Canadian Election Results Thread
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May 07, 2021, 02:45:57 PM

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Author Topic: Canadian Election Results Thread  (Read 122810 times)
Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #525 on: May 03, 2011, 12:48:28 AM »

Well, the CBC has now just called Newton-North Delta for Jinny Sims of the NDP.
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Foucaulf
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« Reply #526 on: May 03, 2011, 12:51:20 AM »
« Edited: May 03, 2011, 01:01:19 AM by Foucaulf »

The last of the "leading" CBC ridings;

Etobicoke Centre: With 1 poll left, LIB Borys Wrzesnewskyj leads CON Ted Opitz by 9 votes out of 51174 voters. Will head for a recount.
Esquimault-Juan de Fuca: With 4 polls left, NDP Randall Harrison leads CON Troy DeSouza by 573 votes out of 62279 voters.
Yukon: With 1 poll left, CON Ryan Leef leads LIB Larry Bagnell - who was whipped on a no vote to abolish the gun registry - by 168 votes out of 15877 voters.
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cinyc
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« Reply #527 on: May 03, 2011, 12:58:00 AM »

The LIB lead in Etobicoke Centre is down to 9 votes with 1 poll left.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #528 on: May 03, 2011, 12:58:31 AM »

Quebec seats with over 50% for the NDP as of... whenever I type each one out.

Gatineau - 61.9
Hull-Aylmer - 59.2
Outremont - 56.4
Riviere-du-Nord - 55.1
Trois-Rivieres - 53.6
Montcalm - 52.9
Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot - 52.2
Chateauguay-Saint-Constant - 52.0
Longueuil-Pierre-Boucher - 51.9
Repentigny - 51.9
Drummond - 51.7
Abitibi-Temiscamingue - 51.3
Shefford - 51.1
Rosemont-La-Petite-Patrie - 50.8

Don't think I've missed any. Near-misses include Manicouagan (remember that one?), some in Quebec City, the North Shore burbs and the East Island.
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Linus Van Pelt
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« Reply #529 on: May 03, 2011, 01:00:02 AM »
« Edited: May 03, 2011, 01:05:27 AM by José Peterson »

I know this is the sort of thing no-one will believe you about after the fact, but I was actually thinking a few days ago that the Tamils in Scarborough-Rouge River could be a bit of a wild card, since this whole boat people/human smuggling issue was basically about them, putting them at the centre of certain issues and greatly increasing their interest in Canadian politics when before they had been just another marginalized taken-for-granted group in the inner Toronto suburbs.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #530 on: May 03, 2011, 01:01:43 AM »

Scarborough Centre has been called for the Conservatives.
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trebor204
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« Reply #531 on: May 03, 2011, 01:02:45 AM »

Etob Centre went back to the Conservatives.

Only Yukon and Esqu-Jean left
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #532 on: May 03, 2011, 01:03:37 AM »

Etobicoke Centre has also been called for the Conservative candidate, with 21,661 to the Liberal, Borys Wrzesnewskyj,  with 21,635.  Yikes - that was a close race!
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #533 on: May 03, 2011, 01:04:02 AM »

CBC has now just called Vancouver Centre for the Liberals.
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Foucaulf
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« Reply #534 on: May 03, 2011, 01:04:56 AM »

Etoibicoke Centre will go under a recount, since the Conservatives' candidate only has a 21-vote lead.
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trebor204
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« Reply #535 on: May 03, 2011, 01:05:08 AM »

Looking at the Yukon results
There is a led of 168 between the Conservatives and the Liberals.

A total of 15,877 votes in 100 polls. An average of 158 votes per poll.
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Хahar 🤔
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« Reply #536 on: May 03, 2011, 01:05:22 AM »

Westmount—Ville-Marie will hold, it appears. Hilarious.
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cinyc
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« Reply #537 on: May 03, 2011, 01:05:29 AM »

Etob Centre went back to the Conservatives.

