Why AR, WV, TN, etc. swung Republican (user search)
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  Why AR, WV, TN, etc. swung Republican (search mode)
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Author Topic: Why AR, WV, TN, etc. swung Republican  (Read 20054 times)
phk
phknrocket1k
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Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

« on: April 04, 2011, 09:50:05 PM »

In Bill Clinton 92 speak.

It's Culture Stupid!
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phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

« Reply #1 on: May 24, 2011, 05:02:09 AM »

OK.

The swing in those states is a correction. The Democratic vote was in excess in the past, they are closer to what they should be now. Maybe still too Democratic at the local level still.
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phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

« Reply #2 on: May 25, 2011, 02:29:15 PM »

These States have been trending strongly Republican since 1996. 2008 is the point where this trend came to its final achievement.

What makes you think that?

Just look at the trend maps.

There is still a bit more trending to go through at the local level.
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phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

« Reply #3 on: May 27, 2011, 04:49:27 PM »

Keep in mind in Oklahoma, their GDP grew at 4.4% in 2008... so.
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phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

« Reply #4 on: May 31, 2011, 05:58:51 PM »


Culture too.

If he had a more "American" sounding name, I'm sure that's worth more votes.
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phk
phknrocket1k
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 12,906


Political Matrix
E: 1.42, S: -1.22

« Reply #5 on: May 31, 2011, 06:21:11 PM »

West Virginia remains mostly Democratic, except of presidential elections. Perhaps a Democratic candidate with some appeal to Appalachia would carry it easily.

Well the ultimate test would be an election featuring Harold Ford.
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