2008 - Bush vs. Democrat

[Jay Roosevelt]

You have to assume the democrat would have won every state Obama did and then some. Missouri probably, North Dakota maybe. It's hard for me to imagine Bush carrying many states in the fall of '08 - especially against a more moderate democrat. Maybe against Obama he'd have carried most of McCain's states, but I think even then you'd have to assume he loses at least 2-3 additional states.