2012 Senate Predictions (user search)
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Author Topic: 2012 Senate Predictions  (Read 6442 times)
Mechaman
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« on: March 03, 2011, 08:43:41 AM »
« edited: March 03, 2011, 01:53:54 PM by Mechaman »

I don't see why everyone seems to be underestimating McCaskill.

Last I saw, she was ahead of all her potential challengers; throw in a rough GOP primary too and Claire will be in great shape.

I wouldn't be so sure about the tough primary deal. Steelman is the de facto nominee with both Talent and Missouri's entire Republican congressional delegation out of the way. Her only opponent is set to be the bats**t insane Ed Martin.

This. And Missouri is trending red. It isn't really the swing-state it once was.

I was about to say it didn't make sense considering that Obama was the only Democrat to win the election while losing Missouri until I realized that you're a newbie.
As long as you don't make your maps with Republicans in red and Democrats in blue we're cool.
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Mechaman
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« Reply #1 on: March 03, 2011, 11:08:59 AM »

That's because Nevada has replaced Missouri as a swing state. Noticed in the last senate election Reid wond up winning and Carnahan lost. I say Nevada has very well replaced Missouri as a bellweather.

Spot on analysis my friend.
Although I have to say that if there is any Senator who could probably retain their seat in an upset it's probably McCaskill (based on what I've seen and heard of her).  Tester could possibly retain his seat as well depending on the mood of the Montana electorate come election time.
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Mechaman
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Posts: 13,791
Jamaica
« Reply #2 on: March 03, 2011, 01:34:08 PM »
« Edited: March 03, 2011, 01:42:52 PM by Mechaman »

I don't see why everyone seems to be underestimating McCaskill.

Last I saw, she was ahead of all her potential challengers; throw in a rough GOP primary too and Claire will be in great shape.

I wouldn't be so sure about the tough primary deal. Steelman is the de facto nominee with both Talent and Missouri's entire Republican congressional delegation out of the way. Her only opponent is set to be the bats**t insane Ed Martin.

This. And Missouri is trending red. It isn't really the swing-state it once was.

I was about to say it didn't make sense considering that Obama was the only Democrat to win the election while losing Missouri until I realized that you're a noob.
As long as you don't make your maps with Republicans in red and Democrats in blue we're cool.

I have followed politics for a long time, so you can dropp the attitude.
But yeah, Obama is the only Democrat in a long time to win the GE without the electoral votes of Missouri. And thats says something about the state and how it is shifting.


Jesus dude, settle down.  I meant as in a forum newbie (like your designation), not someone who knows little about politics.
My comment was mostly about my initial confusion at you calling Missouri "trending red" until I realized you're new here.  A lot of us on here think Democrat=red and Republican=blue because we have used Dave Leip's forum for so long (actually I always found blue for Republicans and red for Democrats more appropriate for some reason).
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Mechaman
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*****
Posts: 13,791
Jamaica
« Reply #3 on: March 03, 2011, 05:09:18 PM »

I don't see why everyone seems to be underestimating McCaskill.

Last I saw, she was ahead of all her potential challengers; throw in a rough GOP primary too and Claire will be in great shape.

I wouldn't be so sure about the tough primary deal. Steelman is the de facto nominee with both Talent and Missouri's entire Republican congressional delegation out of the way. Her only opponent is set to be the bats**t insane Ed Martin.

This. And Missouri is trending red. It isn't really the swing-state it once was.

I was about to say it didn't make sense considering that Obama was the only Democrat to win the election while losing Missouri until I realized that you're a noob.
As long as you don't make your maps with Republicans in red and Democrats in blue we're cool.

I have followed politics for a long time, so you can dropp the attitude.
But yeah, Obama is the only Democrat in a long time to win the GE without the electoral votes of Missouri. And thats says something about the state and how it is shifting.


Jesus dude, settle down.  I meant as in a forum newbie (like your designation), not someone who knows little about politics.
My comment was mostly about my initial confusion at you calling Missouri "trending red" until I realized you're new here.  A lot of us on here think Democrat=red and Republican=blue because we have used Dave Leip's forum for so long (actually I always found blue for Republicans and red for Democrats more appropriate for some reason).

Hehe. I guess I didn't really read your post before I typed my response. The blame is all mine mate. Sorry for the misunderstanding.

I could've said "newb" instead of "noob" (which in hindsight sounds offensive).
Whatever man, welcome to the forum.
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