By 26 votes.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #538 on: May 03, 2011, 01:06:48 AM »

Etoibicoke Centre will go under a recount, since the Conservatives' candidate only has a 21-vote lead.

I figured they'd have a recount there. Wink
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DistingFlyer
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« Reply #539 on: May 03, 2011, 01:07:36 AM »

Two final observations:

1) Already the complaining (mostly from NDP supporters, but some others too) about the lack of PR. However, for the first time the NDP is on the benefitting end of our current system, giving them 103 MPs for 30-31% of the vote. Something I like to remind them of as well is the famous 1960 medicare election: the CCF won a 21-seat majority with 41% of the vote, similar to the Tory vote tonight. If we had had PR then, with the ambivalent Liberals and the anti-medicare Socreds holding the majority, would medicare as the NDP want it have come about?

2) The seemingly inexorable movement of affluent urban constituencies away from the Tories, starting during the Diefenbaker years. Britain experienced this in a big way in 1997 (though the cities had been drifting very slowly towards Labour in the years before that). However, there's been a big reversal tonight as the Tories have oh-so-carefully targeted issues that are big on city & suburban families' minds (much as Blair did). They got some nice fat swings last time (York Centre, for instance), but some even better ones today. Call it Labour's 1997 in reverse as decades-long Liberal seats like Eglinton & York Centre go blue.
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cinyc
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« Reply #540 on: May 03, 2011, 01:08:08 AM »

Looking at the Yukon results
There is a led of 168 between the Conservatives and the Liberals.

A total of 15,877 votes in 100 polls. An average of 158 votes per poll.


Where that missing poll in Yukon is from really matters.  Small village could equal low turnout but a landslide for one or another candidate.  Whitehorse could mean higher turnout and who knows what politically.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #541 on: May 03, 2011, 01:08:24 AM »

Yukon now has all 101 polls reporting:

Leef (CON) 5,422
Bagnell (Lib) 5,290
Streicker (GRN) 3,037
Barr (NDP) 2,308
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Foucaulf
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« Reply #542 on: May 03, 2011, 01:08:32 AM »

CBC Vancouver is interviewing Libby Davies, NDP MP for Vancouver East.

For some reason she keeps refering to Layton as "our leader". She also blabbers about proportional representation, as if the Tories will ever blink on that!

NDP candidate Randall Garrison will win Esquimalt-Juan de Fuca at this point.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #543 on: May 03, 2011, 01:09:07 AM »

Westmount—Ville-Marie will hold, it appears. Hilarious.

Anglo-snobs for Iggy!
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cinyc
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« Reply #544 on: May 03, 2011, 01:10:33 AM »

Etoibicoke Centre will go under a recount, since the Conservatives' candidate only has a 21-vote lead.

I figured they'd have a recount there. Wink

Nipissing-Timiskaming is even closer and also heading to a recount: CON+14 votes over LIB.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #545 on: May 03, 2011, 01:10:38 AM »

Bramalea-Gore-Malton

Gosal (CON) 34.4% (-3)
Singh (NDP) 33.5% (+21)
Mahli (LIB) 28.4% (-17)

A 500 vote margin between Singh and Gosal. I was expecting it to be close because of Singh's star candidate prowess but woah.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #546 on: May 03, 2011, 01:10:54 AM »

1 poll left to come in from Esquimalt—Juan de Fuca.  The NDP leads by just under 400.
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trebor204
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« Reply #547 on: May 03, 2011, 01:11:09 AM »

Elections Results: Save as a text file. Open using Excel

http://enr.elections.ca/DownloadResults.aspx


re: Yukon:
Largest poll in the 2008 election had 287 voters.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #548 on: May 03, 2011, 01:11:23 AM »

The Liberals star recruit in Hamilton Mountain (a former MPP for the area) polled a miserable 16.2%.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #549 on: May 03, 2011, 01:13:52 AM »

Harper lost 4 cabinet members tonight.  All from Quebec.  The NDP surge there ended up hurting the Conservatives, and that's the one dark spot in an otherwise great night for the Conservatives.
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