UK 2005- Seat by Seat Part 12 (Severn Valley)

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Silent Hunter:
Constituency MP Name Party Prediction 
Bromsgrove  Julie Kirkbride  CON Hold
Burton  Janet Dean  LAB Hold: 'Going for a Burton' was WW2 RAF slang for dying. Dean won't be doing it politically.
Cannock Chase  Tony Wright  LAB Hold
Chester, City Of  Christine Russell  LAB Hold
Congleton  Ann Winterton  CON Hold
Crewe and Nantwich  Gwyneth Dunwoody  LAB Hold
Eddisbury  Stephen O'Brien  CON Hold
Ellesmere Port and Neston  Andrew Miller  LAB Hold
Halton  Derek Twigg  LAB Hold
Hereford  Paul Keetch  LIB Hold
Leominster  Bill Wiggin  CON Hold
Lichfield  Michael Fabricant  CON Hold
Ludlow  Matthew Green  LIB Hold
Macclesfield  Nicholas Winterton  CON Hold
Newcastle-under-Lyme  Paul Farrelly  LAB Hold: Don't confuse this with the land of Geordies, even if they are electorally the same.
Redditch  Jacqui Smith  LAB Hold: She'll hold this- just.
Shrewsbury and Atcham LAB gain from LD: Marsden's defection meant nothing. He wouldn't have had a a chance even if he hadn't retired.
Shropshire North  Owen Paterson  CON Hold
Stafford  David Kidney  LAB Hold
Staffordshire Moorlands  Charlotte Atkins  LAB Hold
Staffordshire South  Patrick Cormack  CON Hold
Stoke-on-Trent Central  Mark Fisher  LAB Hold
Stoke-on-Trent North  Joan Walley  LAB Hold
Stoke-on-Trent South  George Stevenson  LAB Hold
Stone  William Cash  CON Hold
Tamworth  Brian Jenkins  LAB Hold
Tatton  George Osborne  CON Hold: 1997 was a carefully engineered defeat. No chance of a repeat.
Telford  David Wright  LAB Hold
Warrington North  Helen Jones  LAB Hold
Warrington South  Helen Southworth  LAB Hold
Weaver Vale  Mike Hall  LAB Hold
Worcester  Michael Foster  LAB Hold
Worcestershire Mid  Peter Luff  CON Hold
Worcestershire West  Michael Spicer  CON Hold
Wrekin, The  Peter Bradley  CON gain from LAB: The hunting ban vote will give his career one.
Wyre Forest  Richard Taylor  IND Hold: We'll still have an independent MP after the election.

Filuwaúrdjan:
Burton: Fancy a drink?

Congleton: NSDAP Hold

Hereford: possible upset

Ludlow: Green is a Yellow Tory. He'll probably win again (the Tories are running a crooked businessman businessman with a reputation for being evil with take overs and stuff). Possibility that Labour might run a decent local candidate to screw things up for Green, but it'll probably be a paper candidate again. Possibility that Chris "Racist" Gill might run as the UKIP candidate. Watch this space.

Shrewsbury and Atcham: After the Marsen fiasco, the Tories should have waltzed this one: however their candidate is a joke and they would have lost control of the council if it wasn't for vote splitting this year. Add the fiascos over the new football stadium, floods, corruption... a "sure thing" has turned into a "maybe".
Labour have picked Mike Ion (candidate in North Shropshire last time round) who used to be deputy head of a Catholic schools (smart pick: there's a big Catholic community in Shrewsbury).
The LibDems have picked Marsden's old constitunecy agent, Richard Burt.

Telford: I live here; it's a safe seat regardless (New Town+Old Pit villages) but Wright is a good M.P and has probably built up a little personal vote.
There has been some political change here recently: the controversial leader of Telford & Wrekin Borough Council was deposed by the Labour Group a few days ago. Won't have any effect on the outcome.

Wrekin: Actually a suburban seat (there's a small rural fringe though) and intended to be a Tory seat. Bradley's win shocked me (albeit pleasantly) in '97, and as he's a solid hard-working constituency M.P he might be able to hang on again.
Parking charges (instituted by the now ex-leader of Telford & Wrekin BC) are an issue (Bradley actually opposed them).

Wyre Forest: "The Doctor" will sweep Kiddy again... and that's enough for him to win IMO

English:
Agree apart from....

The Wrekin- CON Gain
Shrewsbury- CON Gain
Redditch- CON Gain

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