IA-PPP: Obama leads Huckabee by 4, Romney by 6, Gingrich by 13, Palin by 16

[Mr. Morden]

link:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_IA_0112513.pdf

Barack Obama 47% Mike Huckabee 43%
Barack Obama 47% Mitt Romney 41%
Barack Obama 51% Newt Gingrich 38%
Barack Obama 53% Sarah Palin 37%

favorability / unfavorability:

Mike Huckabee 42%/39% for +3%.
Mitt Romney 37%/42% for -5%.
Newt Gingrich 30%/49% for -19%.
Sarah Palin 34%/59% for -25%.

[Oakvale]

lol Palin

[pbrower2a]

Iowa Survey Results

Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of President
Barack Obama’s job performance?
Approve .......................................................... 50%
Disapprove...................................................... 43%
Not sure .......................................................... 7%

Q6 If the candidates for President next year were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican
Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama................................................ 51%
Newt Gingrich ................................................. 38%
Undecided....................................................... 11%

Q7 If the candidates for President next year were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mike
Huckabee, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama................................................ 47%
Mike Huckabee ............................................... 43%
Undecided....................................................... 10%

Q8 If the candidates for President next year were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican
Sarah Palin, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama................................................ 53%
Sarah Palin ..................................................... 37%
Undecided....................................................... 10%

Q9 If the candidates for President next year were
Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt
Romney, who would you vote for?
Barack Obama................................................ 47%
Mitt Romney.................................................... 41%
Undecided....................................................... 12%

So far it looks as if the 2012 Presidential election will look much like that of 2008, unless the Republicans are foolish enough to nominate Newt Gingrich or Sarah Palin, the latter becoming increasingly unlikely.

Maybe Indiana would be interesting.

[You kip if you want to...]

Former Governor Shootey O'Crazy makes me laugh more than a former Governor should.

[Mr. Morden]

Palin only gets the support of 67% of her fellow Republicans in an Obama-Palin matchup.  17% go to Obama, and 16% are undecided.  On the other side, Obama gets the support of 91% of Democrats.

[Eraserhead]

Those actually aren't bad numbers for Huckabee and Romney. The other two continue to be completely unelectable and I don't think that will be changing anytime soon.

[Gustaf]

Iowa was roughly +2% for Obama in 2008 so it seems reasonable to see Huckabee and Romney trailing by about 5% or so (that would indicate that they're almost, but not quite tied with Obama nationally and that seems roughly consistent with other polling).

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Why is Palin still considered a legitimate candidate? She's lost just about every poll by double digits to Obama.

[Liberalrocks]

Why is Palin still considered a legitimate candidate? She's lost just about every poll by double digits to Obama.

The media just loves to cover this woman. I love talking about her because ideology aside, she is a complete pathetic idiotic candidate that makes me laugh like no other. Her stupidity and the fact that people think she is a "leader" is bizarre and pure humor to me. Partisan speaking Id say the same about Dennis Kucinich but he is not nearly as fun to talk about. She whines about the media going after her family and unfair reporting yet seeks the limelight every opportunity she gets. If anyone doubts she is running consider my above mentioned assessment as reason enough.
She really thinks she is qualified to be president yet could not complete a full term as governor. George W Bush had a better grasp at the english language then Palin...and thats just a scary thought.

[Mr. Morden]

Why is Palin still considered a legitimate candidate? She's lost just about every poll by double digits to Obama.

What do you mean by "a legitimate candidate"?  Anyone with a decent shot at winning primaries (should they run) is going to get a decent amount of coverage, and treated seriously by the media, regardless of whether they'd do well in a general election.  I mean, Jesse Jackson got lots of media coverage in '88, as did Pat Buchanan in '96.  They both would have had no chance of winning a general election.  Palin (if she runs) would be at least as much of a "legitimate candidate" as they were.

[Mr. Morden]

Let me define "legitimacy" among candidates. If you're losing every poll by double digits (especially to Obama, who's approval ratings aren't great.) you're not a legitimate candidate to win the Presidency.

OK, and who exactly is treating Palin as a "legitimate candidate to win the Presidency", outside of her core supporters and Beet?  Most commentary on Palin seems to center around the fact that while she could win the nomination, she'd likely be crushed in the GE.

[Mr. Morden]

Let me define "legitimacy" among candidates. If you're losing every poll by double digits (especially to Obama, who's approval ratings aren't great.) you're not a legitimate candidate to win the Presidency.

OK, and who exactly is treating Palin as a "legitimate candidate to win the Presidency", outside of her core supporters and Beet?  Most commentary on Palin seems to center around the fact that while she could win the nomination, she'd likely be crushed in the GE.

What candidate is supported by anyone other than their core supporters?

I'm not talking about support.  I'm talking about people's assessment of a candidate's chances of winning the presidency.  That's what you said you meant by "legitimate candidate", right?  I'm saying that, for lots of other candidates, there are quite a few people who think they would have a shot against Obama in a general election.  But in Palin's case, it's mostly just her core supporters who think that.