US House Redistricting: Iowa

[GALeftist]

Confusing map, but very based nonetheless. Starts as 2-1-1, probably later in the decade ends up at 2-2 as Dallas moves left. Would be extremely happy with this map, which is why I doubt that it will be enacted.

[GALeftist]

Maps are voted down 18-32 in the Senate. Party line vote as far as I can tell. They now have until December to draw new maps.

Disappointed but not surprised

[GALeftist]

Was reading online that if the LSA takes its time developing the next set of maps, plus what I would imagine would be the third round and we get to December 1 with no maps, the Iowa Supreme Court will take over.

https://twitter.com/LauraRBelin/status/1445381917344509954?s=20

Yeah, it seems unlikely that the IAGOP will have time to wait for a second proposal, reject it, wait for a third proposal, reject that too, modify it, and pass it all before December 1. Iowa's Supreme Court is 6-1 Republican; I don't know exactly how partisan it is, but I'd imagine that the legislature would probably want to avoid punting it to the courts if it can help it.

[GALeftist]

Iowa LSA has announced the second proposal will be released by October 21, which is relatively quick

[GALeftist]

Could be a lot worse, but could be a lot better, too. Overall, I'll take it, especially from a state with an R trifecta. IA-03 is marginal and trending D, and should have a blue hue by 2024. IA-01 and IA-02 might also be winnable in good years even if Iowa is red overall, which it will be.