPs names:

There is 4 "Morin" (all NDPers, from Quebec)
3 "Moore" (one NDP, two Conservatives)
3 "Brown" (all Conservatives)
3 "Harris" (one NDP, two Conservatives)
3 "Duncan" (one NDP, one Conservative, one Liberal)

There is 2 "Davies", both NDPers from Vancouver (East and Kingsway).


Aren't there two Harris for the NDP and one for Conservatives?  Also there is a McKay in the Liberals and MacKay in Conservatives.  I think McKay is the Irish spelling and while MacKay is the Scottish if I am not mistaken.  Also two with the surname Weston both from the Conservatives. 

4.86mio google results for "McKay Scotland", 3.95mio for "MacKay Scotland", 7.29mio for "McKay Ireland", 4.75mio for "MacKay Ireland". And if you still remember who the fucker was that told you that age-old nursery myth about the spellings Mc and Mac having anything to do with Irish and Scottish spelling... shoot him. Now.
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ObserverIE
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« Reply #946 on: June 04, 2011, 06:14:23 PM »

4.86mio google results for "McKay Scotland", 3.95mio for "MacKay Scotland", 7.29mio for "McKay Ireland", 4.75mio for "MacKay Ireland". And if you still remember who the fucker was that told you that age-old nursery myth about the spellings Mc and Mac having anything to do with Irish and Scottish spelling... shoot him. Now.

The 1911 Irish Census returns give 2,200 or so McKays as opposed to 300 or so MacKays. From the little that I see of the first page of query results, a lot of both groups were Scots or of Scots origin.

The more common anglicisations of Mac Aodha in Ireland are McHugh, or Hughes, or McKee (the latter particularly in Ulster). "Mac" is probably relatively more common in anglicisations in Scotland than in Ireland, but the "Mc = Irish, Mac = Scottish" rule doesn't hold; "Mc" is more common in both countries.
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mileslunn
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« Reply #947 on: June 04, 2011, 07:07:47 PM »

Here is the NDP over 15% 267 seats (11 AB, 34 in BC, 12 in MB, All 10 in NB, 5 in NL, NT, 10 in NS, NU, 93 in ON, 1 in PEI, All 75 in QC, All 14 in SK)



Here is the NDP over 10% every riding except Portage-Lisgar and Crowfoot



The NDP got over 9% in every riding in Canada.  18 years ago, the NDP averaged only 7% nationally.  Even in Quebec, they averaged 5% in 2004 and 7% in 2006, so talk about things changing.
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Hatman 🍁
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« Reply #948 on: June 04, 2011, 09:21:38 PM »

The NDP's worst riding was Crowfoot, and they still managed to finish 2nd there.
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Holmes
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« Reply #949 on: June 04, 2011, 09:39:39 PM »
« Edited: June 04, 2011, 09:41:31 PM by Holmes »

The NDP's worst riding was Crowfoot, and they still managed to finish 2nd there.
Well, yes, the Liberal party is a total joke in Alberta, apart from some areas in the northern part of Calgary (although 15% there isn't any better than <5% everywhere else). Same for Saskatchewan. Not that the NDP is any better... just a consistent second place.
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