anyone here know how/why Obama lost the anglo vote in Maryland?
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  anyone here know how/why Obama lost the anglo vote in Maryland?
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Author Topic: anyone here know how/why Obama lost the anglo vote in Maryland?  (Read 2149 times)
freepcrusher
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« on: April 03, 2011, 12:59:28 PM »

Considering it was and is one of his strongest states in the country, it kind of surprised me. Not to mention that there is a stereotype of a lot of white, limousine liberals in Maryland, especially in Montgomery County.
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nclib
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« Reply #1 on: April 03, 2011, 01:02:41 PM »

Somewhat odd to me as well, but he only lost it by 1%, and rural Maryland is quite Republican and has a significant number of blacks.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #2 on: April 03, 2011, 01:21:19 PM »

Also, like most such areas, MontCo is not as white, and not quite as rich, as it's made out to be.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #3 on: April 03, 2011, 02:09:20 PM »

White voters aren't monolithic. Maryland has the well-educated liberals in Montgomery County, yes, but there are also plenty of suburban/exurban Republicans in Anne Arundel, Harford, and Carroll Counties, and of course rural Dixiecrats on the Eastern Shore.

Obama probably won whites in Montgomery and Howard Counties, but he also lost badly among whites in the more rural parts of the state. If they had polled the Eastern Shore, the racial breakdown would likely have looked like Georgia or South Carolina; look at Somerset County, about 40% black but Obama didn't win there.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #4 on: April 03, 2011, 02:24:04 PM »

He barely lost it, for one thing, and much of MD's white population is rural and more like Alabama than California.
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officepark
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« Reply #5 on: April 03, 2011, 02:47:18 PM »

Oh, Obama definitely won the white vote in Montgomery County (as well as the other DC suburbs, and Baltimore and its suburbs). But there are plenty of whites who didn't vote for Obama in far-western Maryland, as well as those on the Eastern Shore. I think that's why Obama lost in this regard.

(And, of course, Montgomery County itself is half-minority.)
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homelycooking
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« Reply #6 on: April 03, 2011, 08:23:34 PM »

He barely lost it, for one thing, and much of MD's white population is rural and more like Alabama than California.

Especially on the Eastern Shore. From many a vacation in Ocean City, I will be the first to tell you that once you get ten miles away from the coast, you're suddenly in the Deep South. (Not that OC is a liberal bastion either, but that's beside the point.) In some of the rural counties east of the Chesapeake, black voters must have accounted for a large majority of Obama's vote.
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memphis
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« Reply #7 on: April 03, 2011, 08:35:39 PM »

Do Dems ever win the white/anglo vote in Maryland? I doubt it.
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homelycooking
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« Reply #8 on: April 03, 2011, 09:05:12 PM »

Barbara Mikulski might have, either in 2004 or 2010.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #9 on: April 03, 2011, 09:31:59 PM »

Barbara Mikulski might have, either in 2004 or 2010.

She did in 2004, according to the exit poll.
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memphis
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« Reply #10 on: April 04, 2011, 12:06:12 AM »


It's the presidential board. I was talking about presidential races. Congressional/gubernatorial races are a completely different game.
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homelycooking
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« Reply #11 on: April 04, 2011, 10:03:37 AM »

Clinton might have come close in 1996. Otherwise, you'd probably have to go back all the way to 1964 to find an election in which the Democrat won white voters (but for 1964, that's not all that significant.)
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