Canadian Election Results Thread

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Regina City only (Note that the NDP lost Moose Jaw 50.4% to 43.7%)


Lums
C - 47.6%
N - 41.6%
L - 8.2%
G - 2.7%

Pall
N - 52.9%
C - 36.4%
L - 7.7%
G - 3.0%

Qu'A
N - 49.0%
C - 43.0%
L - 4.8%
G - 2.7%

Wasc
L - 41.8%
C - 35.7%
N - 20.0%
G - 2.5%


Wasc...
Presuming...
25% of Liberal voters, Remain with the Liberal Party.
Of those who leave, 3 of every 4 go to the NDP
N - 43.5%
C - 43.5%
L - 10.4%
G - 2.5%
Which I think is a realistic presumption for what may happen if Goodale retires.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Tories won in Ajax, 44-37

In Pickering:
C - 5,078
L - 4,599
N - 1,619


In the Pick-Scar riding...
Pickering:
C - 11,439
L - 9,250
N - 4,586

Scar:
L - 8,466
C - 7,590
N - 4,290


SCARBOROUGH TOTAL:
L - 77,240
C - 74,820
N - 66,054
G - 5,727
O - 617

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Montreal (Municipality)
N - 40.6%
L - 25.6%
B - 20.6%
C - 10.3%
O - 2.9%

Montreal Est
N - 51.1%
B - 33.3%
C - 7.0%
L - 6.5%
O - 2.1%

Mont Royal
L - 50.3%
N - 22.1%
C - 18.3%
O - 9.3%

Hampstead
C - 50.2%
L - 38.1%
N - 9.0%
O - 2.6%

Cote St Luc
C - 52.9%
L - 35.0%
N - 10.4%
O - 1.8%

Montreal Ouest
L - 41.4%
N - 29.3%
C - 21.5%
O - 7.8%

Westmount
L - 44.4%
C - 26.3%
N - 23.3%
O - 6.0%

Dollard
C - 34.9%
L - 31.0%
N - 28.9%
O - 5.2%

Dorval
N - 39.6%
L - 31.0%
C - 19.0%
O - 10.4%

Baie D'Urfe
L - 40.8%
C - 30.5%
N - 22.4%
O - 6.3%

Beaconsfield
L - 36.4%
C - 31.0%
N - 26.6%
O - 5.9%

Kirkland
L - 36.2%
C - 31.2%
N - 27.4%
O - 5.2%

Pointe Claire
L - 34.4%
N - 30.3%
C - 27.5%
O - 7.8%

Sainte Anne
N - 39.3%
L - 26.0%
C - 22.9%
O - 11.9%

Senneville
L - 34.3%
C - 28.5%
N - 25.9%
O - 11.3%



Connected Western Municipalities
L - 33.5%
N - 29.9%
C - 29.7%
O - 6.8%

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

I've decided to not do what's on my list actually.

Thunder Bay is lame. Same as the larger ridings. Lethbridge, I'm just not that interested in. Peterborough? meh. Maybe later. Prince George, Mississauga, Brampton. Why, we already know who won.

What I will be doing however are the ridings on these maps:




As there is enough variety of vote to keep me interested.

Note that I use this
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Results_by_riding_of_the_Canadian_federal_election,_2011#Southern_Durham_and_York
and this
http://www.elections.ca/scripts/resval/ovr_41ge_pollbypoll.asp?ddlEDRes_prov=35&lang=e
in order to figure everything out if anyone else wants to try some.

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Bad cities:
Guelph
Barrie
Charlottetown

Where the riding boundary and city boundary are identical, it makes for boring "research"

London is a bit more interesting, as part of the official city boundary is actually located in the Elgin riding, but that part of the city is unpopulated.

Places like Peterborough, Lethbridge, Red Deer, Medicine Hat, Sarnia, Prince Albert, or anything else with 50K people (give or take 50%) is interesting, because they thus make up a large portion of the riding, but there is enough "rural" to possible tip the scale. Other interesting cities to do include Prince George, Oakville, Burlington, or anything else where the city is split, where over a third of it exists in another riding.

Hope that gives you some ideas. The more work you do the less I need to do

[Teddy (IDS Legislator)]

Harris Decima

Cons: 37
NDP: 29
Libs: 20
Grns: 7
BQ: 5

regional breakdown?