Kyl to retire

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If the Republicans end up nominating Pearce for the district it could be an interesting race. I think he would ultimately win, but it would be a lot closer than if any other Republican ran there.

I doubt Steve Pearce is going to ditch his House seat just to move to Arizona and run for a different one.

http://tucsoncitizen.com/in-the-aggregate/2011/02/13/russell-pearce-to-run-for-us-congress-if-jeff-flake-runs-for-kyl%E2%80%99s-us-senate-seat/

Why would Russell Pearce make it closer. If anything he would be stronger because his name recognition is higher. Now if a bunch of hispanics get put here maybe.

But its R+15, presently with a lot of mormons in it. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arizona%27s_6th_congressional_district

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

If the Republicans end up nominating Pearce for the district it could be an interesting race. I think he would ultimately win, but it would be a lot closer than if any other Republican ran there.

I doubt Steve Pearce is going to ditch his House seat just to move to Arizona and run for a different one.

http://tucsoncitizen.com/in-the-aggregate/2011/02/13/russell-pearce-to-run-for-us-congress-if-jeff-flake-runs-for-kyl%E2%80%99s-us-senate-seat/

Why would Russell Pearce make it closer. If anything he would be stronger because his name recognition is higher. Now if a bunch of hispanics get put here maybe.

But its R+15, presently with a lot of mormons in it. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arizona%27s_6th_congressional_district

Ties to neo-nazis.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If the Republicans end up nominating Pearce for the district it could be an interesting race. I think he would ultimately win, but it would be a lot closer than if any other Republican ran there.

I doubt Steve Pearce is going to ditch his House seat just to move to Arizona and run for a different one.

http://tucsoncitizen.com/in-the-aggregate/2011/02/13/russell-pearce-to-run-for-us-congress-if-jeff-flake-runs-for-kyl%E2%80%99s-us-senate-seat/

Why would Russell Pearce make it closer. If anything he would be stronger because his name recognition is higher. Now if a bunch of hispanics get put here maybe.

But its R+15, presently with a lot of mormons in it. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arizona%27s_6th_congressional_district

Ties to neo-nazis.

How big are the ties?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

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[DrScholl]

Would any of that really be problematic? It's the most Republican district in Arizona, I doubt any of that would cause him any problems in a seat that favorable.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Yea, that doesn't seem like enough for this district.


Now he will probably underperform Flake on a regular basis (which is different from asking if he would do worse then someone else as any new guy would do worse then Flake) but, like Franks has done in several elections, Pearce would stuggle to get above 60% while his predecessor won by 2-1 or more (in the case of Franks, Stump's last two results were 67% and 66%, while Franks kept getting in the high 50's in five elections until he got 65% in 2010).

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Looks like Sheriff Joe is running for Kyle's seat.

[Torie]

Looks like Sheriff Joe is running for Kyle's seat.

Oh God, say it ain't so. On the other hand if he wins the nomination, and the sheriff of Pima County gets the Dem nomination (the guy who blamed the slaughter in Tuscon on caustic right wing political discourse), at least we will get a rather entertaining circus act. But no. No!

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Looks like Sheriff Joe is running for Kyle's seat.

Oh God, say it ain't so.

Now might be a good time for that conversation with God  Joe might be convinced to go for it.

[Brittain33]

[Landslide Lyndon]

Looks like Sheriff Joe is running for Kyle's seat.

Oh God, say it ain't so.

Now might be a good time for that conversation with God  Joe might be convinced to go for it.

I guess Democrats have a chance after all.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Will you break out the popcorn if Arpaio decides to enter the race and perhaps win, b33? 

[Brittain33]

Will you break out the popcorn if Arpaio decides to enter the race and perhaps win, b33? 

It's one of those inside-the-tent-pissing-out things vs. on-the-outside-pissing-in things. He's the most powerful guy in the state so maybe we should just be honest about it.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

I have a tough time seeing a 78-year old man (will be 80 at the time of election) as the candidate.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Will you break out the popcorn if Arpaio decides to enter the race and perhaps win, b33? 

It's one of those inside-the-tent-pissing-out things vs. on-the-outside-pissing-in things. He's the most powerful guy in the state so maybe we should just be honest about it.

It was a sincere question, sort of.  If he runs, in my view, he's unstoppable.  Kyl's departure has opened the door for him........so we'll see.  Eat the popcorn quick before Sheriff Joe pisses on it. 

[Brittain33]

Will you break out the popcorn if Arpaio decides to enter the race and perhaps win, b33? 

It's one of those inside-the-tent-pissing-out things vs. on-the-outside-pissing-in things. He's the most powerful guy in the state so maybe we should just be honest about it.

It was a sincere question, sort of.  If he runs, in my view, he's unstoppable.  Kyl's departure has opened the door for him........so we'll see.  Eat the popcorn quick before Sheriff Joe pisses on it. 

Oh, I do take him seriously.

[Stranger in a strange land]

I have a tough time seeing a 78-year old man (will be 80 at the time of election) as the candidate.

the pink underwear thing would also be an issue in a competitive election.

[Mexino Vote]

That nut might run? Oh God. Y'all know how anti-illegal I am, but he's just NUTS!

[Badger]

Will you break out the popcorn if Arpaio decides to enter the race and perhaps win, b33? 

It's one of those inside-the-tent-pissing-out things vs. on-the-outside-pissing-in things. He's the most powerful guy in the state so maybe we should just be honest about it.

It was a sincere question, sort of.  If he runs, in my view, he's unstoppable.  Kyl's departure has opened the door for him........so we'll see.  Eat the popcorn quick before Sheriff Joe pisses on it. 

I dunno man. He didn't even do that well in his last re-election bid for Sherriff. Personally I think he's the best shot Dems have.

Speaking of which, what about Harry Mitchell?

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Will you break out the popcorn if Arpaio decides to enter the race and perhaps win, b33? 

It's one of those inside-the-tent-pissing-out things vs. on-the-outside-pissing-in things. He's the most powerful guy in the state so maybe we should just be honest about it.

It was a sincere question, sort of.  If he runs, in my view, he's unstoppable.  Kyl's departure has opened the door for him........so we'll see.  Eat the popcorn quick before Sheriff Joe pisses on it. 

I dunno man. He didn't even do that well in his last re-election bid for Sherriff. Personally I think he's the best shot Dems have.

Speaking of which, what about Harry Mitchell?

Badg, and old worn out coot like him?  Neh.  People might vote for Sheriff Joe just get him the hell out of AZ

[Sam Spade]

Napolitano ain't running - guess she conducted a poll.

[Grumpier Than Uncle Joe]

Napolitano ain't running - guess she conducted a poll.

No doubt......and really, she has enormous power now.....Senator is almost like taking a step backward.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

It's primary time: Trent Franks is running.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

If thats the case, Flake may be screwed. His glaring vulnerability is an issue at the top of GOP primary voter's minds, and Franks is on the right side of that arguement.

[Capitan Zapp Brannigan]

Giffords aides lay groundwork for Senate run:
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/31/us/politics/31giffords.html?_r=1

I don't think they realize the scope of the challenge in recovering from an injury like hers. One point it makes is that there are Democrats ready to enter the race but don't want to enter before they find out what Giffords ends up doing.