UK 2005- Seat by Seat Part 19 (East Scotland)

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Silent Hunter:
BOUNDARY CHANGE ALERT!

EC is calculating how the 2001 result would have gone on new boundaries. No warranty implied or given.

Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Aberdeen North  Malcolm Savidge  LAB Hold
Aberdeen South  Anne Begg  LAB Hold
Angus  Michael Weir  SNP Hold
Banff and Buchan  Alex Salmond  SNP Hold
Caithness Sutherland and Easter Ross  John Thurso  LIB Hold
Dundee East  Iain Luke  SNP Gain from LAB: He's not holding that on a 630 majority.
Dundee West  Ernie Ross  LAB Hold
Dunfermline and West Fife  Rachel Squire  LAB Hold
East Lothian  Anne Picking  LAB Hold
Edinburgh East  Gavin Strang  LAB Hold
Edinburgh North and Leith  Mark Lazarowicz  LAB Hold
Edinburgh South  Nigel Griffiths  LAB Hold
Edinburgh South West  Lynda Clark  LAB Hold
Edinburgh West  John Barrett  LIB Hold
Falkirk  Eric Joyce  LAB Hold
Glenrothes  John MacDougall  LAB Hold
Gordon  Malcolm Bruce  LIB Hold
Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey  David Stewart  LAB Hold
Kirkcaldy and Cowdenbeath  Lewis Moonie  LAB Hold
Linlithgow and East Falkirk   LAB Hold: Dalyell's going, at least knowing the West Lothian question is answered. This is a place Brown or Reid could get.
Livingston  Robin Cook  LAB Hold: Cook's safe.
Midlothian  David Hamilton  LAB Hold
Moray  Angus Robertson  SNP Hold
Na h-Eileanan An Iar (Western Isles)  Calum MacDonald  LAB Hold
North East Fife  Menzies Campbell  LIB Hold
Ochil and South Perthshire  Martin O'Neill  SNP Gain from LAB: It's a tiny majority and this is the home of the Black Watch.
Orkney and Shetland  Alistair Carmichael  LIB Hold
Perth and North Perthshire  Annabelle Ewing  SNP Hold: The Black Watch thing is keeping this SNP.
Ross Skye and Lochaber  Charles Kennedy  LIB Hold: Charlie will deliver a Liberal defeat to any challenger.
Stirling  Anne McGuire  LAB Hold
West Aberdeenshire and Kincardine  Robert Smith  LIB Hold


A note for Scotland: Some of these incumbents will change. Brown and Reid are without a seat and so will probably take one of these off the incumbent.

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